Detailed Conference Report on “Andaman and Nicobar Islands: Development, Security and Ecology”

ANDAMAN AND NICOBAR ISLANDS: DEVELOPMENT, SECURITY, AND ECOLOGY.
12 JUNE 2026

CONFERENCE REPORT

Report Prepared by- Trishala Sancheti, Research Fellow, India Foundation

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Inaugural Session
Welcome Address: Dr Ram Madhav, President, India Foundation
Special Address: Admiral D.K. Joshi, Lt Governor of Andaman and Nicobar Islands

Session 1: Sustainable Development, Community Governance, and Ecological Resilience in the Andaman and Nicobar Islands
Moderator: Capt. Alok Bansal, Executive Vice President, India Foundation
Prof. Jagdish Mukhi, Former Lieutenant Governor of Andaman and Nicobar Islands
Dr. Sanat Kaul, Former Chief Secretary, Andaman and Nicobar Islands
Mr. Shekhar Gupta, Journalist and Editor-in-Chief, The Print

Session 2: Andaman and Nicobar Islands as a Focal Point for Maritime Security and Regional Cooperation in the Indo-Pacific
Moderator: Ambassador Jaideep Mazumdar
Air Marshal P.K. Roy, Former Commander-in-Chief, Andaman and Nicobar Command
Ambassador Deepa Gopalan Wadhwa, Former Ambassador to Japan
Prof. C. Raja Mohan, Contributing Editor, Indian Express & Visiting Professor, NUS

Session 3: Great Nicobar Project – Balancing Ecology with Development and Strategic Preparation
Moderator: Ms. Rami Niranjan Desai
Dr. Sanjeev Ranjan, Former Secretary, Ministry of Shipping and Member, NCLT
Rear Admiral Girish Kumar Garg, Former Member, High-Powered Committee for Holistic Development of Great Nicobar
Island

 

INAUGURAL SESSION
Andaman and Nicobar Islands Security, Development and Ecology

 

Good Morning Friends !

We are here for a day long conference today, on a very important subject.

The United States had once described Diego Garcia as its unsinkable aircraft carrier.  Incidentally, we have 300 unsinkable aircraft carriers in the form of Andaman Nicobar Islands.

Andaman Nicobar Islands is a huge island territory of India which is  300 times the size of Diego Garcia, 1.5 times the size of Bali, bigger than states like Sikkim, three times the size of Goa, almost six times the size of Delhi and NCR.  It’s a significantly large island region that is an integral part of our country.

Unfortunately, its significance is less appreciated for various reasons.  One very important reason was highlighted by Admiral Joshi himself in his recent op-ed in Indian Express.

We have somehow developed a kind of a continental mindset. We have not developed a strategic maritime outlook about our territories, or our land .  If you ask any student or any child about what the southernmost point of India, they will immediately say Kanyakumari.  The fact of the matter is India’s southernmost territory is Indira Point, which is a part of the Andaman and Nicobar Island chain. It is also a critically strategic location, just about 100 nautical miles or less than 150 kms. from the most important sea lane of the Malacca Straits.

Remember, Malacca Straits annually carries almost 100,000 ships.  One lakh ships pass through Malacca Straits every year and we are sitting just less than 150 kms from that critical place.  We have a region which is economically important, strategically important and very significant in terms of developmental opportunities.

But somehow there is not enough appreciation about its importance.  Today’s conference is intended to highlight the important role that this region, this island chain of Andaman and Nicobar should play in India’s developmental, strategic and economic trajectories.

When talking about the economic opportunities in the region, a point of discussion is often Singapore. Singapore began its journey as an independent nation in the mid-1960s.  And today, it is the transshipment hub of the Indian Ocean. Andaman and Nicobar Islands, had we developed them into a good port facility, it would have probably emerged as a bigger transshipment facility than Singapore itself, by now. Imagine the amount of economic prosperity this would have brought to not just Andaman and Nicobar but to the whole country.

Strategically, it’s located in the heart of Bay of Bengal at a crucial point in the Indian Ocean region. 80% of the energy needs of countries like China and Japan pass through the Malacca strait.  We could have had our eyes on that region, perpetually.  We have a very important strategic facility there, in the form of our tri-services. The only Indian special services establishment exists in Andaman and Nicobar.

But the amount of strategic importance that could have been attached to it has not been done in many decades in the past.

There is a lot of potential even in terms of developmental activities such as tourism, .  I mentioned Bali and Goa, earlier. Goa gets 10 million tourists a year while Bali gets 15 to 20 million, but Andaman gets less than a million tourists annually.  700,000 to be precise which is also a 250% increase from 200,000 in the last four years, thanks to the efforts of Admiral Joshi and his team.

Lack of understanding about the importance of the region and lack of appreciation about the various opportunities that await us is one important reason of our inability to fully  exploit the potential of the Andaman and Nicobar Island chain.

Today the government is putting a lot of focus on its development.  Tourism has gone up by almost three times in last, probably, five years.  It has the potential to grow much more.

Now, a massive port development project is also being commissioned there with an investment of almost $10 billion which is almost 80,000 crores INR.  Today, there are naysayers for everything in our country.  Jawaharlal Nehru was lucky that he could build some infrastructure, had this kind of activism existed then we would not even have had the Bhakra Nangal dam.

We must understand that the project that the government has conceived is not going to destroy the ecology or pose threat to the people.  It’s all completely untrue.  Admiral Joshi also clarified this in his article. He wrote that less than 2% of the territory of Andaman and Nicobar is going to be used for this project. Less than 1.3% of the forest cover is going to be affected.

This is an enormous opportunity for India and for that some amount of compromise and understanding is required.

Today’s conference was supposed to be a one-hour lecture by Hon’ble Lieutenant Governor, initially, but we thought of expanding the scope to give a broader idea about various kinds of economic, strategic and developmental issues related to this very important region.

We are happy that we have Admiral Devendra Kumar Joshiji, who is the Lieutenant Governor of that important union territory, is himself present today. He will give us his own view of the whole issue.  Hearing from the horse’s mouth, as they say.  Admiral Joshi served as the Chief of Naval staff from 2012 to 2014 and in last several years he has been the LG of Andaman and Nicobar Islands.

So friends, we are starting with Hon’ble Lieutenant Governor and we also have with us the  former Lieutenant Governor and other dignitaries to address various sessions through the day.

Let us try to have better understanding about this very crucial region.

I welcome all of you to this day long seminar.

My compliments to Dr Ram Madhav, President, India Foundation, for expanding the scope of this interaction over the entire day, spread across three very well-layered and very well structured sessions on a topic that he himself described as an island chain, the most critical to us, which, unfortunately, for several decades after independence, remained neglected—over the horizon, out of sight, out of mind, and its fullest potential was not realised. It is only in recent years that it has begun to move somewhat to the centre of mainstream discourse in the country. And towards that end, I think today’s session organised by the India Foundation would play a very critical role.

In this session, I aim to provide an overview that I hope will set the right backdrop for the three sessions that follow during the day. Therefore, I have structured this presentation as “Transformation Towards a Viksit Bharat.” To begin with, I would try to provide some perspective, some of which Dr Ram Madhav has himself provided, namely that to a vast majority of our countrymen, the Andaman Islands were hitherto seen as a set of islands close to Malaysia and Indonesia—small islands quite a distance from the east coast of India.

The fact that the Andaman and Nicobar Islands are within a handshake’s distance of Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Myanmar is a matter of geography. This group of 836 islands are small only in terms of population. Dr Ram Madhav provided some comparisons vis-à-vis some mainland states, with whom we share larger territory and real estate. But there again, it is not a homogeneous mass of one island of so many thousand square kilometres. It is 836 islands spread along a north-south axis of about 750 km.

A majority of these islands are not populated, but those at the extremities are. So even if it is a village of just about 100 residents on the northernmost island, the Ujjwala gas cylinder has to be provided there. Even if it is a tiny village of 200 residents on the southernmost island, your civil supplies, rudimentary healthcare, and basic schooling facilities have to be provided there. And therefore, the area over which your administrative reach, or the governance cover, has to extend is something like 49,000 square kilometres—bigger than half the states on the mainland.

Dr Ram Madhav also provided a few country-wise comparisons vis-à-vis Bali, among others. Let me attempt some more. If one were to ask which are the three hottest island tourism destinations in the Indian Ocean region, the answer would obviously be the Maldives, Mauritius, and theSeychelles. Now, if you total up the land area of all three countries, the Andaman and Nicobar Islands are four times that land area. That is one comparison. Vis-a-vis Singapore, just one of our islands, the southernmost island, the Great Nicobar Island, is one and a half times Singapore. The island of Little Andaman, also known as Hut Bay, which will be taken up for the next phase of development, is 0.9 the size of Singapore. So that is the perspective. We have one-third of the country’s EEZ and one-fourth of the coastline, which, in the maritime context, again puts into perspective where we stand. But all of it, unfortunately, remained neglected for the first six to seven-odd decades after independence.

From a historical perspective, between 1942 and 1946 the islands remained under Japanese rule for three and a half years. During that period, the provisional government was handed over to the INA, Netaji Subhash Chandra Bose’s Azad Hind Fauj. Netaji himself visited the island in 1943, hoisted the tricolour, and declared independence from British India. So the tricolour flew there for three and a half years before India actually gained independence. They issued their own postage stamps and currency, and for the most part during this period—the Second World War was in progress, and the Axis powers—Italy, Germany, Japan—extended diplomatic cover to the territory. But again, for about a year it reverted to British rule before India became independent in 1947. So this is one aspect in which it differs from mainland history.

Despite being widely regarded as a great tourist destination, the Islands had no five-star hotels across the entire archipelago. The first five-star hotel, the Taj Exotica, opened around 2020. There may have been an attempt to keep the Islands secluded for security reasons and out of concern for the tribal population. As a result, foreigners required a Restricted Area Permit (RAP), which they had to obtain in Delhi from various ministries, coordinated by the MHA. In fact, it was very difficult to obtain, so foreign traffic was close to nil. There were no such restrictions for Indians, but due to poor and rudimentary connectivity, most tourists would come only to Sri Vijaya Puram (Port Blair), Swaraj Dweep (Havelock Island), and Shaheed Dweep (Neil), do a quick circuit of these three islands, and go back, because elsewhere, even if they wanted to, they couldn’t get there. There was no inter-island connectivity, no flights, no helicopters, and hardly any ferry services. We have set about rectifying this since the Islands Development Agency (IDA) was established in 2017 at the Prime Minister’s directive.

The IDA was given a comprehensive mandate covering the conceptualisation, approval, monitoring, execution, and culmination of projects. Development began with road connectivity. From the 1970s onwards, the 320 km Andaman Trunk Road (ATR) connected the districts of North, Middle and South Andaman. It had to cross two straits—the Humphrey Strait and the Middle Strait—across which vehicles had to be ferried, with a transit time of about 12 hours. This road has been taken over by the National Highway Authority of India (NHAI) and renamed NH 4. It is being double-laned. One bridge, the Azad Hind Fauj Setu, a state-of-the-art bridge over the Humphrey Strait, is now operational, while the Middle Strait bridge is under construction. The project has seen cost and time overruns but will be completed in 2027. Once complete, this 320 km stretch can be covered in about five hours. NH 4 is a feat of tremendous strategic significance, enabling the movement of heavy military vehicles and military hardware to the northernmost point by road.

Another project undertaken by the IDA at the PM’s direction was digital connectivity. The PM laid the foundation stone for the project in December 2018. On that day, Port Blair was formally renamed Sri Vijaya Puram. This two-year project was completed four months ahead of schedule, in August 2020. It involved laying a 2,600 km undersea fibre network from Chennai to Sri Vijaya Puram, and from there to the outermost islands. This increased connectivity in Sri Vijaya Puram to 200 Gbps and to the outermost islands to 100 Gbps. Each cable has several spare, untapped ports to accommodate future requirements. We have now submitted a proposal for an additional fibre cable that would run either from Puri or from Machilipatnam to Diglipur. This will provide redundancy and better connectivity for other islands that currently lack OFC and rely on satellite connectivity.

The new airport at Sri Vijaya Puram is state-of-the-art, comparable to any airport worldwide. It receives 25 flights a day, with numbers increasing considerably during the tourist season. The airport has the capacity to handle many more flights than it currently does. It can handle international flights and offers customs, immigration, visa-on-arrival, and e-visa services, depending on which countries have reciprocal arrangements with India. However, the runway has a limitation: landings and take-offs are only from the southwest end, due to a hill at the north eastern end. Therefore, we have submitted a proposal for an alternative, new greenfield airport in Sri Vijaya Puram. The final site selection and the LiDAR survey have been completed, and cost estimates are ready. Our proposal to the Central Government is that the project be executed on the PPP model, on the lines of the Mopa airport in Goa or the Jewar airport in Greater Noida.

In the aviation segment, runway extension programmes at some existing airports are underway. For the northernmost airport at Diglipur/Shibpur, land allotments for the extension to a full 3-km runway are complete; works are ongoing. An extension of the southernmost runway at Campbell Bay is also under consideration, and the land acquisition process is underway. Once completed, there will be four full-length runways, each 3 km long, aligned along the islands’ north-south axis, with all airfields being dual-use.

The civil commercial flights under the UDAN (Ude Desh ka Aam Nagarik) scheme are likely to start within the next couple of months. Letters of Intent (LOIs) by the Airports Authority of India have already been issued to Skyforce, which will operate the flights. Helicopter services will also be available to tourists shortly. Seaplane trials are also ongoing for Sri Vijaya Puram, Swaraj Dweep, Shaheed Dweep, and Long Island, and, hopefully, seaplane operations for tourists will begin by the year-end. As of now, the Maldives is the biggest operator of seaplanes. We hope to become the biggest in due course.

