Kashmir’s Missing Narrative

Hizbul Mujahideen leader and a global terrorist, Syed Salahuddin had in a video message called for celebration of Hafta-e-Shuhuda (martyrs’ week) marking one year of the death of Hizbul terrorist Burhan Wani. Since Burhan Wani was killed by the Armed forces last year, there have been concerted attempts to keep the Kashmir valley of the Jammu and Kashmir state (here on referred to as Kashmir) restive. Declaring protest ‘calendars’, provoking and pressurizing common masses to participate in shutdowns and demonstrations, burning school buildings, financing stone-pelting have been various tools that the separatist and terrorist organizations have employed to destabilize Kashmir valley. There is also a sentiment of anger in the valley for the losses caused due to pellet guns, which is genuine. Despite the intent to save lives and maximum restraint, pellet guns did cause grave injuries. Government too is yet to deliver on its promise of Good Governance in the valley and situation on this front post 2014 floods has largely remained constant due to multiple reasons.

So, one year post terrorist Burhan Wani’s killing is a right time for all Indians to take a step back and assess the situation of Jammu and Kashmir against the prevalent narrative. It is easier to paint the picture of the entire state as one mired up in stone pelting, militancy and fighting for ‘azadi’ (much exploited and lesser understood word) but such a narrative will neither help the state of Jammu and Kashmir nor will it help it’s people.

Since past one year dominant narrative around Jammu and Kashmir has been about stone-pelting and militancy. But past ten weeks of tracking the stone pelting in Jammu and Kashmir has revealed that not more than 6% of land mass in Jammu and Kashmir has seen stone pelting. (13% if we do not consider POK, Gilgit-Baltistan, Aksai-Chin and Sakshgam Valley).

Area which saw unrest in Jammu & Kashmir

Area that remained peaceful in Jammu & Kashmir

Only 7 out of the 22 districts of Jammu and Kashmir have had stone pelting on ten or more than ten days in past ten weeks, Pulwama had the maximum number of incidents. Below is the graphical representation showing district vs number of days that had stone pelting in the past ten weeks.

           

Districts vs Number of days they saw stone pelting in past ten weeks.

Even the anti-militancy operations that take place in the state are restricted to certain districts. Below is the graphical representation of anti-militancy operations of the past one month.

Number of anti-militancy operations in various districts of Jammu & Kashmir

These data points reveal and confirm one fact that stone pelting is not a pan-state phenomenon. The latest round of stone pelting started in Jammu and Kashmir after an incident that took place between degree college students of Pulwama and CRPF soldiers on 17th April. This incident was exploited by the trouble seekers in the valley who wanted to create a furore after a relatively calm winter. We need to understand the various factors that drive stone-pelting in the state.

Pelting stones for money

There are several news reports that have tried to create a co-relation between money and the motivation to pelt stones. NIA post the raids in Jammu and Kashmir, Delhi and Haryana is investigating this relationship between terror funding and stone pelting. Impact demonetisation had on terrorists is a direct evidence of involvement of money in their activities. It had caused a huge blow to terror financing machinery in the state. The extent can be gauged from the fact that frantic attempts were made by terrorists to loot banks. In one such incident when terrorists found the bank empty they took away guard’s rifle.

Islamic radicalization

Another significant aspect which is playing a key role in influencing young minds to get into acts of stone-pelting and militancy is the spread of radical Islam in Kashmir. Dr. Adil Rasheed, Research Fellow at the IDSA has written about the wave of Salafi-Jihad in Kashmir. India Today quoting sources from Army in one of its report had claimed ‘The number of mosques controlled by Wahabis including the Ahle Hadith has gone up quite substantially in the last 10-15 years as they have almost doubled from around 1,000 mosques to around 2,000 with most of the youth opting for them than the traditional Kashmiri Sufi shrines‘. Ahle Hadith mosques are considered to be more radical.

Provocations from the Mosque

An article from Kashmir Observer mentions, ‘From within the Masjid, a crowd of 150-200 people charged out with sticks and stones in hand‘. Some Islamic religious leaders influence impressionable minds by justifying pelting of stones using the doctrines. They are told that stoning of the devil is part of annual Hajj pilgrimage and hence an Islamic practise. Propaganda machines operating in Kashmir have portrayed India as the Devil. But in his explanation of the significance of stone pelting during Hajj, Islamic theologian Ayatullah Sheikh Hussain Mazaheri writes in his book Secret of the Hajj, ‘…..while stoning the jamarāt, one must focus entirely upon one’s self. It is an attack on a person’s internal temptations or base desires, and signals a moving away from the self and towards further submission to Allah’s will.’ This for sure is not the explanation that is dominant in the Masjids of Kashmir valley.

While tracking the incidents of stone-pelting, my observation was that the maximum frequency of incidents of stone-pelting took place post the Friday sermons and around the Masjid areas. Government of Jammu & Kashmir is aware of this phenomenon hence the discussion to create dedicated de-radicalisation department should be translated into a decision.

See the sudden spike in the stone pelting incidents on Friday. Most incidents happened in and around the Masjid areas and post the prayer meeting.

The spread of stone-pelting across various weeks. Highest peaks can be observed on Fridays

 

Drug addiction among the youth

Other reason for participation of youth in stone-pelting is rising drug addiction and mental distress. Cannabis and poppy are the new cash crops of Kashmir. Out of school youngsters who are unemployed are easy traps for such purposes. According to the 2015 Kashmir Mental Health Survey conducted by the organisation, Doctors Without Borders, 45% of adults in the Kashmir valley display major symptoms of mental distress, with about one in five adults, or 19% of the adult population, displaying  major  symptoms  of  Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD).

Militancy-the way ahead?

Col. Vivek Chadha, Research Fellow at the IDSA has drawn parallels between Punjab of late 80s and early 90s and present day Jammu and Kashmir. He has raised the question ‘Are we witnessing the last gasp of terrorism in Kashmir?’ in his article. He chronicles various incidents like the lynching of DSP Mohammed Ayub Pandith, killing of Feroz Ahmad Dar and five other policemen by Lashkar, kidnap and murder of Lieutenant Ummer Fayyaz and the latest attack on Amarnath Yatris by the terrorists. He writes, ‘All this should normally indicate an upswing in the levels of violence and a hardening of approach by Pakistan……Contrary to this seemingly obvious conclusion, however, the reality could be the very opposite. In fact, we may well witness a shift in the ground situation in Kashmir.’ The reason he gives for the contrary belief is by comparing what had happened in Punjab. ‘the criminalisation of terrorist groups had led to senseless violence, with humiliation and atrocities being unleashed against policemen and their families as well as common citizens. This led to a fight for survival between the people and the local police on one side and the terrorists on the other…….The alienation of the population and victimisation of the local police turned the tide in favour of the State. The gradual rise in terrorism in Punjab stood in contrast to its sudden elimination.’

As Col Vivek Chadha mentions, there is fight of survival between local police and local people on the one hand and the terrorists on the other in Kashmir valley. There were reports of the launch of  ‘Operation All-Out’ in June this year. Some 258 militants have been shortlisted after carrying out district wise survey. Of this there are 128 foreign militants and 130 local militants that have been identified as potential targets. The security establishment has created a blueprint to deliver a lethal blow to militancy in Jammu & Kashmir. Two additional Army battalions have been moved to South Kashmir. This year alone over 100 militants have been killed till date.

An important aspect that is ignored in the blame game of pellet and pelting is the intent of forces to maintain law and order. While the militants will not be spared, stone pelters will be treated softly, though firmly. Over the last 4 months, 53 boys involved in stone pelting, who were trying to cross the LoC to join the militants have been saved by the Jammu and Kashmir Police with the help of their parents. Army too is zeroing in on young stone throwers in Kashmir to take them around India. A group of 20  boys from South Kashmir will be taken on an educational tour to showcase development in other parts of India.

The narrative around Jammu & Kashmir has to shift from a point where a terrorist Burhan Wani is celebrated as a ‘headmaster’s son’. In all the articles that are written, terrorists who are profiled and their numbers glorified we somewhere ignore the voice of the local Kashmiri youth who just wants to lead a normal life. They too want ‘azadi’ but not from India. They want azadi from the media that portrays their land, their ‘desh’ in negative light every day, from corruption in everyday life, from poverty, from having to prove their patriotism each day. The aspirations of the youth of Jammu and Kashmir are no different from youth of any other state in India.

In 2016, 6500 Kashmiri students appeared in UPSC prelims and there is a rising trend in the number of youth applying for the KAS. This year nineteen individuals from J&K made to the merit list of Civil Services. 1,18,000 candidates applied for the posts of 5,362 constables and some 70,000 applied for the posts of 680 sub-inspectors. 28 students from the state cracked the Joint Entrance Examination (JEE)-Main with  the  help  of  Indian Army’s Super-40 initiative. The media has been constantly telling us that it is the fourth and fifth generation that is participating in Kashmir conflict but they miss the point that this generation appearing for UPSC and other exams was born post 90s too. It is this generation that has seen peace and progress in the valley and will not relent that for some separatists’ political gain.

Jammu & Kashmir fares better than most other states in terms of various development indicators, despite this it has poor social infrastructure. Government has announced building of medical colleges and hospitals, universities and IIM in the state. They are planning massive investment in road infrastructure in J&K with multiple new projects coming up and accelerated completion of existing projects. Certain examples are the Chenani-Nashri tunnel or proposed construction of world’s  tallest  railway  bridge over the river Chenab. The 1.315 km-long bridge will soar to a height of 359 metres over the Chenab, which is 35 metres taller than the Eiffel Tower. The Government has launched innovative schemes like ‘Khelo India’ & ‘Sports For All’ to streamline youth energy in the right direction. It is also planning to start a Football academy in Srinagar. Government on its part is trying best to tell a different story of J&K but the vision of a section of local media is jaundiced and they cannot see beyond conflict. The very fact they were looking for conspiracy theories during the recent Amarnath attack is proof enough.