Apart from tourism, the ports and shipping segment offers the greatest potential for economic growth. To that end, we are developing an International Container Transhipment Port on Great Nicobar Island on a PPP basis. Phase I of the project will be completed within four years of the contract award and will have a capacity of just under 6 million TEUs. The final phase will have a capacity of close to 21 million TEUs. Given its geographical advantage, dominating the Strait of Malacca at the gateway to the Indo-Pacific, we believe it has the potential to become one of the most significant container-handling ports in the entire Indo-Pacific. Much, however, will depend on how efficiently the port is run.

Up north, a jetty in Atlanta Bay is being developed as a deep-water multipurpose port. A feasibility study by IIT Chennai has determined that, without dredging or the need for breakwaters—because of the natural configuration of the port—a minimum of 4 km of jetty space can be constructed in 20-30 m waters. Other experts have opined that the natural harbour has up to 10 km of jetty space. This is being handled currently on our behalf by the Syama Prasad Mookerjee Port (SPMK), Kolkata, as designated by the Ministry of Shipping. This too is rapidly moving forward.

At Port Meadows, the country’s first ship-to-ship transport terminal, north of Sri Vijaya Puram, we have already entered into a JV with Matsya, an Indo-German consortium, to develop it. This will be a net revenue model, as we will receive worldwide lease rentals from it. We expect shipping traffic around the A&N islands to increase significantly over the next five years. We have therefore entered into a 30-year MoU with Cochin Shipyard Limited (CSL) to upskill our shipyard’s HR and upgrade our infrastructure, including dry docks, handling facilities, cranes, and jetties. Through these measures, we will position ourselves as a ship repair hub, initially in the Bay of Bengal and, going forward, in the Indo-Pacific. Repair facilities in the Bay of Bengal rim countries are presently extremely rudimentary. There is thus immense potential to position ourselves not only as a ship repair hub but also as a ship construction hub.

In the power sector, we are moving towards solar power. In 2015, 90% of our generation came from diesel generators, 5% from hydroelectric power, and 5% from solar. Today, the solar component is around 25%, and over the next five years it will exceed 70%. About 20% will be generated by LNG, for which a 50 megawatt LNG power plant at Sri Vijaya Puram is coming up shortly. About 5% will remain DG for emergency use. So we are going totally renewable. We have also put forward proposals for small modular nuclear reactors, and we are hopeful that, perhaps in two locations, there will be a component of small modular reactors. Another project under consideration is a high-voltage DC cable link to the mainland, as part of our quest for clean, entirely renewable energy.

Our first five-star hotel opened only in 2020. Now, we have awarded four major hospitality contracts: two to the Radisson Group and two to the Thai global chain Anantara. All of them are clean revenue models for the administration, whose only expenditure is the provision of basic infrastructure, such as road connectivity, network, water, and power. The remaining expenditure will be incurred by the hospitality chain under the DBFOT concept (design, build, finance, operate, and at the end of the lease period, transfer it back to the administration), or through re bidding. In the coming weeks, 11 such major contracts are ready to be offloaded. So, the tourism infrastructure, which has been a major bottleneck so far, is set for a complete revamp to realise its full potential. This will include niche areas such as scuba diving, to make the Andamans a global scuba diving hub.

An internationally acknowledged professional diver, the Frenchman Jacques Cousteau, who, in the 90s, when he came to the Andamans, made a film, Andamans: The Invisible Islands, said he had dived all over the world, but the most diver-friendly and beautiful underwater habitat he found was in the waters of the Andaman Islands. This view has also been echoed by the global Professional Association of Diving Instructors (PADI).

Birdwatching is another niche area where we are developing infrastructure, guides, and facilities, as the islands are home to several bird species found nowhere else in the world. The third is astrotourism. With clear skies, zero pollution, and a location close to the equator, this is another niche area under development.

I will now cover two points that, at this stage, are still works in progress but, depending on how they unfold, could provide an overlay on the entire discourse I have covered so far. The first is the Thailand Land Bridge project. Recently, at the highest political levels in Thailand, it was announced that the project has been finalised. It is no longer a canal project but a land bridge over the same stretch where the canal was previously contemplated. This 45 km stretch will have a multi-purpose port at the Andaman Sea end in Ranong and at the Gulf of Thailand end in Chumphon. It will have multiple rail tracks for rapid transhipment of containers between sides, along with multi-lane road connectivity. It will also have pipelines for oil, petroleum, and natural gas.

This project is slated for rapid execution on a 100% PPP basis, and the bid is open to all. From the eastern end of the Chumphon port, the South China Sea is just 300 km away. In other words, the South China Sea is within 400 km of our doorstep. A significant share of traffic currently transiting the Strait of Malacca would now perhaps take this route, saving about 1,000 km each way, or about 3 days of travel time. The entire maritime scenario across the Indo-Pacific divide is set to change fundamentally. This traffic, moving along the 10th parallel and passing between the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, is of great strategic relevance to India. We dominate both the 6-degree and the 10-degree channels.

Turning to the second point, despite having one-third of the country’s EEZ and one-fourth of its coastline, no offshore oil exploration had taken place until 2020, because the entire stretch of waters around the Andaman & Nicobar group of islands was designated a “no-go zone” for oil exploration. This was due to concerns that debris from DRDO missile launches from Wheeler Island and ISRO missile launches from Sriharikota might fall in that area. Now, with technologies available to prevent that from happening, vast stretches of the ocean have been freed up for oil exploration. In 2025, Oil India Limited (OIL) found gas samples with 87% methane in Sri Vijaya Puram 2. On 27 January, ONGC “spudded” a stratigraphic well, Sri Vijaya Puram 3, which yielded crude condensate. As exploratory work proceeds, there are expectations that future finds may exceed the Guyana basin find, potentially taking India to a $20 trillion economy.

On the ground, the Offshore Areas Licensing Policy (OALP) 10 and 11 auction of offshore lots, initially planned for February, was deferred to May and has now been deferred to 19th of June. The largest-ever auction of oil blocks is taking place between these two auctions, with a significant portion of the blocks in the Andaman Basin. Our oil majors, namely Oil India and ONGC, are in advanced discussions with BP (formerly British Petroleum), ExxonMobil, Shell, and Petrobras of Brazil, which has experience in the Guyana Basin. Some JVs and MoUs already exist. These JVs and MoUs will bring not only funding but also deep-sea oil exploration technologies and, most importantly, drilling rigs specifically designed for ultra-deep-sea exploration. Ultra-deep-sea drilling technology operates at depths exceeding 1,500 m.

With that, I hope what I have spoken about provides a suitable backdrop for the three sessions you have planned for the afternoon, which I think will play a pivotal role in bringing some of the mainstream thinking to centre stage, an area that has remained neglected so far.

 

SESSION 1
Sustainable Development, Community Governance, and Ecological Resilience in the Andaman and Nicobar Islands

 

For decades, discussions about the development of the Andaman and Nicobar Islands have been marked by a persistent dilemma. It was often argued that significant development would harm the islands’ fragile ecology and disrupt the unique communities that inhabit them. As a result, development and conservation were frequently seen as competing objectives rather than complementary goals. Before we begin our discussion, it is important to appreciate the sheer scale and significance of the Andaman and Nicobar Islands—something that is often not fully understood on the Indian mainland.

The Hon’ble Lieutenant Governor, Admiral DK Joshi, and Dr Ram Madhav have already highlighted some important figures, but they bear repeating. The Andaman and Nicobar Islands are larger in area than 33 sovereign states worldwide. They are nearly eleven times the size of Singapore, four times the size of Luxembourg, and larger than countries such as Brunei. Even Great Nicobar Island, which lies at the southern extremity of the archipelago and is smaller than islands such as South Andaman, Middle Andaman, and North Andaman, is about 1.25 times the size of Singapore. Remarkably, Great Nicobar alone is larger than 24 sovereign states worldwide.

These comparisons are important because they provide perspective. When concerns are raised about developmental projects, it is essential to understand that we are often discussing activities confined to relatively small areas within a much larger geographical space. At the same time, the ecological significance of these islands cannot be overstated.

The Andaman and Nicobar Islands are among India’s richest biodiversity hotspots. They are home to approximately 2,200 plant species, of which nearly 1,300 are endemic—found nowhere else in India. Similarly, of the roughly 8,300 recorded faunal species, over 1,100 are unique to these islands. For example, the islands support about 55 mammal species, 32 of which are endemic. They are also home to around 270 bird species, including nearly 90 found nowhere else in the world. These figures underscore why ecological conservation must remain central to any development strategy.

Yet development is equally important. Recent exploratory findings indicate significant hydrocarbon potential in the region. While the commercial viability and precise extent of these reserves will require further assessment, the potential is undoubtedly substantial. Coupled with the islands’ strategic location astride major maritime trade routes, this presents new opportunities for economic growth and national development.

The human dimension is equally significant. The islands are home not only to tribal communities such as the Nicobarese but also to some of the world’s last surviving aboriginal groups—the Great Andamanese, the Onges, the Jarawas, and the Shompens. These communities embody unique cultural traditions and ways of life that have endured for centuries. The Sentinelese, in particular, remain the world’s most isolated human community, maintaining virtually no contact with the outside world. Consequently, discussions of development cannot be limited to economics and infrastructure alone. They must also address questions of community governance, cultural preservation, social inclusion, and the protection of vulnerable indigenous populations.

The challenge before us, therefore, is not whether development should take place, but how it can be pursued in an environmentally responsible, socially sensitive, and economically sustainable manner. With more than 8,000 square kilometres of territory, abundant natural resources, extraordinary biodiversity, and immense strategic significance, the Andaman and Nicobar Islands possess enormous potential. The task for policymakers is to harness that potential while preserving the ecological and cultural heritage that makes these islands so unique.

It’s a privilege to be invited by the India Foundation to address this distinguished gathering on a subject that is not merely academic but of profound strategic consequence for our nation and the broader Indo-Pacific. My experience as Lieutenant Governor of the Andaman and Nicobar Islands has transformed my understanding of what it means to govern a territory where geography, ecology, security, and civilisational legacy converge in ways unlike anywhere else in the Indian Union. The Andaman and Nicobar Islands are not a footnote in India’s story. In many ways, they are a window into India’s future—a future shaped by its maritime identity, its Indo-Pacific engagement, and its emergence as a leading power in the Indian Ocean region.

Geography, as we know, often shapes destiny. The Andaman and Nicobar archipelago comprises 836 islands, islets, and rocks, of which only a small fraction are inhabited. It stretches nearly 800 kilometres from north to south, astride the 10-degree channel, through which approximately one-third of global maritime trade passes each year. The eastern mouth of the Strait of Malacca, perhaps the single most important choke point in international shipping, lies within reach of our southernmost tip. This is not a strategic asset we inherited by accident; it’s a gift of geography that demands a response commensurate with that vision.

For much of independent India’s history, the islands have been viewed either through the lens of the Cellular Jail and our freedom struggle, or as a repository of unique biodiversity requiring protection. Both perspectives are important. Yet the demands of the twenty-first century require us to see the islands in their entirety—as a strategic frontier, an ecological treasure, a developmental opportunity, and a national responsibility. During my tenure as Lieutenant Governor, I was repeatedly struck by the difficulty of balancing these imperatives. The task for policymakers is not to choose between them but to harmonise them. That, in my view, remains the central challenge of governance in the Andaman and Nicobar Islands.

Let me first turn to security, for without it neither ecology nor development can flourish. The geographical and geopolitical environment in the Indo-Pacific has changed dramatically over the past decade. The rise of China as a blue-water naval power, the militarisation of the South China Sea, the growing frequency of extra-regional naval presence in the Indian Ocean, and the intensification of competition among major powers for maritime influence—all of these trends converge on the Andaman and Nicobar Islands with particular force.

India’s Andaman and Nicobar Command, established in 2001 as our first and only tri-service theatre command, was a prescient institutional response to these emerging realities. It remains, to this day, a model of joint military thinking that the rest of our defence establishment continues to aspire to. During my tenure, I had the opportunity to work closely with successive commanders and to see firsthand the professionalism and dedication of our armed forces personnel stationed in conditions of considerable remoteness and hardship. However, the gap between the strategic importance of these islands and the resources allocated to their defence infrastructure has been a persistent concern. Our runways, port facilities, surveillance capabilities, and logistics chains have all required sustained investment over many years.

The Government of India is now showing a heightened appreciation of this imperative. The holistic development of the Great Nicobar Island project, the upgrading of Andaman and Nicobar Command’s capabilities, and the broader push for maritime domain awareness mark a welcome acceleration of national intent. Yet I would urge even greater urgency. The window of strategic advantage is not permanent. Our geographical position in the eastern Indian Ocean will realise its full deterrent and shaping potential only if it is underpinned by credible military capability, modern infrastructure, and effective domain awareness. I would also emphasise the importance of deepening our engagements with like-minded partners in the Indo-Pacific: the United States, Japan, Australia, France, and others, through the lens of the Andaman and Nicobar Islands. These partnerships can be structured to enhance our sovereignty and strategic autonomy rather than dilute them, provided we approach them with clarity of purpose and confidence in our own vision.