The need at this juncture is that the narrative of Kashmir shifts from conflict. It isn’t that there were no protests among youth of Gujarat or Uttar Pradesh. The North-East is not suddenly devoid of all the problems. We saw the youth of Tamil Nadu coming to the shores for Jallikattu. Mizoram did not become peaceful in a day. The aspirations of the youth are changing, they will no longer be satisfied by mere lip-service. When youth across India is in a flux, how can the youth of Jammu & Kashmir lag behind! The narrative in Jammu & Kashmir will change only when all stakeholders make it a national effort and rise above petty political gains. The narrative will shift when various pillars of the government become efficient and free from corruption. Economic opportunities need to be built there and while GST may be the right beginning, the state should not stop at that. The narrative there should shift from militancy and radical Islam to the idea of Indian constitution and Indian democracy.

In May this year, CM Mehbooba Mufti announced that her government plans to develop militancy-affected Tral township in Pulwama. Tral is surrounded by the snow-capped  mountains and is famous for its natural springs and dense forests. The area is known for its 82 springs, including hot water springs which remain hot in winter and cold in summer. Tral is also significant because it is the home town of the terrorist Wani. Prime Minister Narendra Modi at the inaugural of the Chenani-Nashri tunnel gave a call to the youth of Kashmir valley. He said, ‘I want to tell the misguided youth of Kashmir, realise the power of a stone. On the one hand, there are some youth who pelt stones, on the other hand, there are young men from the same Kashmir who carve stones to build infrastructure’. The symbolism of choosing Tral for a development project is huge, but it is in the hands of the people there to choose between ‘tourism or terrorism’ and contribute towards the development or decline of the state of Jammu & Kashmir.

(Aaditya Tiwari is a Senior Research Fellow at India Foundation. The article was first published on News18.)

Maharana Pratap The Great

In an recent article “The End of An Era For White Men” by David Rothkopf in FOREIGN POLICY Journal (Dated 01 Feb 2016) there is the historic admission of steady global dominance of western world.

It states:-

“While men had a great run from the rise of the Greeks to the birth of western based global empires – they have controlled much of the world sought to. So much of history is a consequence of decisions made by and at the behest of the white guys in-charge’.

 The learned author adds:-

“Several factors are contributing to make this historic moment a watershed in global history. ….. …. ….. ….. While the planet earth has always been home to great non-white civilisations, such societies have ebbed and flowed in relative importance. Today it is clear that these emerging societies, namely China and India are on the rise.”

 In context of above, what our Hon’ble Home Minister Shri Rajnath Singh had stated sometime back that Maharana Pratap of Udaipur deserves to be titled “The Great”; it quintessentially sounds logical and convincing.

Interestingly, historians world over have not yet found as to which august body (or a group of individuals) had constructed the qualifying requirements for the title “The Great”. And, also who (and when) the title(s) were conferred on the selected few. Just to mention some of them:-

  • Alexander The Great (of Macedonia)
  • Constantine The Great (of Byzantium Empire)
  • Peter The Great (of Russia)
  • Fredrick The Great (of Germany)
  • Ashoka The Great (of India)
  • Akbar The Great (of India)

Interestingly, commentary on the traditional belief in the decline of greatness; THOMAS CARLYLE laments in his classics “Heroes, Heroworship And The HEROICS IN HISTORY (1841)” that “Napoleon was our last Great man”. He also singles out the lone social fact that “Greatness has been equated with fame and the fame could not be made overnight”.

Delving deep into the dynamics of above stated “Greatness” conferred on heroes of yester-years; shouldn’t we presume that it was the western media which was on the beck and call of European world conquerors that played the trick. History is testimony to the fact that whenever civilisations preferred convenience, they spelt their downfall. Dr. Radha Krishnan had once said “India was never conquered from “without”; it was always from “within” that it was subdued”. Third world countries have not only lost on battle-fields but also on brand/image projections. Maharana Pratap’s case is to be viewed through the above prism.

Battle of Haldighati (fought on 21st June 1576) with Raja Man Singh as Commander-in-Chief of Mughal army and Maharana Pratap of Udaipur leading conglomerate of Rajput warriors – the episode is well documented. The outcome of the clash is known to students of history. Mewar army was routed in the final run. General Sagat Singh of Indian army (hero of Bangladesh’s liberation: 1971 India-Pak war) has attributed Mughal army’s success to their superior artillery.

A moot point is that Pratap could not be captured and his flight from battle-field was orchestrated by his faithful(s) – for yet another day to settle scores with the Mughals. It is also on record that Emperor Akbar had refused to meet Raja Man Singh and Asaf Khan while expressing his dissatisfaction over the results. On this subject, we have the last word from eminent history scholar Prof. G.N. Sharma. He states:-

“The Kachhawaha General (Raja Man Singh) had failed either to kill or capture the Rana. Hence Haldighati was a barren victory for the Mughals”.

 The Battle of Haldighati has immortalised Maharana Pratap as a warrior of freedom and pride. Amongst the Mughal Kings, Akbar rose to dizzy heights of greatness and the title “AKBAR THE GREAT” is well deserved. But Maharana Pratap’s rugged defiance against Mughal rule qualifies him as fountain-head of liberty and self-rule. It wasn’t easy – those were the times when consequences of not towing the diktat of an Emperor could bring-in untold miseries; Maharana Pratap who epitomised exemplary courage and indomitable spirit had outrightly rejected the olive branch. He toiled hard for decades – post-Haldighati clash, practicing guerilla tactics against the adversary and refused to compromise with freedom.

There are some unsung heroes of Battle of Haldighati.

  1. Jhala (Bida) Man – who had assisted Maharana Pratap in moving to a place of safety (in this manouvre he got killed).
  2. Hakim Khan Sur – The Afghan General and a loyalist. He was a strategist and warrior of repute. (Not much literature is available on him).
  3. Bhama Shah – He was the financier who greatly helped Maharana Pratap during his “exile” after the Battle of Haldighati.
  4. Rana Punja – The Bhil Chieftain – his band of followers had inflicted severe blows on enemy flanks. His generosity towards Rana Pratap in providing “men and material”, assistance during “war and peace” periods with Mughals is well known.

It is said that “History has been unfair to its heroes, leaving ordinary men to decide the difference between posterity and oblivion”.

For the six eminent luminaries viz. Rani Gaidinliu, Lala Lajpat Rai, Tatya Tope, Maharana Pratap, Shri Bhisham Sahni and Sage Chaitanya Mahaprabhu; the recent initiative in constituting an Implementation Committee on Commemoration under the Ministry of Culture is worth mention.

Govt. of India’s effort to “resurrect” heroic images from our hoary past are well-meaning. Maharana Pratap of Mewar richly deserves the title “The Great”. One is reminded of Martin Luther King Jr.’s words “The Arc of moral Universe is long, but it bends towards Justice”. Yes, we are talking about Justice for recognition to a great Indian warrior Maharana Pratap.

Gp Capt DC Bakshi, VSM, IAF (retd.)

Goods and Services Tax: Commencing Economic Reformation of India

Introduction: Power to Tax and Sovereignty

 

Power to levy taxes has been universally acknowledged as an essential attribute of sovereignty. Cooley in his Book on Taxation – Volume-1 (4th Edn.) in Chapter-2, recognises the power of taxation to be inherent in a sovereign State. The power, says Cooley, is inherent in the people and is meant to recover a contribution of money or other property in accordance with some reasonable rule or apportionment for the purpose of defraying public expenses.

In Commissioner of Income Tax, Udiapur, Rajasthan v. MCdowell and Co. Ltd. (2009) 10 SCC 755, the Supreme Court observed as follows:

“(iv)  As an incident of sovereignty and in the nature of compulsory exaction, a liability founded on principle of contract cannot be a “tax” in its technical sense as an impost, general, local or special.”

Further, a tax is a compulsory exaction of money for general public good and is defined as under by Thomas M. Cooley in his book The Law of Taxation at page 61(Clark A. Nichols ed., 4th ed. 1924) as follows:

 “Taxes are the enforced proportional contributions from persons and property, levied by the state by virtue of its sovereignty for the support of government and for all public needs. This definition of taxes, often referred to as “Cooley’s definition,” has been quoted and endorsed, or approved, expressly or otherwise, by many different courts. While this definition of taxes characterizes them as ‘contributions’, other definitions refer to them as ‘imposts’, ‘duty or impost’, ‘charges’, ‘burdens’, or ‘exactions’, ; but these variations in phraseology are of no practical importance.”

GST and the World

 

Prior to the implementation of the Goods and Service Tax (GST), there were several indirect taxes which were being levied at different levels of the supply chain. The implementation of the GST has resulted in the merger of indirect taxes (central as well as state) thereby making the GST an umbrella tax, which would facilitate Indian Businesses compete globally. GST is inter-alia structured for efficient tax collection, seamless inter-state movement of goods and reduction of the number of indirect taxation departments such as VAT, Excise, Service Tax, etc which resulted in glitches and undue delays.

 

France was the first country to implement GST to reduce tax-evasion in 1954. Since then, more than 160 countries have implemented GST with some countries having Dual-GST (e.g. Brazil, Canada etc.) model i.e. Federal GST and State GST. India has chosen the Canadian model of dual GST i.e. CGST and SGST or IGST in case of inter-state transport of goods or provision of services.

In Canada, the GST is known as Federal Goods and Service Tax and Harmonized Sales Tax which is being implemented since 1991. A table made below provides a comparison of scheme of GST in India and the prevailing schemes in Canada, Singapore and Malaysia.