Let me now speak about ecology. The Andaman and Nicobar Islands contain some of theplanet’s most biologically diverse ecosystems. They are home to over 2,200 plant species, nearly  350 bird species, and an extraordinary array of marine life. The coral reefs of the Andaman Sea are among the richest and most resilient in the Indo-Pacific. The Nicobar group, in particular, harbours species such as the Nicobar megapode and the crab-eating macaque, which are found nowhere else on Earth. Several of our tribal communities, including the Jarawas, Sentinelese, and the Onges, have lived in these ecosystems for tens of thousands of years, representing an irreplaceable continuity of human adaptation to the natural world. The 2004 tsunami was a brutal reminder that the natural systems of these islands, including mangroves, coral reefs, and coastal vegetation, serve as the first line of defence for human settlements. Where these systems were intact, communities survived. Where they had been degraded, the destruction was catastrophic. I am therefore strongly supportive of a calibrated, evidence-based approach to development that places ecological carrying capacity at the centre of planning.

The paradox of the Andaman and Nicobar Islands is that they lie at the crossroads of global commerce, yet their residents have long been economically marginalised by their distance from mainland markets and the administrative complexities of Union Territory governance. I am particularly convinced of the transformative potential of sustainable tourism in the Andaman Islands. The natural beauty of these islands, with their pristine beaches, crystal-clear waters, and rich marine life, is without parallel in the Indian subcontinent. A well-regulated, high-value tourism sector, developed with strict environmental safeguards and strong community participation, could generate substantial livelihoods while building a constituency for conservation among local residents. I would strongly advocate adopting a blue economy framework that treats the islands’ marine resources not merely as commodities to be extracted, but as assets to be sustainably managed for the long-term benefit of island communities.

Equally important is the question of connectivity. The undersea optical fibre cable now linking the islands to the mainland is a significant achievement, bringing broadband to communities previously reliant on satellite links with limited bandwidth. This infrastructure can be leveraged to create new opportunities in digital services, telemedicine, and distance education. However, physical connectivity, through improved air links and inter-island ferry services, remains a critical, unfinished agenda.

No discussion of governance in the Andaman and Nicobar Islands can be complete without reference to the extraordinary responsibility we bear towards the indigenous tribal communities of these islands. The Andaman people, the Jarawas, the Sentinelese, the Great Andamanese, the Onges, and others are among the most ancient human communities on Earth. Their genetic lineages trace directly to the earliest migration of Homo sapiens out of Africa. They are, in a very literal sense, living links to the deepest chapters of the human story. Our constitutional and moral obligation to these communities is absolute. The policy of protecting their habitat from external contact, imperfect in its implementation though it has sometimes been, rests on the hard-earned wisdom that these communities are extraordinarily vulnerable to the diseases, social disruptions, and cultural dislocations that external contact brings. The Andaman Trunk Road, which passes through the Jarawa Reserve, remains a source of justified concern from a protection standpoint, and I would urge continued attention to this question from both the administration and civil society. At the same time, we must guard against paternalism that denies these communities any agency in shaping their own futures. The principle must be respect for their autonomy and choices, informed by the best available anthropological and epidemiological knowledge and guided by a genuine commitment to their well-being rather than by any external agenda, whether development- or culture-related.

No single initiative more powerfully crystallises India’s 21st-century vision for the Andaman and Nicobar Islands than the holistic development of Great Nicobar Island. Situated at the southern extremity of our archipelago, barely 90 nautical miles from Sumatra and overlooking one of the world’s busiest maritime corridors, Great Nicobar holds exceptional strategic importance. For decades, India had this advantage but lacked the infrastructure to realise its full potential. The Great Nicobar project seeks to bridge that gap.

The proposed transhipment port, international airport, supporting township, and dual-use strategic infrastructure are far more than a development project. They constitute a long-term investment in India’s maritime future, economic competitiveness, and strategic reach in the eastern Indian Ocean. The significance of the transhipment terminal alone cannot be overstated. For too long, Indian trade has relied on foreign ports for transhipment. Great Nicobar offers the opportunity to retain a larger share of that economic value within India while establishing a major maritime hub at one of the world’s most important trading crossroads.

Equally significant is the strategic dimension. A strengthened Indian presence on Great Nicobar will enhance maritime domain awareness, strengthen deterrence, and reinforce India’s ability to contribute to stability and security across the wider Indo-Pacific. Naturally, concerns about ecology and indigenous communities must be taken seriously. They deserve rigorous assessment, continuous monitoring, and responsible mitigation. But environmental stewardship and strategic development need not be seen as opposing objectives. The challenge is to pursue both with wisdom, sensitivity, and foresight. What we must avoid is allowing caution to become paralysis. Strategic opportunities do not remain available indefinitely. Infrastructure of this scale requires years of planning and execution, and the costs of inaction can be as high as the risks of action.

Great Nicobar is therefore more than an island. It is a statement of India’s intent—a recognition that our maritime geography is among our greatest national strengths and that we have both the confidence and the vision to harness it responsibly.

By way of introduction, I had the privilege of serving as Deputy Commissioner of Car Nicobar in the Nicobar Islands for two years. During that period, I travelled extensively across the Nicobar group and visited virtually every inhabited island, including the lighthouse at Indira Point, which was submerged after the 2004 tsunami. My association with the islands extends beyond administration. I was also involved in establishing the first scuba diving society in the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, which gave me a unique perspective on the region’s extraordinary maritime and ecological wealth.

The Andaman and Nicobar Islands pose a fascinating and complex challenge, where ecological preservation, economic development, and national security imperatives intersect. Balancing these often competing priorities requires a nuanced, integrated approach to governance and policymaking. My interest in these issues led me to write a book nearly a decade ago for the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, titled The Andaman and Nicobar Islands: India’s Untapped Strategic Assets. The central argument of that work was that these islands possess immense strategic potential, which, if developed thoughtfully and sustainably, could significantly enhance India’s maritime and geopolitical position.

The Strait of Malacca is one of the world’s most critical maritime chokepoints and a strategic asset of immense significance. In 2003, Chinese President Hu Jintao famously referred to the “Malacca Dilemma,” highlighting China’s vulnerability arising from its dependence on this narrow sea lane for energy supplies and trade. For India, however, the Strait represents a significant strategic advantage—provided we can fully leverage the geographic potential of the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, which lie astride the Strait’s western approaches. The importance of these islands is further underscored by the fact that nearly one-third of India’s Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) is associated with the Andaman and Nicobar archipelago. As maritime competition intensifies and the Indo-Pacific assumes greater geopolitical significance, this vast maritime domain and the islands’ strategic location are becoming increasingly important to India’s security, economic interests, and regional influence.

In the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, indigenous populations experience vastly different realities of survival, autonomy, and integration into modernity. At one end of the spectrum are the Nicobarese, who have successfully integrated into mainstream society. While they face modern socio-economic challenges, such as addressing unemployment among their increasingly educated youth, they are also celebrated for their vibrant culture and athletic prowess, having won the prestigious Subroto Mukerjee Football Tournament multiple times. The Shompen of Great Nicobar, a vulnerable group of roughly 200 to 300 individuals, require careful, non intrusive welfare and conservation support. The Jarawas live within a designated reserve bisected by National Highway 4 (NH4). The Onge tribe has been deeply affected by direct state intervention. The government’s initiative to resettle them into permanent housing remains highly controversial; critics argue that these forced modernisations have disrupted their traditional way of life and fostered systemic dependency rather than genuine empowerment. The islands’ most isolated populations, the Sentinelese, continue to live in absolute seclusion on North Sentinel Island. It was here that an American missionary was killed by a Sentinelese arrow. The Great Andamanese population has dwindled to just a few dozen survivors.

On the strategic side, various issues keep emerging. Many years ago, the Indian Navy sought to establish a radar station on Narcondam Island, a remote, uninhabited volcanic island in the Andaman Sea. At just 6.8 square kilometres, it juts towards Thailand and is India’s easternmost island, famed as the exclusive, protected home of the endangered Narcondam Hornbill. The government denied permission to set up the radar station on the grounds that it would endanger the 300 or so hornbills endemic to the island. Here, environmentalists overrode strategic requirements, despite there being no evidence that a radar station posed a threat to the hornbills.

Another issue has arisen with the Great Nicobar Island project at Galathea Bay. Currently, the controversies surrounding the project concern the Shompen tribe and the turtles’ nesting sites. Indira Point, south of the island, is now underwater after the 2004 tsunami, but the lighthouse there, though partially submerged, still functions. With the transhipment port, an increase in ships will cause some water pollution, as we have seen in Singapore. Also, the structures being built must be designed to withstand earthquakes of magnitude 8 or 9 on the Richter scale. This needs to be ensured.

The Ten Degree Channel, which separates the Andaman and Nicobar groups of islands, warrants particular attention. India argued that the channel should be treated as internal waters, thereby giving it greater control over transit by foreign vessels. However, this position was not accepted under the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS). By contrast, countries such as Indonesia, as archipelagic states, enjoy greater rights over waters enclosed by their archipelagic baselines. This distinction has important strategic implications. The Ten Degree Channel is a critical maritime passage, and there are growing concerns about its use by foreign naval vessels, including Chinese submarines transiting between the Bay of Bengal and the wider Indo-Pacific. Given the changing security environment in the region and the growing strategic importance of the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, it may be worthwhile for India to revisit the legal and diplomatic aspects of this issue and explore whether a stronger case can be made for enhanced regulatory control over this vital waterway.

An international airport is planned for Great Nicobar Island. However, it may be worthwhile to assess whether existing infrastructure can be used more effectively before embarking on an entirely new facility. The islands already host INS Baaz at Campbell Bay, a strategically located naval air station under the tri-service Andaman and Nicobar Command. Subject to operational and technical feasibility, extending its runway and expanding associated facilities could meet both strategic and civilian aviation requirements at lower environmental and financial costs. Alternative engineering solutions could also be explored. Several countries, most notably Japan, have successfully developed airport infrastructure through land reclamation and offshore extensions, thereby minimising the impact on ecologically sensitive terrestrial areas. Given the unique environmental significance of Great Nicobar, such options merit careful consideration as part of a broader assessment of developmental needs, strategic imperatives, economic viability, and ecological sustainability.

Another aspect that merits consideration is the natural deep-water harbour at Nancowry, located between the islands of Nancowry and Kamorta in the Central Nicobar group. This harbour, utilised by the Japanese during the Second World War, offers significant natural advantages as a sheltered anchorage. Its geography is particularly noteworthy, with navigable access channels providing entry and exit routes, making it a strategically valuable maritime asset. The Indian Navy already maintains a presence here through INS Kardip, a Forward Operating Base on Kamorta Island that operates under the tri-service Andaman and Nicobar Command. Commissioned in 1973, the base contributes to India’s maritime surveillance and operational capabilities in this strategically important region. The presence of such infrastructure raises broader questions about the optimal utilisation of resources across the island chain. For example, both civilian authorities and the Navy maintain adjacent helipads in the area. While there may be valid operational reasons for separate facilities, it is worth examining whether greater integration and shared-use arrangements could enhance efficiency, reduce duplication, and minimise the environmental footprint of future development.

In conclusion, the Andaman and Nicobar Islands would benefit from a comprehensive assessment of existing assets before undertaking new infrastructure projects, ensuring that strategic, economic, and ecological considerations are addressed in a balanced and coordinated manner.

Major infrastructure projects in India have long been the subject of vigorous public debate, which is both healthy and necessary in a democracy. I recall the discussions surrounding the Enron power project, the country’s first large-scale private-sector power venture. At the time, I had reservations about the high cost of the electricity it would produce. Yet I also felt the project could serve as a catalyst for broader change—encouraging Indian entrepreneurs to enter the power sector and fostering a culture in which consumers and state utilities recognised the need to pay the true cost of electricity. The underlying logic was sound, even if the outcome ultimately fell far short of expectations. That experience has made me cautious about assuming that every grand plan will unfold exactly as envisioned. At the same time, uncertainty cannot be a reason for inaction. If we allow fear of failure to prevent us from undertaking ambitious projects, we risk condemning ourselves to stagnation.

Change has brought us many benefits, and they are now visible: you can see them in every National Family Health Survey, and you will also see them when the census report comes out. You’re already seeing it in the population figures; a country that once had such massive panic and fear about the population bomb is now, in my lifetime, worrying about having too few babies. So things can change dramatically; not all fears come true. And that’s how fears have to be seen, rationally, not embraced instinctively. And some of that is happening in the Andaman Nicobar area as well.

On the issue of developments in Great Nicobar, environmentalists want to preserve the pristine environment as it is. The political argument by opposition groups against this development is that if it were such a good idea, they would have implemented it when they were in power for six or seven decades! The fact is that everything changes. On Hainan Island, the Chinese, while creating provisions for military facilities, have preserved their forests.

The Andaman and Nicobar Islands and Lakshadweep are two fantastic geopolitical, ecological, and economic opportunities for India. By not developing them, we have allowed them to become security liabilities, as India has to invest heavily in their protection. Leaving them as they are risks becoming like the absentee landlord who goes overseas and, on his return, finds that somebody has occupied his land. During the 1965 war, Sukarno talked about annexing the Andaman and Nicobar Islands. In Air Marshal Asghar Khan’s autobiography, there are conversations between him and the then Indonesian Navy Chief, who said, “What business does India have to own these islands? These fall between East Pakistan and the Sumatra region of Indonesia, and belong to us. We will just go and take them; India has no navy anyway.”

When Sukarno fell, things changed. However, when the Indian Navy inducted the Tu-142Ms, long-range maritime reconnaissance and anti-submarine warfare aircraft, Admiral Hartas, an Indonesian admiral, stated that it was now time to act on these islands because Indonesia had a stronger claim to them than India, particularly to the Nicobar Islands. That is why it is necessary to convert a security liability into a security asset. While we do not need to militarise the Islands, we need to use geography to our advantage should the need arise, as Iran has shown in its conflict with the United States. We are not building an asset to block the Strait of Malacca. That, in any case, is a bad and very provocative idea, as it will affect many of India’s friends and India’s trade.