Particulars India Singapore Canada Malaysia
Name of the Law relating to Taxation of Goods and Services Goods and Services Tax Goods and Service Tax Federal Goods and Service Tax & Harmonized Sales Tax Goods and Service Tax
Threshold exemption limit 20 Lakhs (10 Lakhs for NE States) Singapore $ 1 million
(Approx Rs. 4.8 crore)
Canadian $ 30,000 (Approx Rs. 15.6 lakhs in INR) MYR 500,000
(Approx Rs. 75 lakhs)
Standard Rate 0% (for food staples), 5%, 12%, 18% and 28%(+cess for luxury items) 7% Reduced rates- Zero rated, exempt. GST 5% and HST varies from 0% to 15% 6%
Liability arises on Accrual basis: Issue of invoice OR
Receipt of payment
-earlier
Accrual Basis: Issue of invoice OR Receipt of payment OR Supply – earliest
Cash  basis:(T/O upto SGD$1mn): Payment
Accrual basis: The date of issue of invoice OR the date of receipt
of payment- earlier.
Accrual Basis: Delivery of goods OR Issue of invoice OR Receipt of payment
Exempt services Manufacture of
exempted goods or Provision of exempted services (which have been notified such as rent from residential accommodation)
Real estate, Financial services, Residential rental Real estate, Financial Services,
Rent (Residence), Charities, Health, Education
Basic food, Health Transportation, Residential property, Agricultural land

 

Therefore, GST model across the commonwealth countries are similar with some variations with respect to the rates and threshold limits, which may be economy specific.

 

GST in India: Biggest Economic Reform since Independence

 

GST is a single tax that simplifies the giant tax structure by supporting and enhancing the economic growth of a country, and is levied on the supply of goods and services, right from the manufacturer to the consumer. GST is a destination i.e. final consumption based tax regime, however, credits of input taxes paid at each stage will be available in the subsequent stage of value addition, which makes GST essentially a tax only on value addition at each stage. The final consumer would thus bear only the GST charged by the last dealer in the supply chain, with set-off benefits at all the previous stages. To the credit of the Finance Minister and the GST Council, the efficient input tax credit system ensures that there is no cascading of taxes i.e. taxes on tax paid on inputs that go into manufacture of goods.

 

In order to avoid the payment of multiple taxes such as excise duty and service tax at Central level and VAT at the State level, GST has unified indirect taxes and created a uniform market throughout the country. Integration of various taxes into a GST system has brought about an effective cross-utilization of credits. The current system taxes production, whereas the GST will aim to tax final consumption. The following taxes have been subsumed in the GST:

At the Central level, Central Excise Duty, Additional Excise Duty, Service Tax, Additional Customs Duty commonly known as Countervailing Duty, and Special Additional Duty of Customs.

At the State level, State Value Added Tax/Sales Tax, Entertainment Tax (other than the tax levied by the local bodies), Central Sales Tax (levied by the Centre and collected by the States), Octroi and Entry tax, Purchase Tax, Luxury tax, Taxes on lottery, betting and gambling.

There are following benefits of the GST:

  • Two-tiered One-Country-One-Tax regime.
  • Subsuming indirect taxes at the centre and the state level.
  • Widen the tax regime by covering goods and services and make it transparent.
  • Benefit to the manufacturing sector from cascading effect of taxes, thus by improve the cost-competitiveness of goods and services.
  • Bring down the prices of goods and services and thus by, increase consumption.
  • It would create business-friendly environment, thus by increase tax-GDP ratio thereby enhancing the ease of doing business in India.
  • Direct benefit to Manufacturing: Logistics and More Employment – The manufacturing sector has great importance for many developing countries. India’s manufacturing sector has complex tax structure with only 16% share in GDP, India’s manufacturing sector has been close to stagnant for the last two decades. India has shifted itself from an agricultural economy to a manufacturing and service economy. The direct benefit in the hand of manufacturers and logistic companies, warehousing facilitators rather than industries. GST will bring slight change in prices & tax burden on consumers. It will reduce the transit time by which more efficiency will be and benefiting manufactures. Further, logistics sectors would benefit after implementation of GST, reducing compliance cost, dropping number of warehouse and allowing tax credit across the supply chain. Almost all the sector would have indirect benefit from it and expand their operation that will create a more employment.
  • Under GST, without costs on Inter-state movement of goods (CST or Entry taxes) and change in the point of taxation to be the consumer, businesses shall have greater flexibility to muster and re-design their supply chains thereby optimizing their logistic cost. Since sellers are also likely to get benefit from changes, Companies ought to negotiate and get benefit on Input Prices.

Conclusion: Challenges ahead

 

The most critical challenge in the implementation of the GST would be the IT transformation that is required to be made by the businesses and their respective organisations. Technical systems would have to be in synchronisation with the scheme of GST as monthly returns would have to be filed electronically. Secondly, since the threshold exemption limit has been kept low, SME’s and small traders may be would have to compete aggressively. However, with time it would be the SMEs and small traders who would benefit the most from the implementation of the GST, and lastly, the intended revenue collection would depend on the strict implementation in letter and spirit of the GST Act and allied Rules.  

 

(Sagar Suri is an advocate practicing at the High Court of Delhi and Supreme Court of India.)

The New Insolvency Law – Best Bet to Resolve the Debt Problem

We have been hearing about India’s developing debt crisis for a while now. News reports also listed top defaulters.

Insolvency or Bankruptcy are terms which are usually used interchangeably for a situation of a person or a corporate when they are unable to repay their debts. Bankruptcy is the legal adjudication of Insolvency which is a factual scenario. Insolvency can occur due to a set of factors which include, slowdown of the cash flow, poorly managed cash system, increase in cash expenditures, etc. The reasons for insolvency are important, as the specific rights are allowed for the creditor to be exercised against the entity which is insolvent in any legal system.

The Indian insolvency law recently went through an overhaul with the government notifying most of the provisions of the new Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) earlier this year. The Indian Law is one of the better drafted legislations if we compare it globally and has borrowed best practices from both UK and the USA. The new Law was passed, enacted and notified at a break neck speed.

Last month Reserve Bank of India was armed with a set of powers by the Government to identify and initiate proceedings, through the respective banks, against defaulters under the Code. These powers flow through an amendment to the Banking Regulation Act, which adds Sections 35AA and 35AB to the Act.

Though any set of Insolvency laws in any jurisdiction are not a debt recovery tool per se but they certainly play an important role in promoting credit discipline at large. India’s debt problem is concentrated to a few entities as has been pointed out by the RBI. As per the RBI only 12 NPA accounts account for 25% of the total NPAs by volume. The gross bad debt of the Indian banking system as of March, was at Rs 7.11 lakh crore, which means the 12 accounts would be responsible for about Rs 1.78 lakh crore.Recently the Finance Minister, Arun Jaitely remarked that the whole NPA problem is only limited 20-30 accounts and is not spread to large number of accounts.

The RBI will in all probability recommend the respective commercial banks to initiate proceedings under the IBC against these 12 accounts. This move has drawn an international applause, including a praise from the international credit rating agency Moody’s too.

This is a valid point considering the proceedings under the code can’t go beyond 180 days which are stretchable upto 270 days at the most. Time is of essence for the resolution of this problem because the debt is growing day by day. There is a counter argument to this, that the time limit may actually force the corporate into liquidation. This is a very flawed argument. Insolvency is not necessarily the worst outcome in the current situation and in fact it is probably the best solution. The corporates which we are dealing with here, most probably have already been subject to multiple restructuring through various schemes of RBI like Strategic debt restructuring, S4A, 5/25 etc. Hence, insolvency under the IBC is not that bad afterall, since the banks and the creditors will atleast be able to recover a part of their credit. This will certainly help them improve their asset quality which is under tremendous amount of stress right now.

Had there been no IBC, the resolution of each case would atleast take 4 years, which has been India’s average of resolving Insolvency in the recent past.

Given the knowledge of the cancer of debt, surgery shouldn’t be a problem if we are prepared to take bold decisions. All top 20-30 accounts in fact can be subjected to IBC proceedings. Even if they result in a 40% of haircut by the banks on an average, 60% of the money gets back to the banks which can be used for their recapitalisation.

If we start now with the resolution of the first 12 accounts, as recommended by the RBI, the judicial proceedings can be done within a year and the rest 10-15 accounts or so in the next year. The amendment in the Banking Regulation Act is very critical here. The creditors, which being the banks, anyways don’t need a sanction or a permission from the RBI to initiate proceedings under IBC, as per its provisions. What happens in practical situations is that the defaulter is a person who is politically connected and pressurizes the bank administration to not proceed and usually succeeds in doing it. Now after the amendment it is the RBI can be authorized by the Central Government to direct the banks to initiate proceedings under the IBC. This way the bank administration can escape any political pressure which is usually the problem.

Due to a small number of NPA accounts accounting for the major NPA by volume, our debt problem is still a problem only and not a crisis. For the sake of comparison, the sub-prime crises in the USA, involved a large number of accounts and hence became unmanageable and ultimately resulted in global recession. India’s debt problem therefore can be effectively resolved or at least contained by effective implementation of the IBC. The priority here should be saving the banks and an impending debt crises and not saving a few corporates.

(Raghav Pandey is a Research Scholar at School of Humanities, IIT, Mumbai.)

India – ASEAN Youth Summit 2017

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[wpc_countdown theme=”black” now=”1499342759939″ end=”912″ bg=”#fff” padding=”5″]The Association of South-East Asian Nations (ASEAN) comprises of Indonesia, Singapore, Philippines, Malaysia, Brunei, Thailand, Cambodia, Lao PDR, Myanmar and Vietnam. While India’s civilizational links with the region are centuries old, renewed and revitalised engagement with the region has come with the “Act East Policy” of the Hon’ble PM of India Shri Narendra Modi. This enhanced engagement is a natural progression of the significant pivot to the region in form of the Look East Policy. Hon’ble PM at the 12th ASEAN India Summit and the 9th East Asia Summit held in Nay Pyi Taw, Myanmar, in November, 2014, formally enunciated the Act East Policy. The addition of a robust economic vector to the Indo-ASEAN relationship has made it a stronger, more sustainable partnership.