A cursory look at the map of India shows that India’s economic growth is weighted towards its western seaboard, which hosts major commercial centres, modern ports and airports. The Eastern seaboard is comparatively less developed. While the Indian Navy has some of its most valuable assets on the Eastern coast, such as INS Varsha, where the nuclear submarines are based, the rest of India’s Eastern seaboard is quite bare. If the Kra Canal is built in Thailand, or even if a highway project connecting one side to the other is constructed, it would immediately open up all of India’s Eastern coast to the rest of the world. India has defence assets on its Eastern seaboard, but a military presence in the A&N islands overlooking the region would pay great dividends and provide India with defence in depth.

The Chinese already have Hambantota, and in Coco Island, which is not far from the Andamans, they have an airstrip longer than INS Baaz. There is nothing more important than a nation’s defence. We need to be prepared to fight the wars of tomorrow, and not those of yesteryears. But more importantly, we need to avoid wars through deterrence, and raise the costs of any misadventure for an aggressor.

As for the transhipment port in Galathea Bay, the environmental concerns have been addressed as far as possible. It is also surprising to see many naval veterans on social media saying the port will not be commercially viable. How they have reached that conclusion is unclear, but in any case they know little about commerce. That aspect will be handled by private companies, and no private company will sink its shareholders’ money into an infeasible project.

What we need is more communication and more debates like this. We need to move beyond the old Planning Commission mindset, in which the pre-reform question was: “Will India need this or not?” One of the Planning Commissions in the late 1980s said that India should not issue licences to produce additional cars because the Indian market could not absorb more than 50,000 cars. Today, India manufactures 5–6 million cars and exports a large number as well.

The time has come for India to think big, without being reckless. For understandable reasons, our strategic outlook has traditionally been shaped by continental concerns. Most of the threats we have faced since Independence have emanated from our land borders, making us largely border-centric in our strategic thinking. Today, however, we need to broaden our strategic horizon and look beyond our frontiers. Future challenges may not necessarily take the form of an adversary seeking to capture another square kilometre in Ladakh or another ridge line near Tawang. Such ventures are increasingly costly, both politically and militarily. The maritime domain presents a very different set of challenges.

In this context, I am reminded of remarks reportedly made by Pakistan Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir during a speech in Tampa, Florida. Referring to a future conflict, he reportedly said, “The next time, we will start from the East,” adding, “Isn’t it there, on the Eastern side, that they keep what is most valuable to them?” Many interpreted this as a reference to the Siliguri Corridor or to developments involving Bangladesh. My own reading was somewhat different. I believe he was drawing attention to India’s eastern maritime seaboard and the vulnerabilities that could arise in the maritime domain.

Whether that interpretation is correct or not, the broader point remains valid. Future threats are likely to be more complex, technologically enabled, and less predictable than those we have traditionally planned for. Advances in unmanned systems mean that powerful drones and autonomous platforms can be deployed from commercial vessels, fishing boats, shadow tankers, or dark fleets operating far from conventional battlefields. The distinction between civilian and military activity at sea is becoming increasingly blurred.

India must therefore prepare for the future rather than remain anchored in the assumptions of the past. Geography has bestowed unique maritime advantages on us, particularly in the Andaman and Nicobar Islands. The challenge before us is to develop and leverage these assets responsibly, balancing environmental considerations with economic and security imperatives. Seen in that light, the Great Nicobar project is not merely a development initiative; it is part of a broader effort to position India for the strategic realities of the twenty-first century.

 

SESSION 2
Andaman and Nicobar Islands as a Focal Point for Maritime Security andRegional Cooperation in the Indo-Pacific

 

The Andaman and Nicobar Islands, located 1,200 kilometres or more off the coast of India, serve as India’s premier maritime outpost, anchoring its security strategy and regional cooperation in the Indo-Pacific region. The archipelago overlooks one of the world’s busiest sea lines of communication, with 90,000 ships a year passing through it—30 per cent of all global trade, according to the World Economic Forum, including two-thirds of China’s global trade, 80 per cent of China’s energy imports, 45 per cent of all seaborne oil transit in the world, and 55 per cent of India’s merchandise trade.

As we see in real time, the importance of maritime choke points cannot be overstated. Great Nicobar Island is a natural choke point, vital for monitoring shipping traffic and countering conventional and unconventional threats, including piracy, illegal fishing, and maritime terrorism. The establishment of the Andaman and Nicobar Command, India’s only operational tri-services command, in 2001 underscores the strategic value of the islands. A robust presence on Great Nicobar enables India to project power, monitor threats, and provide rapid humanitarian assistance and disaster relief across the Bay of Bengal and the Western Pacific.

Beyond defence, the islands are a launchpad for regional diplomacy under the Act East policy. India has begun to leverage this geography to deepen ties with Southeast Asian nations, including Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Myanmar, which lie between 100 and 400 nautical miles from the islands. The islands host multinational naval exercises, such as the Milan exercises and coordinated patrols, or CORPATs, with navies from these countries. By expanding infrastructure and promoting sustainable economic corridors, India has transformed the archipelago from an isolated frontier into a vibrant hub for collaborative ocean governance, ensuring a free, open, and inclusive Indo-Pacific.

It’s a privilege to speak about a region that has moved from the margins of India’s strategic thinking to the centre of the Indo-Pacific geopolitical maritime arena. I’ll speak from my experience as CINCAN, an Air Force officer in a maritime environment, from 2012 to 2014.

It is important to recognise that the strategic value of these islands begins with geography. Stretching nearly 750 kilometres north-south at the mouth of the Malacca Strait, they occupy one of the most strategic positions in the Indo-Pacific region. Their proximity to the Strait of Malacca, through which almost one-third of global trade and much of the energy supplies for East Asian countries pass, gives them exceptional strategic value.

They provide a vantage point over the Sunda and Lombok Straits, strengthening India’s ability to monitor critical maritime gateways between the Indian and Pacific Oceans. In an era when disruptions at chokepoints such as the Suez Canal, the Red Sea, the Strait of Hormuz, and the Strait of Malacca can reshape global trade and security, geography has once again become a strategic determinant of power. Few locations in the Indo-Pacific offer India a comparable strategic advantage. This century has seen India’s transition from a predominantly continental orientation to a balanced continental-maritime one.

This evolution is evident in India’s transition from the Look East policy to the more proactive Act East approach; the articulation of SAGAR and its subsequent expansion into MAHASAGAR; the consistent emphasis on a free, open, and inclusive Indo-Pacific across regional and global forums; and India’s growing engagement with regional institutions. Our aspiration to become a net security provider in the region is integral to this strategic transformation. In this broader vision, the Andaman and Nicobar Islands have emerged as an indispensable strategic asset, central to advancing India’s maritime interests and broader regional objectives.

A major milestone in the strategic evolution of these islands came in 2001 with the establishment of the Andaman and Nicobar Command (ANC), India’s first and only integrated tri-service command. By bringing together the Navy, Army, Air Force, and Coast Guard under a unified operational structure, the ANC marked a significant step towards jointness and integrated warfighting. What began as a naval command headquartered in these islands was transformed into a truly joint command, reflecting a forward-looking approach to national security. Over the past two decades, the ANC has evolved from a relatively remote military formation into a key operational hub for India’s Act East policy and a critical pillar of our Indo-Pacific strategy. Its importance today extends far beyond territorial defence; it serves as a platform for maritime domain awareness, power projection, humanitarian assistance and disaster relief, and engagement with regional partners.

The command structure was carefully designed to address concerns about inter-service integration. At its apex is the Commander-in-Chief, Andaman and Nicobar Command (CINCAN), supported by component commanders from the Army, Navy, and Air Force, each responsible for overseeing their respective service elements and providing professional military advice. This arrangement addressed initial apprehensions about officers from one service commanding personnel from another, while preserving service expertise within a genuinely integrated framework. The ANC thus became an important precursor to the joint theatre command structures that India is now seeking to develop.

In the ANC’s early years, the idea of an integrated tri-service command met with hesitation. Individual Services had understandable reservations, rooted in both institutional mindsets and genuine resource constraints. At the time, the Services were grappling with shortages on the mainland and were cautious about allocating scarce assets to a distant island territory. Over time, however, experience demonstrated the value of jointness, and these initial concerns gradually diminished.

A decisive shift has occurred in recent years. There has been a marked increase in attention to the islands, reflected in substantial infrastructure investment and the steady deployment of military assets. While resource constraints persist, every effort is being made to strengthen the islands’ operational capabilities and integrate them more closely into India’s broader strategic framework.

The development of key military installations illustrates this transformation. The expansion of INS Baaz at Campbell Bay has significantly enhanced India’s ability to monitor and operate in the eastern approaches to the Indian Ocean. While discussions continue over the relative merits of various infrastructure projects on the islands, it is important to recognise that INS Baaz faces geographical and developmental constraints that limit further expansion. Similar efforts are underway at INS Kohassa in the northern islands. The runway at Car Nicobar, which was extensively damaged in the 2004 tsunami, has been rebuilt and restored to full operational capability. In addition, substantial investments have been made in naval and Coast Guard infrastructure, as well as in the deployment of advanced platforms and equipment.

These assets are critical to strengthening maritime domain awareness, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR), long-range air operations, logistics support, and humanitarian assistance and disaster relief (HADR) missions. They are integral to India’s ability to respond rapidly to security contingencies and natural disasters across the region. From an Air Force perspective, the islands significantly enhance India’s ability to project presence and influence across the Indian Ocean Region and, increasingly, the wider Indo-Pacific. The Indian Air Force and Indian Navy regularly participate in exercises with regional partners, including Australia, Japan, Singapore, and several neighbouring countries. Cooperative patrols and coordinated maritime activities are now routine, reflecting a growing network of security partnerships and shared maritime interests.

The proposed Great Nicobar Project marks the next stage in India’s island strategy. The first phase has focused on developing the islands’ strategic and military infrastructure; the next phase aims to unlock their broader economic and geopolitical potential. The project could significantly enhance India’s strategic leverage in the Indo-Pacific while reinforcing the geopolitical relevance of the Strait of Malacca and the wider maritime commons.

The significance of the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, however, extends far beyond their military utility. Their proximity to Indonesia, Myanmar, and Thailand offers important opportunities for economic integration, connectivity, and diplomatic engagement. Through the SAGAR vision— Security and Growth for All in the Region—India has sought to combine security with partnership. The islands support maritime diplomacy, capacity building, information sharing, and HADR operations, and serve as an important platform for India’s wider Indo-Pacific initiatives.

The Quad adds another important dimension to this evolving architecture. Although not a formal military alliance, it seeks to promote a free, open, inclusive, and rules-based Indo-Pacific through cooperation on maritime security, critical technologies, resilient supply chains, and regional capacity building. In this context, the Andaman and Nicobar Islands provide India with a unique strategic position from which to contribute to regional initiatives while preserving its strategic autonomy.

At the same time, any balanced assessment of the islands must acknowledge the challenges involved. Increased strategic activity and infrastructure development will inevitably attract greater scrutiny from regional competitors, particularly China. This reality must be recognised and managed prudently by India. Development must therefore proceed in a way that strengthens security while encouraging cooperation wherever possible.

Equally important are concerns about environmental sustainability, tribal rights, climate vulnerability, and ecological fragility. These issues require careful stewardship and responsible governance. Infrastructure development on the islands is both costly and logistically demanding. Building and maintaining facilities more than 1,200 kilometres from the Indian mainland, across a dispersed archipelago, poses unique challenges. Connectivity, healthcare, education, and the availability of skilled manpower all require sustained, long-term investment.

The central challenge for policymakers is therefore to ensure that security imperatives and sustainable development reinforce rather than undermine one another. A careful balance among strategic requirements, economic growth, environmental protection, and social welfare will be essential to the long-term success of India’s island strategy.

In conclusion, the Andaman and Nicobar Islands reflect India’s growing recognition of the maritime domain as a central pillar of national strategy. Once viewed primarily as a remote outpost, they are now an integral part of India’s Indo-Pacific vision. As they become increasingly woven into India’s economic, diplomatic, and security architecture, the islands have emerged as instruments of both deterrence and cooperation. Situated at the crossroads of the Indian and Pacific Oceans, they serve as India’s forward maritime bastion. The task ahead is clear: to ensure their development remains secure, sustainable, and strategically relevant in the decades to come.

The Andaman and Nicobar Islands have emerged as critical geopolitical and geo-economic assets for India and its Indo-Pacific partners. As India’s easternmost territory, the archipelago serves as a natural interface between South Asia and Southeast Asia. Given China’s growing military presence in the Indian Ocean Region and the Bay of Bengal, the islands have become even more significant to India’s national security.

The military and economic development of the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, together with the enhancement of India’s power-projection capabilities, is an important component of our deterrence strategy. Events along our northern borders in recent years have reinforced the need to reassess the strategic importance of these islands. Their location astride some of the world’s most vital maritime chokepoints places them at the centre of global trade flows, including the movement of energy supplies and hydrocarbons that are critical not only to China but also to Japan, South Korea, and many other economies in the Indo-Pacific.

China’s dependence on these sea lanes has long been recognised as a strategic vulnerability. The so-called “Malacca Dilemma,” a term popularised by former Chinese President Hu Jintao, reflects Beijing’s concern about reliance on the Strait of Malacca. This concern has prompted China to explore alternative routes, including proposals for a canal across Thailand’s Kra Isthmus. Even if such projects materialise, the Andaman and Nicobar Islands’ proximity to these alternative maritime corridors will ensure that the Andaman and Nicobar Command (ANC) continues to play a crucial role in maintaining maritime security in the region.