To celebrate the 25th anniversary of the ASEAN-India Dialogue Partnership in 2017, India Foundation and Ministry of External Affairs, Government of India (MEA) have decided to organise an India-ASEAN Youth Summit on the commemorative year’s theme of “Shared Values, Common Destiny.” It aptly reflects the close cultural and civilizational links that India and South East Asia have enjoyed over two millennia.

The brochure for the summit can be accessed here

Indian Ocean Conference 2017

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The Indian Ocean is the world’s third largest body of water, covering about one fifth of the world’s total ocean area. The Indian Ocean Region (IOR) cuts across a vast span of territory that directly affects both the global economy and some 32 nations in the region. The countries in the IOR are for the most part developing and middle income countries, with varying levels of development, stability and security. The level of political stability, the quality of governance, demographic pressures, ethnic and sectarian tensions, and the pace of economic growth create a different mix of opportunity and risk in each state. The IOR is also one of the most complex regions in the world in human terms. It reposes significant endowments of strategic natural resources, tremendous ecological and human diversity, and resplendent cultural and civilisational traditions, making it arguably a pivotal harbinger to regional and global peace, progress and stability. Equally, it is a potential lodestar, offering a new template for maritime concert, cooperation and management, and societally-beneficent harness, of the vast blue economy. Economic development can pave the way for the countries in the IOR to eradicate poverty. Peace remains a vital condition for Progress and Economic Development, which in turn can lead to Prosperity for all in the region.

What can the countries of the IOR do to achieve Peace, Progress and Prosperity? Delegates from all the countries of the IOR and other concerned nations have been invited to present their views in the Indian Ocean Conference 2017 (IOC 2017), being organised by India Foundation with its partners in Colombo on 31st August – 2nd September 2017.

PEACE

  • Freedom of Navigation and Overflights
  • Collective Counter Terrorism Efforts
  • Anti Piracy Cooperation

PROGRESS

  • Strengthening Bilateral and Multilateral Institutional Networks
  • Strengthening Domestic Political Institutions and Statecraft
  • Educational and Cultural Developments (Individual and Collective Efforts)
  • Creating a Common Parliament for the countries of the Indo-Pacific Region on the lines of the European Parliament

PROSPERITY

  • Creating multilateral forums for Trade, Commerce and Economic Development
  • Strengthening existing Institutions
  • Blue Waters Economies
  • Ecological and Environmental Challenges

To view the conference brochure, click here. 

Jihadi Terrorism in Pak-Af Region

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Pak-Af region has emerged as the epicentre of global terrorism. It not only houses the most dreaded terrorist organisation ‘Al Qaeda’, it is also home to most obscurantist  terrorist outfit of the region- Taliban, whose leader Mawlawi Hibatullah Akhundzada has been declared as the Emir-ul-Momineen (Commander of the Faithful) by Al Qaeda to meet a critical theological requirement of Jihad. The region also has growing presence of Islamic State with its Khosran chapter operating out of Pakistan and Afghanistan. The growing Islamic radicalism in Pak-Af region as represented by IS, Al Qaeda and Taliban is not only challenging the writ of the state and its institutions, it is also accentuating the sectarian divide and aggravating the persecution of minorities.

 

India Foundation will be hosting a Workshop at the International Institute for Counter-Terrorism’s (ICT’s) 17th World Summit on Counter Terrorism on this.

Workshop on “Jihadi Terrorism in Pak-Af Region and its regional implications” at ICT, Herzilya

India’s Foreign Policy Workshop

Brouchure

India Foundation is convening a uniquely comprehensive six day workshop on India’s Foreign Policy in New Delhi from January 28 – February 1, 2018. This event will bring together, as participants, 70 aficionados of Indian foreign policy: researchers, academics, and practitioners, from across India, from India’s neighbouring countries, and from key partner nations. The course structure for this workshop is well rounded to cover major thematic issues and vital Bilateral Relationships in India’s Foreign Policy. These sessions will be addressed by senior practitioners and thought leaders including Union ministers of the Government of India, national leaders, experienced diplomats (serving and retired), domain specialists and Delhi-based Ambassadors of several nations. In addition, this Foreign Policy Workshop will deploy innovative mechanisms to facilitate in-depth analysis and interaction through Breakout Sessions, Panel Discussions, Foreign Policy Labs and Mini-Workshops on selected issues.

Needling The Army

A rather peculiar phenomenon which is now appearing on the political landscape and in the mainstream and social media, is that anyone who is anyone, feels compelled to comment on the country’s Armed Forces, more so on the actions of the Army. The trend gained traction after the  terror attack on the Air Force Station at Pathankot in January 2016, which caused casualties to own forces before the terrorists were eliminated. This was followed a month later by a terror attack on  a government building in the outskirts of Srinagar which resulted in the loss of three para commandos including two Captains, before the lone terrorist was eliminated. Then in September, 17 soldiers lost their lives in a sneak attack on a brigade HQ in Uri sector, which rightly caused rage and indignation across the country and led to the Indian Army responding by a surgical strike across the border, successfully targeting a number of terrorist bases. Finally, in November, the terrorists struck once again, this time at an artillery unit in Nagrota, killing three soldiers, including one Captain.