Recent developments elsewhere have only reinforced the importance of strategic geography. Events in the Strait of Hormuz and the threats posed by the Houthis in the Bab-el-Mandeb have shown how vulnerable global trade is to disruptions at key maritime chokepoints. The world is now acutely aware of the strategic value of controlling and securing such waterways. India displayed considerable foresight when it established the Andaman and Nicobar Command in 2001, the country’s first integrated tri-service command. As Air Marshal Roy noted earlier, progress could perhaps have been faster. Nevertheless, the changing geopolitical environment has made it abundantly clear that India has no option but to strengthen the archipelago’s military and economic infrastructure. This is precisely the direction in which current policy is moving.

The islands play a vital role in regional maritime security. Their proximity to the Six Degree Channel, one of the world’s busiest shipping lanes, together with the surveillance and military assets deployed there, gives India significant strategic advantages. Over the years, the islands have become an important hub for maritime domain awareness. The archipelago hosts an extensive network of radar stations and coastal surveillance systems linked to the Information Fusion Centre–Indian Ocean Region (IFC-IOR) in Gurugram. These systems collect and transmit critical information on the movement of naval vessels, submarines, research ships, and commercial traffic across the region. The IFC-IOR, an Indian initiative with growing international participation, has become a key mechanism for information sharing and maritime cooperation.

The islands also support the monitoring of commercial shipping and contribute significantly to India’s white-shipping agreements with nearly forty countries. These arrangements facilitate the exchange of information on merchant shipping and strengthen maritime security cooperation across the Indo-Pacific. In addition, surveillance systems based in the Andaman and Nicobar Islands increasingly contribute to broader regional monitoring networks, including collaborative arrangements with like-minded partners. Through these initiatives, the islands have become a focal point for maritime cooperation and collaborative security diplomacy.

The archipelago also serves as a valuable platform for joint military exercises, coordinated patrols, anti-piracy operations, and humanitarian assistance and disaster relief (HADR) missions. India conducts SIMBEX with Singapore, bilateral exercises with Australia and other regional partners, and increasingly sophisticated naval engagements that enhance interoperability and maritime security cooperation. The Coordinated Patrol (CORPAT) mechanism with Indonesia, Thailand, and Myanmar provides another important avenue for regional cooperation. These patrols address challenges such as illegal fishing, smuggling, and other transnational maritime crimes in areas where India shares maritime boundaries with its neighbours.

India also participates in the Malabar Exercise alongside the United States, Japan, and Australia, while the MILAN series of exercises has evolved into one of the region’s largest multinational naval gatherings. Together, these initiatives have strengthened military-to-military ties, enhanced trust among partners, and reinforced India’s role as a net security provider in the Indo Pacific. Across these endeavours, the Andaman and Nicobar Islands play an indispensable role. The islands are also important to the implementation of several Quad initiatives, including the Indo-Pacific Partnership for Maritime Domain Awareness and the Quad Partnership for Cable Connectivity and Resilience. The latter reflects the growing strategic importance of undersea communication cables, which are now as vital to the global economy as maritime shipping lanes. Given their proximity to major submarine cable routes linking Asia, Africa, and Europe, the Andaman and Nicobar Islands are uniquely positioned to contribute to the security and resilience of these critical networks. As India’s former Ambassador to Japan, I would also like to emphasise the importance of the islands in the context of India-Japan relations. Japan has long recognised the strategic significance of the Andaman and Nicobar Islands. Our relationship with Japan is distinguished not only by shared strategic interests but also by a high degree of trust. This trust is evident in Japan’s involvement in infrastructure development projects in some of India’s most sensitive regions, including the Northeast.

Although no agreement is specifically dedicated to the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, several bilateral initiatives are directly relevant to the archipelago. One of the most significant is the Chennai–Andaman and Nicobar submarine optical fibre cable project, implemented by BSNL in partnership with Japan’s NEC Corporation. This project has transformed digital connectivity across the islands by dramatically increasing bandwidth and enabling improvements in governance, telemedicine, education, and disaster resilience.

Another important initiative is a grant from the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) to support renewable energy and grid infrastructure on the islands. Given the archipelago’s remoteness and the need for self-sustaining energy systems, the project has been critical to strengthening energy security and ensuring a reliable power supply for both civilian and military infrastructure.

Several additional projects are under discussion across areas including port modernisation, disaster-resilient infrastructure, sustainable development, and connectivity. Japan’s expertise in these fields is widely recognised. The Smart Islands initiative, which includes the Andaman and Nicobar Islands and Lakshadweep, offers another promising avenue for collaboration. It seeks to integrate infrastructure development with environmental sustainability and resilience, ensuring that economic growth does not come at the expense of ecological balance.

As India seeks to strengthen its position in the Indo-Pacific, the Andaman and Nicobar Islands will remain central to our strategic thinking. Their significance lies not merely in their location but in their capacity to serve as platforms for security, connectivity, economic development, regional cooperation, and strategic partnerships. The challenge before us is to harness this potential sustainably and resiliently, and to align it with India’s long-term national interests.

I come to this discussion with mixed feelings. On the one hand, there is encouraging news: we are finally talking seriously about the Andaman and Nicobar Islands. Fifteen years ago, when I was associated with institutions such as the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA), the Centre for Policy Research (CPR), and later Carnegie India, we repeatedly sought to raise awareness of the islands’ strategic significance. There was little enthusiasm. Beyond some interest from Japanese foundations and scholars, the subject scarcely featured in policy discussions in New Delhi. Only during the present government’s second term did we begin to see a more sustained focus on the islands, marked by the commissioning of major studies and followed by a series of policy initiatives. That is undoubtedly welcome.

Yet this positive development raises a more uncomfortable question: why did it take nearly eight decades after Independence for India to recognise the strategic value of an asset whose importance is, to any student of geopolitics or maritime strategy, self-evident? The growing attention the islands are receiving today is partly a consequence of current debates over development projects in the archipelago. My hope is that this renewed interest is not merely a passing phase but the beginning of a sustained national effort to integrate the islands into India’s long-term strategic vision. I would like to make three broad points. The first two concern the past; the third looks to the future.

The first concerns what I regard as a significant weakness in India’s strategic culture: the absence of a strong territorial sensibility in the maritime domain. This may seem surprising. Independent India has always been deeply conscious of territorial issues. We have been preoccupied with borders, territorial disputes, and questions of sovereignty. Yet this awareness was overwhelmingly continental in orientation. When it came to maritime spaces and island territories, there was a striking lack of strategic attention.

The history of the Andaman and Nicobar Islands during Partition illustrates this point. Given the complex political circumstances surrounding the subcontinent’s division, several outcomes were conceivable. The islands might not have become part of India. That they did owes as much to historical contingencies as to deliberate strategic planning. At a time when New Delhi was understandably preoccupied with Partition, Kashmir, and later China, little attention appears to have been paid to the long-term significance of these islands. This observation is not intended as a criticism of the leaders of that era. Rather, it is an invitation to reflect on certain strategic blind spots. Unless we understand these shortcomings, we risk repeating them.

The same pattern is evident elsewhere. Questions relating to frontier regions and peripheral territories often received insufficient strategic attention. Islands were particularly vulnerable to this neglect because India’s strategic culture was overwhelmingly shaped by continental concerns. Delhi, if one may put it bluntly, was a city of land strategists. Yet the disposition of island territories has been a defining feature of geopolitics across Asia. The territorial settlements that emerged after the Second World War continue to shape disputes across the Indo- Pacific today—from the Kuril Islands between Russia and Japan to the East and South China Seas. Even ideological affinity has rarely overridden territorial considerations. China’s seizure of the Paracel Islands in the 1970s, despite its close relationship with North Vietnam, demonstrates how states act decisively when strategic territory is at stake. Against this broader historical backdrop, India’s relative indifference towards its island territories stands out as a significant strategic failure. It is a lesson that warrants closer study.

My second point concerns what India did—or failed to do—after acquiring these territories. For decades, the Andaman and Nicobar Islands were treated less as a strategic asset and more as a remote administrative responsibility. The fact that the islands remained under the Ministry of Home Affairs for so long is revealing. They were viewed primarily through an internal administrative lens rather than as instruments of national strategy. In practical terms, this meant isolation. Access was restricted, connectivity remained poor, and economic development lagged well behind the islands’ potential. The mindset was that of managing a distant outpost rather than developing a strategic hub.

Historically, this marked an extraordinary departure from the logic that had guided earlier maritime powers. Throughout the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries, European powers fiercely contested the islands of the Bay of Bengal and Southeast Asia, recognising that maritime influence depended on control of strategic island chains. Once Britain had established dominance in the Indian Ocean, it could afford to use the Andamans as a penal colony. Independent India, however, inherited a vastly different strategic environment and should have viewed the islands through a different lens.

The consequences of neglect were evident even a decade ago. Basic connectivity was inadequate, and internet access was unreliable. Infrastructure remained underdeveloped. Rather than viewing the islands as a centre of economic activity, strategic influence, and maritime connectivity, policy largely focused on administrative maintenance and subsidies. Fortunately, that situation is now beginning to change.

Yet our contemporary debate often remains trapped in false binaries. Development is presented as being in conflict with environmental protection, and security is portrayed as incompatible with economic activity. Such dichotomies are misleading. Around the world, successful examples demonstrate that these objectives can reinforce one another. Singapore integrates a major commercial port, world-class tourism infrastructure, and critical military facilities within a single strategic framework. China has transformed Hainan Island from a relatively isolated territory into a major tourist destination, conference hub, and strategic military base. These examples show that economic development, security, and environmental stewardship need not be mutually exclusive. The challenge is not whether development should occur, but how it should occur.

This brings me to my final point. The future of the Andaman and Nicobar Islands lies in transforming them from an outpost into a hub—commercially, strategically, and diplomatically. On the economic front, projects such as transhipment facilities, logistics hubs, digital infrastructure, and enhanced connectivity can significantly expand the islands’ role in regional commerce. On the strategic front, virtually every aspect of India’s maritime agenda is relevant to the islands. Maritime domain awareness, humanitarian assistance and disaster relief (HADR), undersea surveillance, maritime security cooperation, and regional partnerships can all be strengthened through capabilities based in the Andaman and Nicobar Islands. Recent Quad discussions on maritime surveillance and maritime domain awareness further underscore the islands’ relevance. As India seeks to play a larger role in shaping the Indo-Pacific security architecture, the Andaman and Nicobar Islands must occupy a central place in our strategic thinking.

The opportunity before us is substantial, but so is the responsibility. Having lost valuable time, India must now act with greater clarity and urgency. The islands should no longer be seen as a distant periphery; they must be recognised as a critical node in India’s maritime future. The task for policymakers, scholars, and strategic practitioners is therefore clear: to sustain momentum, deepen public and policy engagement, and ensure the Andaman and Nicobar Islands become integral to India’s economic, security, and geopolitical vision for the Indo-Pacific. Much has been achieved, but much more remains to be done.

 

SESSION 3
Great Nicobar Project – Balancing Ecology with Development and Strategic Preparation

 

In this session, we turn our attention to the Great Nicobar Island Development Project and the challenge of balancing ecology, development, and strategic preparedness. Great Nicobar holds a uniquely significant position in the Indo-Pacific. Situated near some of the world’s busiest maritime trade routes and overlooking the western approaches to the Strait of Malacca, it lies at the heart of a region that is increasingly central to global geopolitics. The strategic environment is evolving rapidly. We are all aware of developments in the Coco Islands, the growing Chinese presence in the Bay of Bengal, the strategic significance of undersea communication cables, and the wider geopolitical contestation unfolding across the Indo-Pacific.

Against this backdrop, the importance of Great Nicobar extends beyond the island itself. It must be considered within the broader context of India’s economic aspirations, maritime security requirements, and long-term strategic interests. The debate before us is neither simple nor binary. It is not a choice between development and conservation, nor between economic growth and environmental protection. Rather, it concerns how India can strengthen its strategic position in an increasingly contested Indo-Pacific while demonstrating that development can be pursued sustainably, responsibly, and with sensitivity to ecological concerns.

The challenge, therefore, is not whether development should take place, but how to undertake it in a way that balances national security, economic opportunity, environmental stewardship, and the interests of future generations. It is this important and timely question that our panel will address today.

Given the strategic importance of the Andaman and Nicobar Islands and the fact that their development has long lagged behind their potential, I believe we need to frame the discussion differently. Rather than treating development and conservation as opposing objectives, the question should be: how can we pursue development in a way that strengthens conservation while also serving our strategic requirements? There are undoubtedly challenges in achieving this balance, but if we approach the issue through that lens, the debate becomes more constructive, more meaningful, and ultimately more productive.

Let me begin with the transhipment dimension of the project. The data I am using is drawn from the India Maritime Vision 2030. While some figures are a few years old, the broader trends remain valid. As container vessels have grown larger—from capacities of around 10,000 TEUs to well over 20,000 TEUs—they increasingly operate along major east-west shipping corridors. Cargo destined for smaller markets is typically transshipped through major hub ports along these routes. Today, much of India’s container traffic is transshipped through ports such as Jebel Ali, Colombo, Port Klang, and Singapore. Nearly a quarter of India’s container cargo is handled through such foreign transhipment hubs. This results not only in a loss of economic opportunity but also in additional costs for Indian exporters and importers, who often pay significant surcharges for transhipment services.