2017 has not yet seen the type of high profile attacks of 2016 on military targets, which perhaps points to the success of the Army in keeping the area under effective domination, but civil disobedience in the form of pelting stones at the security forces has taken on a more ominous dimension. It was to save the lives of election officials and their protection party from a thousand or so stone pelters intent on creating mayhem that Maj Gogoi, who was detailed to rescue the beleaguered officials, tied up a stone pelter in front of his jeep and carried out the rescue without mishap in April this year. But then all hell broke loose, with exaggerated concern being expressed for the human rights of the tied up stone pelter, but muted or no criticism being showered on the murderous stone pelters and their attempts to thwart the election process. The Army supported the action of Gogoi, with the Chief giving him his commendation card while stating at the same time that though not the norm for the Army, different situations required different responses. A former Army Commander of Northern Command however openly expressed his displeasure to the act of tying up a stone pelter, taking the high moral ground that such an act had no place in the Army’s ethos. The Government supported the Army Chief, but predictably, the opposition came out all guns blazing, indicting the Centre and the alliance government at the State  for its perceived failure in bringing peace and normalcy to the Valley and infringement of the human rights of the civilian stone pelter.

Soon public opinion was divided on the issue. Editorial pieces in the Indian Express slammed the Army, the Telegraph termed the sequence of incidents as shocking and unbecoming and the Hindustan Times bluntly stated “The General has it wrong”. Karan Thapar, the son of  a former Chief also jumped into the fray, stating that it was ‘not the Indian Army I know’. But other mainstream papers supported the Army, support pouring in overwhelmingly also from the social media. In all the brouhaha, the basic issue however got ignored.

Commanders need to take decisions in real time in situations which are akin to war. Their actions cannot be judged in terms of right or wrong — but on whether their action was done in good faith. How an action will eventually pan out can never be pre-determined and young commanders must always have the backing of their superiors in the chain of command for taking on the spot decisions. Otherwise, our junior leadership will lose confidence in the higher leadership with disastrous consequences for the Army and the nation. More importantly, as said so eloquently by Sadguru, decisions on the battlefield must be left to the commanders who are facing the bullets and cannot be the subject of debate in the media. Every action cannot be put open to public gaze. The Army is the instrument of final resolve and its edge must never be allowed to be eroded. Which is why the Chief supported his officers fighting on the battlefield. On a different note, Karan Thapar may be right when he stated that this is not the Army he grew up in. It most certainly is not. The present Chief upheld the interests of the Army. Sadly, that did not happen when his father was the Chief and we suffered humiliation at the hands of the Chinese in 1962.

(The writer is Director of India Foundation)

The article was published in Salute magazine, April-May 2017 issue. 

Curtain Raiser of International Conference on “BIMSTEC: An Enabling Architecture for Growth, Prosperity and Partnerships”

An International conference on BIMSTEC will be organized by India Foundation in collaboration with FICCI in Guwahati from November 2 to 4, 2017, under the overarching theme of ‘BIMSTEC: An Enabling Architecture for Growth, Prosperity and Partnerships’. The conference aims to engage the Member States of BIMSTEC on the same platform and collectively streamline a vision for the future. As a prelude to the BIMSTEC conference and on the occasion of 20th Anniversary of BIMSTEC on 6th June 2017, India Foundation and FICCI organised a curtain raiser of the conference. Shri Jayant Sinha, Minister of State, Civil Aviation, Government of India, was the Guest of Honour at the curtain raiser. He released the official brochure and website of BIMSTEC conference.

Addressing the curtain raiser, Mr. Jayant Sinha said that, “To make the Bay of Bengal and the Indian Ocean the real power centre of the region, the BIMSTEC countries would have to work together”. He added that “To strengthen trade, connectivity is vital to develop linkages”. Therefore, the focus of India is on developing transport infrastructure, which includes rail and roadways, waterways and aviation. He also highlighted that India is developing its railways and roadways network and is linking the northeast with the rest of India so as it to make it the hub for reaching out to the neighbouring countries.

Mr. Sinha also suggested that to encourage high value travellers and to allow free movement for business persons, there should be an open skies policy in BIMSTEC. He said that India is looking to expand the UDAN (Ude Desh ka Aam Naagrik) scheme of its aviation policy to countries of BIMSTEC.

Mr. Prashant Agrawal, Joint Secretary (BIMSTEC & SAARC), MEA, read out the transcript of the message from Shri Narendra Modi, Hon’ble Prime Minister of India, on the occasion of Twentieth Anniversary of BIMSTEC.

The event was a well-attended and saw participation of many Ambassadors and officials from the Embassies of BIMSTEC countries apart from other dignitaries.

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