The challenge, therefore, is to develop transhipment capabilities closer to home and reduce our dependence on foreign ports. In this context, Galathea Bay has significant advantages. Situated virtually on the main east-west shipping route, it is ideally placed to serve as a regional transhipment hub. At the same time, development in island territories and border regions presents unique challenges. Conventional models of economic development do not always work in such areas. Their remoteness, limited infrastructure, and smaller populations often yield lower commercial returns and, consequently, attract less policy attention. Yet from a national security perspective, these regions are among the most important parts of the country.

This is where strategic thinking becomes essential. If development decisions are driven solely by conventional economic metrics, regions with larger populations and greater political influence will naturally attract a larger share of resources. However, when viewed through the lens of national security and long-term strategic interests, islands such as Great Nicobar take on far greater significance. It is therefore entirely appropriate that they receive focused attention and investment.

Connectivity is central to this effort. Whether viewed through the lens of economic development or national security, improved connectivity to remote islands and border regions is indispensable. Investments made today in ports, transport networks, and supporting infrastructure will not only enhance economic activity but also strengthen India’s strategic posture in the wider Indo-Pacific. History offers an instructive perspective. The maritime routes through this region have been used for centuries. Historical records show that as early as two thousand years ago, traders from the Indian subcontinent sailed through these waters towards the Mekong Delta and beyond. The emerging connectivity projects in Southeast Asia, including those associated with southern Thailand, are, in many ways, a modern reflection of these historic patterns of trade and exchange.

What we are witnessing today is not the creation of entirely new routes, but rather the revival and modernisation of pathways that have connected South and Southeast Asia for centuries. The Great Nicobar project must be understood within this broader historical and geopolitical context. At the same time, the long-term success of Galathea Bay cannot depend solely on Indian cargo. Viability projections for the transhipment hub assume significant participation from countries around the Bay of Bengal, including Bangladesh, Myanmar, Thailand, and others. To realise its full potential, the project must be integrated into a broader regional connectivity framework. This is why developments in neighbouring countries should not necessarily be viewed as competition. On the contrary, initiatives in Thailand and elsewhere can complement efforts to develop Galathea Bay. If these projects are linked through a framework of regional cooperation, they can create mutually reinforcing economic opportunities that benefit all participating countries.

In my view, this is where the debate should move. The question is not whether development should take place, nor whether conservation concerns are legitimate—they certainly are. Rather, the challenge is to design a project that advances economic growth, strengthens India’s strategic position, promotes regional connectivity, and upholds the highest standards of environmental stewardship. If we approach the project in that spirit, it is entirely possible to create a modern, environmentally responsible port that supports conservation objectives, strengthens regional partnerships, and contributes to India’s long-term strategic interests. From that perspective, many of the concerns currently being raised can be addressed through thoughtful planning and effective implementation. Recent geopolitical developments reinforce this conclusion. The growing vulnerability of global supply chains, combined with concerns over the security of key maritime chokepoints, has underscored the need for alternative routes and logistics hubs. Reports suggesting that regional powers may seek greater leverage over critical waterways, such as the Strait of Malacca, further strengthen the case for diversified maritime infrastructure. In this context, Galathea Bay, together with emerging connectivity projects in Southeast Asia, offers an important element of strategic redundancy and resilience.

The project’s significance extends beyond India. Its long-term viability depends on integration with the wider Bay of Bengal region. The transhipment hub is expected to attract cargo from Bangladesh, Myanmar, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore, and other regional economies. Great Nicobar must therefore be viewed not merely as an Indian project but as a regional platform that supports trade, connectivity, and economic growth across the Bay of Bengal. Existing frameworks, such as BIMSTEC, provide a natural foundation for this approach. The Bay of Bengal Maritime Transport Cooperation Agreement, regional connectivity initiatives, and ongoing efforts to improve multimodal transport networks offer opportunities to integrate Galathea Bay into a broader regional logistics architecture. The objective should be to position the port as a central node linking the transport corridors emerging across South and Southeast Asia.

Such an outcome will not occur automatically. Private-sector participation will be essential, but private operators alone cannot achieve the necessary level of coordination. Success will require active support from government agencies, sustained diplomatic engagement with partner countries, and close coordination across ministries. Mechanisms such as PM Gati Shakti and the National Logistics Policy provide useful frameworks for aligning and monitoring these efforts. Equally important is ensuring that environmental conservation remains integral to the project. The site selection process considered multiple alternatives, and the environmental clearances include extensive safeguards, monitoring requirements, and conservation obligations. The challenge now lies in implementation. Conservation cannot be treated as a peripheral activity; it must become a core component of the project. If adequate resources are devoted to habitat protection, ecological monitoring, and the prevention of illegal fishing and other threats, it is entirely possible to strengthen conservation outcomes while pursuing development.

Indeed, Great Nicobar offers an opportunity to redefine the relationship between development and sustainability. The port could become a model for environmentally responsible maritime infrastructure. Shorter voyage distances, more efficient cargo handling, and lower fuel consumption could significantly reduce emissions across regional shipping networks. There is also potential to develop Galathea Bay as a hub for green maritime fuels such as green methanol and green ammonia, positioning it at the forefront of the transition to sustainable shipping. In that sense, the project could set new benchmarks—not only for transhipment and logistics, but also for green ports, green shipping, and environmentally responsible infrastructure development.

Ultimately, the vision for Great Nicobar should be ambitious. Over the next two decades, it should become a strategic gateway for India, a world-class transhipment and logistics hub for the Bay of Bengal, and a model of ecological stewardship. It should embody the principles of SAGAR— Security and Growth for All in the Region—by demonstrating that strategic preparedness, economic development, regional cooperation, and environmental sustainability can advance in concert. The challenges are real but not insurmountable. What is required is a coordinated national effort, clear political commitment, and a willingness to view Great Nicobar not as a remote-island project but as a critical investment in India’s maritime future.

The Great Nicobar Project comprises an International Container Transhipment Terminal (ICTT), an international airport, a power plant, and an integrated township spanning 166 square kilometres. A question often asked is why Great Nicobar Island was chosen for this development project.

The answer lies in geography. The island, the southernmost in the Nicobar group, is 40 nautical miles from the East-West shipping line, which runs along the 6-degree channel and passes through the Strait of Malacca. This makes it the most suitable location for a transhipment port. The island’s bays are also silt-free, reducing construction and maintenance costs. In addition, the island is sparsely populated. About 200 to 300 Shompen live in the northern part of the island, and that area has been kept outside the development zone. The area where the development is to take place had a sparse population, but after the 2004 tsunami those people were relocated. Therefore, this project will not cause human displacement.

In Great Nicobar, five sites were surveyed for the development project: Campbell Bay, Anderson Bay, Pemeia Bay, Casuarina Bay, and Galathea Bay (also called South Bay). Galathea Bay was chosen because it is naturally sheltered from wind and sea conditions. Most importantly, a 20 metre deep-water contour line lies just outside the bay, allowing the largest container ships to berth. This is what both the Colombo and Singapore ports have, but no such deep-water contour line exists on any coast of the Indian mainland.

The ICTP is being constructed in four phases under a PPP model, with the final phase due in 2057. On completion, capacity will be 14.2 million TEUs (twenty-foot equivalent units). The airport will be dual-use, with a runway of 3000 metres in Phase 1 and 4000 metres in Phase 2. The power plant will be developed in four phases, with the final phase in 2075. This 450 MVA hybrid power plant will rely on a mix of gas, solar, and battery storage to replace diesel dependence. Of the 166 square km set aside for the project, 150 square km will comprise the township, which will be developed in three phases and completed by 2047.

The strategic significance lies in Galathea Bay’s proximity to the 6-degree channel, through which the world’s shipping passes via the Strait of Malacca. At just 40 km from Galathea Bay, the ICTT is ideally located for transhipment. The 6-degree channel is also used by military ships crossing between the Indian and Pacific oceans. The 10-degree channel, which runs between the Andaman and Nicobar groups of islands, is a 150-km-wide stretch separating the two island groups. Both military and merchant ships also use this channel. It is important for India to have military capability in this area, as only 31 of the A&N group of islands are inhabited. Any country inimical to India transiting through these channels could simply alter course and, in about 30 minutes, land and occupy one of the uninhabited islands. Presently, the force required to evict the intruders would have to come from the mainland, a trip that would take two to three days. The military force currently under the A&N Command is insufficient to prevent or address such an occurrence. While the intruders would eventually be evicted, such an occurrence would cause embarrassment and reputational damage to the country.

The only naval base we have in the Andaman is in Sri Vijaya Puram. It cannot accommodate warships such as destroyers and cruisers. All that is available are fast patrol boats, attack craft, and offshore patrol vessels. That is why the GNIDP is important. Combat aircraft can be based at the dual-use airport, and battleships can be stationed in the ICTT. The entire area can be kept under surveillance from the islands themselves, covering the Andaman Sea and extending to the South China Sea.

In public discourse, there are questions about why the runway at INS Baaz cannot be extended to obviate the need to build a greenfield airport. Initially, the plan was to extend the runway to 3000m, but the project was shelved on three grounds. First, it would require cutting the hill on one side, which falls within the ICAO safety arc. Apart from being an ecological disaster, the hill is traversed by the West-West Road. If that goes, the connectivity of the island people goes. On the other side is the sea, which would require a huge reclamation effort. In addition, that location is a turtle nesting site, which would be permanently lost.

Finally, 80% of the population of Great Nicobar Island lives in the area around INS Bazz. This includes the hospital, the dispensaries, and the school. Under the 15-degree safety arc required by ICAO regulations, most of this population would have to be removed and relocated. Relocating a single family is a herculean task. Relocating such a huge number is unimaginable. That was why this idea was jettisoned. Because the runway here could not be extended, a new Greenfield airport is being developed in an area where only 20-odd families live in thatched-roof houses. The area is also barren, devoid of trees, and poses no ecological problems or other considerations.

I would also like to state that environmental issues are being accorded the highest priority. A number of non-government-controlled agencies are involved in the process. We have the Expert Appraisal Committee in the Ministry of Environment, which comprises scientists and NGOs, all of whom ask very pointed questions, much like a court.

Three issues continue to be flagged by many people. One concerns the safety of leatherback turtles; two concerns the cutting of trees; and three concerns the issues facing the tribal population. Regarding leatherback turtles, some believe that Galathea Bay is the only nesting site for these turtles and that it is being lost. That is not true. There are 23 turtle nesting sites in the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, and the Great Nicobar Island itself has 16 such sites. Galathea Bay is one of them. With respect to Galathea Bay, the environmental clearance is specific. It forbids any development within 500 metres of the high-tide line to ensure that leatherback turtles’ nesting sites are not disturbed. There will also be no development west of Galathea Bay, where the custom nesting sites are. In addition, the environmental clearance mandates that turtles will be geo-tagged. This will inform scientists of their location and determine whether they are returning. That is the extent of the project: ensuring the safety and security of leatherback turtles.

The affected forest area is 130 sq km, of which 65 sq km is green and will not be touched. Of the 18 lakh trees in the remaining area, 7.1 lakh will be cut over the next 30 years. Before a single tree has been cut, under the “Ek Ped Maa Ke Naam” scheme, 2.4 lakh trees have already been planted. By the time phase one starts, my estimate is that at least 6 lakh trees will be planted under this scheme. In addition, each project has its own arboriculture and landscaping plan. During the course of the project, I estimate that at least an additional 2 lakh trees will be planted, bringing the total to 8 lakh. Hence, for the 7.1 lakh trees being cut over the next 30 years, 8 lakh trees will come up in the next two years. This is in addition to compensatory afforestation, which is double the amount we are supposed to do. For compulsory afforestation, 27 square kilometres in Haryana are planned, in addition to what has already been done. Haryana has been chosen because the A&N Islands lack sufficient space to plant those trees. In any case, more trees have been planted on the islands than have been cut down. So, this aspect, too, has been taken care of.

The third concern pertains to the tribals. Of the 910 sq km of Great Nicobar Island, 751 sq km (82.5%) is tribal reserve. This vast area is for a tribal population of about 234 Shompens and about 1094 Nicobarese. Of the 75 sq km being de-notified, 79 sq km is being re-notified, meaning the tribal area is increasing by 4 sq km. As per the EAC notification, the tribal area will be geo fenced, and entry will be prohibited.

In conclusion, I would like to state that this project balances economic growth, economic conservation, and social inclusion. It leverages GNI’s strategic location to strengthen India’s national security and maritime and defence presence in the Indo-Pacific, and, more importantly, demonstrates that development need not come at the expense of the environment. The project represents a model for future large-scale infrastructure initiatives in ecologically sensitive regions. It’s my firm belief that, as we are making a lot of noise now, 20 years down the line the same people will stand on the same podium and speak in glowing terms about this project, saying what I have said here: that it is a model the world should follow. And I think we can meet after 20 years to discuss, and I’m sure all the naysayers will be with me. Thank you.

 

IF-IHC Book Discussion on ‘Between Tehran and Tel Aviv: Gaza’s Story of Unending War’ by Col. Rajeev Agarwal

India Foundation, in collaboration with the India Habitat Centre, organised a book discussion on the book ‘Between Tehran and Tel Aviv: Gaza’s Story of Unending War’ by Col. Rajeev Agarwal, Author and Senior Research Consultant, Chintan Research Foundation, at the India Habitat Centre, New Delhi, on 10 June 2026. The session was moderated by Capt. Alok Bansal, Executive Vice President, India Foundation. The panel featured Amb. Anil Trigunayat, Former Ambassador of India to Jordan, Libya and Malta; Ms Suhasini Haidar, Diplomatic Affairs Editor, The Hindu; and Lt. Gen Raj Shukla, Member, UPSC, as the discussants for the book, along with the author.

The discussion brought together diplomats, military thinkers, and journalists to examine a conflict that continues to unfold even as the book attempts to chart its course. Col. Agarwal shared that the work, though centred on Gaza, is deeply connected to the wider war, arguing that the war in Iran could not have unfolded as it did without the events of 7 October 2023. He described the book as an effort to combine smaller articles into groups that explain a conflict and human tragedy whose full meaning will only be understood with the passage of time.

The panel further deliberated upon the limits of force and deterrence, how Israel achieved operational successes, like targeted assassinations and the limiting of adversary capabilities, while it failed to lay out clear military and political objectives. The discussion highlighted how deterrence is no longer absolute, that even nuclear deterrence has lost its certainty, and that the strategic conversion of military victory remained underwhelming. The conversation situated the conflict within an emerging Cold War 2.0, marked by active external involvement and a contest over the very nature of global order.

The panel also dwelt on the question of where India stands. They further remarked on how a decade of shocks, from the Ukraine war to the conflicts in Gaza and Iran, has damaged India’s connectivity ambitions, with plans such as Chabahar, IMEC, the INSTC, and I2U2 now appearing far less feasible. The dialogue drew lessons for India in strategic communication, the auditing of defence priorities, and a decisive turn towards the sea and the Indian Ocean, while suggesting that any future Indian role in Gaza would lie in reconstruction rather than direct involvement.

The session ended with a recognition of the humanitarian impact of the conflict and the extended repercussions of Israel’s tactical successes for regional stability. The panelists also discussed the viability of the two-state solution, the shift from multipolarity to bipolarity and the importance of international institutions, along with social media and how it influences global sentiment. Through Col. Agarwal’s remarks and the panel’s varied viewpoints, the panel stressed the importance of strategic and macro analysis in understanding a conflict whose final chapter remains unwritten.

 

Angkor Dialogue 2026, Siem Reap, Cambodia

India Foundation in collaboration with the Asian Vision Institute of Cambodia organised the Inaugural Angkor Dialogue under the theme of “Fostering civilisational and strategic confluence between India and the Mekong region” on 06 June 2026 in Siem Reap, Cambodia. The dialogue gathered policymakers, diplomats, and scholars from India and Mekong countries to rigorously evaluate the geoeconomic and geopolitical integration between India and the Mekong sub-region. The discussions in dialogue signaled a definitive evolution in bilateral relations, transitioning from a reliance on historical and civilisational goodwill toward the operationalisation of concrete strategic objectives under the frameworks of India’s Act East Policy (AEP) and the Mekong-Ganga Cooperation (MGC) mechanism. The dialogue was structured around four comprehensive plenary sessions that meticulously mapped this trajectory, spanning from civilisational cartography and Indic heritage to the contemporary imperatives of trade, sustainable connectivity, and the Mekong’s role as a strategic pivot in India’s Act East Policy and Indo-Pacific architectures.

Dr. Chheng Kimlong, President of Asian Vision Institute, welcomed all delegates to Siem Reap, Cambodia. In his welcome address, Dr. Ram Madhav, President of the India Foundation, articulated the foundational civilisational bonds uniting the two regions, utilizing the cultural parallels between India’s veneration of the Ganges and the Mekong, translated as “Mae Khong” or Mother Khong and Maa Ganga. The discourse deliberately pivoted from historical romanticism to pragmatic developmental and economic cooperation. Dr Madhav said that “Southeast Asian countries are looking towards the West alongside looking North. India has its own Act East initiative through which we focus heavily on our relations with the East.” To address the connectivity deficit and institutionalise the strategic convergence of the Mekong region’s “Look West” inclination with India’s “Act East” mandate, Dr Madhav proposed that the Angkor Dialogue transition into a reciprocal annual mechanism, with Varanasi suggested as the prospective host city for 2027.

Providing a macro-strategic perspective, H.E. Vanlalvawna Bawitlung, Ambassador of India to Cambodia, anchored the dialogue firmly within the ASEAN-India Comprehensive Strategic Partnership. His remarks underscored the high-level political capital invested in this relationship, evidenced by Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s participation in the 22nd ASEAN-India Summit in October 2025 – marking his twelfth such engagement – and his subsequent first state visit of 2026 to Malaysia. A critical geopolitical alignment was emphasized by Ambassador Bawitlung between the ASEAN Outlook on the Indo-Pacific (AOIP) and India’s Indo-Pacific Oceans Initiative (IPOI). This institutional convergence is deemed essential for advancing shared interests in maritime security, capacity building, and sustainable development across Indo-Pacific sea lines of communication. Furthermore, Ambassador Bawitlung also spoke on forward-looking mechanisms, including the ASEAN-India Digital Work Plan 2026 and proposed collaborative frameworks on green hydrogen, indicating a strategic shift toward high-tech, resilient geoeconomic statecraft.

The Keynote Address at the inaugural Angkor Dialogue was delivered by His Excellency Suos Yara, who serves as the Chairman of the Committee on Foreign Affairs, International Cooperation, and Information of the National Assembly of Cambodia, as well as the Chairman of the Asian Cultural Council (ACC). His keynote address emphasised on strengthening strategic partnerships, economic cooperation, and connectivity through collaborative frameworks like India’s Act East Policy and the Mekong-Ganga Cooperation.

The inaugural session was followed by four thematic plenary sessions. The discussions in the plenary session mapped the strategic evolution of India-Mekong relations, transitioning from historical foundations to contemporary geopolitical architectures. Beginning with an examination of shared Indic heritage, Plenary session I established a civilisational baseline of mutual trust by mapping the region’s cultural cartography. Plenary session II focused on geoeconomic imperatives, specifically the necessity of building an India-Mekong developmental corridor focused on trade, connectivity, resilient supply chains, and sustainable developments. Plenary session III elevated the analysis to the traditional and non-traditional security domains, critically assessing the Mekong sub-region as a vital strategic pivot for maritime security, peace, and stability. Finally, Plenary session IV synthesised these cultural, economic, and security dimensions by evaluating the overarching institutional policy architectures – mainly India’s Act East Policy (AEP) and the Mekong-Ganga Cooperation (MGC) mechanism – required to formalise a rules-based, forward-looking integration strategy for the road ahead.

The Angkor Dialogue concluded with the closing remarks by H.E. Khy Sovanratana, Secretary of State, Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation, Cambodia, who contextualized the partnership against the backdrop of complex regional transformations. He emphasised on the vulnerability of the Mekong sub-region to non-traditional security threats and also spoke on the escalating climate crisis and the urgent need for robust trans-boundary water management protocols.

Overall, the inaugural Angkor Dialogue successfully positioned itself as a vital intellectual incubator designed to complement existing multilateral frameworks, transforming shared riverine and maritime heritage into a modernised and resilient strategic partnership.

 

IF-IHC PANEL DISCUSSION ON ‘THE GEOPOLITICS OF ENERGY SECURITY’

On 26 May, 2026, India Foundation, in collaboration with India Habitat Centre, organised a panel discussion on ‘The Geopolitics of Energy Security’, bringing together Shri Sunjoy Joshi, Chairman, Observer Research Foundation; Dr Vibha Dhawan, Director General, The Energy and Resources Institute; and Professor Sachin Kumar Sharma, Director General, Research and Information System for Developing Countries as the discussants for the event. The session was moderated by Captain Alok Bansal, Executive Vice President, India Foundation.

The discussion examined the growing impact of geopolitical conflicts and global market disruptions on India’s energy security. It was observed that India remains significantly dependent on imported hydrocarbons, making developments in key energy-producing regions and strategic maritime routes critical to the country’s economic and strategic interests. Particular attention was drawn to the implications of disruptions in oil and natural gas supplies, which have direct consequences for inflation, fertiliser production, industrial activity, and overall economic stability.

The panel highlighted that energy security has evolved beyond the question of supply and affordability to become closely linked with sovereignty and strategic autonomy. It was noted that sanctions, financial restrictions, and control over critical maritime choke points increasingly shape global energy flows. In this context, countries dependent on energy imports must reassess long-held assumptions about global markets and strengthen their resilience against external shocks.

The discussion also focused on India’s long-term energy transition. While acknowledging the continued importance of conventional energy sources in the foreseeable future, emphasis was placed on expanding renewable energy, strengthening nuclear power generation, and investing in storage technologies. The importance of developing diversified and reliable energy systems capable of supporting sustained economic growth was highlighted.

The role of decentralised and clean energy solutions in supporting rural development was also discussed. Renewable energy technologies, biofuels, biomass-based systems, and localised energy infrastructure were identified as important tools for enhancing energy access, reducing wastage, supporting livelihoods, and promoting sustainable development.

The economic dimensions of energy security were also examined. Rising global energy prices, growing domestic demand, and dependence on imported fuel were identified as significant challenges. It was observed that as India advances towards the goal of becoming a developed economy, energy demand will continue to rise substantially, requiring a balanced approach that combines energy security, economic growth, and environmental sustainability.

The discussion concluded with the observation that India’s energy future will require a multi-pronged strategy based on diversification, technological innovation, domestic capacity building, and international cooperation. Ensuring secure, affordable, and sustainable energy supplies was identified as a critical prerequisite for India’s long-term economic development and strategic resilience.

 

12th Katha Session: “CHILE: Land of Diverse Landscapes, Rich Culture & Ancient Mythologies”

India Foundation successfully completed one year of its Katha Session series with the organisation of the 12th session on 25 May 2026. The session marked an important milestone in the series, which has served as a platform for discussions on the culture, history, and traditions of different countries.

The session, titled “CHILE: Land of Diverse Landscapes, Rich Culture & Ancient Mythologies”, was delivered by H.E. Juan Angulo, Ambassador of the Republic of Chile to India. The session was chaired by Ambassador Amarendra Khatua, Former Secretary, Ministry of External Affairs, Government of India.

In his presentation, Ambassador Juan Angulo introduced the audience to Chile’s geographical diversity, cultural traditions, and historical heritage. He spoke about the country’s varied landscapes, ranging from deserts and mountains to glaciers and coastlines, and explained how these have influenced Chilean society and culture. He also highlighted the role of indigenous traditions, mythology, and cultural practices in shaping the country’s identity. The presentation was followed by an interactive discussion where attendees engaged with the speaker, sharing their observations and questions.

Ambassador Amarendra Khatua, in his remarks, highlighted the importance of cultural exchanges in strengthening understanding between nations and appreciated the role of the Katha Session series in promoting such dialogue.

Fifty-five participants attended the event, along with Ambassadors of Thailand and Brazil and representatives from the High Commission of Bangladesh.

 

5th Shakti Sinha Memorial Lecture

India Foundation organized the 5th Shakti Sinha Memorial Lecture on Tuesday, 19 May, 2026 on the topic “Holistic Development of Greater Nicobar Island: Imperatives and Implications” by Rear Admiral GK Garg, Distinguished Fellow, Strategic Growth and Research Foundation and Former Member of the High-Powered Committee. The lecture apprised the participants about the strategic importance of the project for securing India in lieu of China’s threat. The lecture also talked about the economic benefits of the project and how the project aims to balance development with community protection and ecological conservation.

 

India Foundation Dialogue on Gelephu Mindfulness City

On 12 May 2026, the India Foundation hosted its 107th India Foundation Dialogue on the theme “Gelephu Mindfulness City (GMC)”. The session was addressed by H.E. Jonathan Tow, Former Ambassador of Singapore to Türkiye and Former Deputy High Commissioner of Singapore to India, Bhutan and Nepal. The discussion was moderated by Ambassador Ruchira Kamboj, former Permanent Representative of India to the United Nations.

In her introductory remarks, Ambassador Kamboj described Bhutan’s Gelephu Mindfulness City as a development initiative that has attracted international attention because it seeks to combine economic progress with cultural values, environmental sustainability and societal well-being. She noted that Bhutan has long pursued a distinctive approach to development, balancing modernisation with cultural continuity and ecological stewardship.

In his presentation, Jonathan Tow outlined the vision behind GMC, an ambitious project being developed under the leadership of His Majesty King Jigme Khesar Namgyel Wangchuck. According to the speaker, the project seeks to offer an alternative model of development that combines prosperity, mindfulness and sustainability while addressing Bhutan’s domestic challenges, including economic diversification, employment generation and youth migration.

Tow explained that GMC has been established as a Special Administrative Region (SAR) with considerable autonomy to adopt global best practices in governance, regulation and investment facilitation. He described the initiative as part of a long-term strategy aimed at transforming southern Bhutan into a globally connected economic hub while remaining rooted in Bhutanese values and traditions. The proposed city will focus on eight key sectors: spirituality, wellness, education and knowledge, agri-tech and forestry, green energy and technology, finance and digital assets, aviation and logistics, and tourism. The speaker emphasised that Bhutan’s cultural and spiritual heritage would remain central to the project’s identity.

A major component of the initiative is the development of a new international airport at Gelephu, which Tow described as a potential game-changer for Bhutan’s connectivity. He also highlighted India’s commitment to constructing a railway link from Kokrajhar in Assam to Gelephu, underscoring the importance of India-Bhutan cooperation for the success of the project.

Environmental sustainability featured prominently throughout the presentation. According to the speaker, only a limited portion of the proposed area will be developed, while large sections will remain forested and ecologically protected. Urban planning is intended to integrate rivers, wildlife corridors and green spaces into the city’s design.

Tow also discussed emerging initiatives in digital finance, including a gold-backed digital token known as “Ter”, which he described as a digital asset linked to physical gold rather than speculative cryptocurrencies. The discussion concluded with an interactive question-and-answer session covering issues such as investment opportunities, connectivity, sustainability, governance and the challenges of balancing rapid development with environmental and cultural preservation. The dialogue provided participants with an overview of Bhutan’s vision for Gelephu Mindfulness City and its potential implications for regional connectivity and sustainable development.

 

IF-IHC Book Launch & Discussion on “Operation Sindoor: 88 Hours That Redefined Deterrence”

India Foundation, in collaboration with the India Habitat Centre, organised the book launch and discussion on the book ‘Operation Sindoor: 88 Hours That Redefined Deterrence’, by Major General Dhruv Katoch, Director, India Habitat Centre and Lieutenant General Raj Shukla, Member, UPSC, on 6 May 2026 at India Habitat Centre, New Delhi.

Gen NC Vij, Former Chief of the Army Staff, officially launched the book. Air Marshal Rajesh Kumar, Former Commander-in-Chief, Strategic Forces Command of India and Dr Shalini Chawla, Distinguished Fellow, Centre for Aerospace Power and Strategic Studies (CAPSS), discussed the book with the authors. The session was moderated by Captain Alok Bansal, Executive Vice President, India Foundation.

The panel deliberated on the 88-hour military offensive in May 2025 when India attacked Pakistani air bases in retaliation against decades of state-sponsored terrorism and radicalism. It was highlighted that this operation was a significant departure from past hesitations, demonstrating a combination of political resolve and military capability that effectively challenged the opponents, effectively countering their notorious nuclear bluff. The panelists characterised the operation not as a singular event, but as the beginning of a sustained policy of compellence, signalling that the costs of hostility would now be made prohibitive.

The panel highlighted that ‘Operation Sindoor’ effectively ended India’s era of ‘Strategic Patience’, and the ‘phase of cost imposition’ was brought into action by using this move. It was pertinent to mention here that in this particular operation, the aim was to strike at the very nerve of the adversary’s assets because in order to send the message across that ‘threshold of pain’ for this country will not be as same in the coming time, it was imperative to attack the very assets of the adversary that would make it think twice before any future attempts on our nation.

The panelists highlighted the geostrategic and psychological changes triggered by the situation, discussing the evolving nature of modern warfare. They pointed out that India is entering an era of “military renaissance” where traditional platforms are being replaced by data-driven and autonomous systems. The panel noted a shift from a slow bureaucratic procurement model to one that prioritises business agility and the integration of the private sector and startups. They suggested that there should be an effort made toward institutionalisation in creating narratives so that the nation’s strategic communications are as vigorous and potent as the kinetic operations.

The discussion concluded with the note that the legacy of ‘Operation Sindoor’ lies in the psychological dominance India now holds, having forced the adversary to recalculate the risks of its proxy war strategy. To maintain this edge, the panel called for a continuous evolution of ‘Intellectual Infrastructure’ within the security establishment to anticipate future shifts in the geostrategic landscape, ensuring that the ‘whole of nation’ response remains proactive.

 

The Indian Ocean: From Maritime Commons to A Contested Geopolitical Theatre

Introduction

The Indian Ocean, long considered a benign maritime expanse facilitating commerce, cultural exchange, and connectivity, has undergone an unprecedented geopolitical transformation in the 21st century. Historically a bridge between Asia, Africa, and Europe, it is now emerging as an arena of geopolitical contestation – marked by strategic competition, expanding naval activity, and rising non-traditional security challenges.[i] This transition – from a relatively open and cooperative maritime domain to a strategically contested theatre – mirrors the broader reordering of global power dynamics.[ii]

From an ancient and busy trade network dominated by Indian and Arab traders, later shaped by European colonial powers such as the Portuguese and British, the Indian Ocean evolved into a peripheral Cold War theatre influenced by US-Soviet rivalry. In the contemporary era, however, it has gained unprecedented importance as the geopolitical centre of gravity shifts towards the Indo-Pacific. Today, it is marked by intensifying competition, particularly between India and China, within a broader framework of great-power rivalry.[iii]

At the heart of this transformation is the growing importance and centrality of maritime domains in global geopolitics. The rapid pace of globalisation, the rise of Asia as an economic powerhouse, and the increasing dependence of modern economies on secure Sea Lines of Communication (SLOCs) have elevated the Indian Ocean Region (IOR) to unprecedented strategic significance.[iv] At the same time, renewed major power competition, particularly between the United States and China, has introduced tension into a region that traditionally thrived on cooperation rather than conflict.

This article examines the transformation of the Indian Ocean from a historical transit zone into a contested geopolitical space. It traces the region’s historical evolution, analyses the contemporary drivers of strategic competition, evaluates India’s maritime trajectory, situates the IOR within the Indo-Pacific construct, and assesses emerging geopolitical disruptions. It argues that India must move beyond reactive postures and assume a proactive leadership role in shaping a stable and inclusive regional order.

The Indian Ocean as a Historical Zone of Connectivity

The Indian Ocean has historically functioned more as a route for exchange than as a zone of conflict. Geographically, it links the eastern coast of Africa, the Arabian Peninsula, the Indian subcontinent, and Southeast Asia, forming one of the oldest maritime networks in human history. For centuries, the region was marked by active economic and cultural interaction. The monsoon wind system enabled predictable seasonal navigation, facilitating long-distance maritime trade. Merchants from India, Arabia, and Southeast Asia developed extensive trading networks that carried goods such as spices, textiles, and precious metals, while also spreading ideas, religions, and technologies.[v]

Unlike the Mediterranean or the Atlantic, the Indian Ocean did not witness prolonged naval conflict among regional powers. Instead, it served as a “shared maritime space,” where economic interdependence took precedence over dominance.[vi] Indian merchants, Arab traders, and Southeast Asian states coexisted in a largely cooperative environment, guided by shared commercial interests.

The arrival of European powers in the late 15th century marked a major turning point. The Portuguese sought to monopolise trade routes by force, followed by the Dutch, French, and British, who established fortified trading posts and naval bases.[vii] Over time, the British Empire consolidated control over key maritime nodes, integrating the Indian Ocean into a wider global imperial system. Despite this phase of imperial competition, the Indian Ocean remained primarily focussed on trade rather than becoming a fully militarised theatre. During the Cold War, it gained strategic relevance but remained secondary to the Atlantic and Pacific. The United States established a major base on Diego Garcia, while the Soviet Union maintained a limited naval presence.[viii] The post-Cold War period, however, marked a clear turning point. The collapse of bipolarity, the rise of globalisation, and the growing importance of energy security transformed the Indian Ocean into a region of increasing geopolitical significance.

Strategic and Economic Transformation in the 21st Century

In the contemporary era, the Indian Ocean has become a vital route for global trade and energy flows. Approximately 80 per cent of global seaborne oil trade passes through it, while nearly half of global container traffic transits its waters.[ix] The region’s chokepoints – the Strait of Hormuz, Bab-el-Mandeb, and the Strait of Malacca – are crucial to global economic stability. The Strait of Hormuz alone carries a significant share of global oil exports, while Malacca is the main link between the Indian and Pacific Oceans.[x] Any disruption at these chokepoints would have cascading effects on global trade and energy security.

Beyond energy flows, the Indian Ocean has become increasingly important in the digital age. Undersea communication cables, which carry over 95 per cent of global data, pass through the region, making maritime security essential not only for trade but also for the functioning of the global digital economy.[xi] The convergence of economic, technological, and strategic interests has made the Indian Ocean a zone of growing vulnerability and competition. Major powers are increasingly seeking to secure influence over critical maritime routes, ports, and infrastructure. As a result, the Indian Ocean has shifted from a passive transit corridor to an active strategic domain where economic and military interests closely intersect.

India’s Maritime Trajectory: From Maritime Legacy to Continental Fixation

India’s geographic centrality in the Indian Ocean confers inherent strategic advantages. Its long coastline, proximity to major SLOCs, and island territories, particularly the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, provide strong leverage in shaping regional dynamics. Historically, India had a strong maritime tradition. The Chola Empire’s naval expeditions into Southeast Asia reflect early manifestations of sea power and maritime influence.[xii] Indian traders and cultural networks extended across the Indian Ocean, contributing to its interconnected character. However, post-independence India experienced a strategic shift towards continental priorities. The trauma of Partition, wars with Pakistan and China, and internal demands for nation-building led to a largely continental-centric security outlook. Maritime strategy received limited attention, and naval modernisation progressed slowly.

This land-centric approach had several consequences. First, India underutilised its island territories, particularly the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, which hold immense strategic value near the Malacca Strait. Second, defence resource allocation was largely directed towards land forces, limiting naval expansion. Third, India’s limited maritime engagement created space for external actors, especially China, to expand their presence in the region.

It was only in the early 21st century that India began reassessing its maritime outlook. The Indian Maritime Doctrine (2004) and subsequent strategies reflected a growing recognition of the importance of sea power.[xiii] The articulation of the SAGAR (Security and Growth for All in the Region) vision further underscored India’s commitment to regional security and cooperation. However, this renewed maritime focus is unfolding in a far more competitive and contested environment than before.

The Indo-Pacific Construct and the Rise of Strategic Competition

The emergence of the Indo-Pacific as a strategic concept marks a major shift in geopolitical thinking. By linking the Indian and Pacific Oceans into a single continuum, the Indo-Pacific framework it recognises the interconnected nature of trade, security, and power projection.[xiv]

The region has become the centre of global economic activity, accounting for a substantial share of global GDP and trade. At the same time, it has emerged as the main arena of strategic competition particularly between the United States and China.

China’s rise as a maritime power is a key driver of this transformation. Through the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and related port development projects, China has expanded its footprint across the Indian Ocean.[xv] While presented as economic initiatives, their dual-use nature has raised concerns regarding long-term military implications. In response, the United States has strengthened its presence through the Free and Open Indo-Pacific (FOIP) strategy. Partnerships such as the Quad (India, Japan, Australia, United States) and AUKUS reflect efforts to balance China’s growing influence.

At the same time, the growing militarisation of maritime spaces – evident in expanding naval deployments, surveillance activities, and strategic bases – has intensified competition. Locations such as Djibouti, Gwadar, Hambantota, and Diego Garcia have become critical nodes in this evolving strategic landscape. Furthermore, the growing involvement of external actors – including Japan, Australia, Türkiye, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE – has added complexity to regional dynamics, transforming the Indian Ocean into a multi-layered geopolitical theatre.

Islands as Strategic Anchors in Indian Ocean Geopolitics

The evolving geopolitics of the Indian Ocean have greatly increased the strategic value of islands, transforming them from peripheral outposts into key centres of power projection, surveillance, and economic influence. Today, control over islands often translates into greater influence over LOCs, chokepoints, and regional security architectures. Islands serve as unsinkable aircraft carriers, enabling continuous surveillance, forward deployment, and rapid response. Their location allows countries to monitor vital sea routes and project power across vast oceanic expanses. The Andaman and Nicobar Islands, for instance, overlook the western approaches to the Strait of Malacca – one of the world’s busiest and most strategically significant chokepoints. Similarly, Diego Garcia provides the United States with a critical logistical and operational hub in the central Indian Ocean, while France’s presence in Réunion and Mayotte extends its strategic reach across the southwestern IOR.[xvi]

The rising competition among major powers has heightened the importance of island territories. China’s expanding footprint through port infrastructure and access arrangements – often described as a “places, not bases” strategy – highlights the dual-use potential of these maritime facilities. Djibouti, which hosts China’s first overseas military base alongside bases of other global powers, illustrates how commercial and military interests can overlap. At the same time, Australia’s development of the Cocos (Keeling) Islands and India’s strengthening of infrastructure in the Andaman and Nicobar Islands reflect a broader trend towards forward presence and dispersed basing.[xvii]

Beyond their traditional military roles, islands are integral to Maritime Domain Awareness (MDA) networks. Radar chains, satellite integration, and information-sharing platforms, such as India’s Information Fusion Centre–Indian Ocean Region (IFC-IOR), rely on island-based infrastructure to enable real-time monitoring. These capabilities are essential for addressing both conventional threats and non-traditional challenges, such as piracy, illegal fishing, and grey-zone operations.[xviii]

Economically, islands are emerging as hubs of the blue economy, with opportunities in fisheries, seabed resources, tourism, and maritime logistics. Their extensive Exclusive Economic Zones (EEZs) provide access to valuable marine resources, further increasing their strategic significance. However, this growing importance also brings challenges. Many island ecosystems are ecologically fragile and vulnerable to climate change, rising sea levels, and environmental degradation. Additionally, issues related to indigenous rights and sustainable development – especially in regions such as the Andaman and Nicobar Islands and the Chagos Archipelago – require careful and balanced handling.[xix] [xx] In this context, islands are no longer on the margins of Indian Ocean geopolitics; they are central to it. For India, harnessing the strategic potential of its island territories – while ensuring sustainability and regional cooperation – will be key to shaping the balance of power in the Indo-Pacific.

The Trump Factor and Strategic Uncertainty

Recent developments in U.S. foreign policy – especially under Donald Trump’s leadership – have introduced unpredictability into the global strategic environment. Trump’s focus on economic nationalism, manifested through tariffs and trade wars, disrupted global supply chains and weakened multilateral frameworks.[xxi] His transactional approach to alliances also raised concerns about the reliability of U.S. commitments, prompting many partners to reassess their strategic dependence. In the Indo-Pacific, this led to a degree of strategic uncertainty. While the United States continued to emphasise the region’s importance, inconsistencies in policy implementation created uncertainty about its long-term commitments.

In the Indian Ocean, these trends have had notable effects. The perception of reduced U.S. strategic coherence has enabled other powers, particularly China, to expand their presence and influence. At the same time, regional countries have adopted hedging strategies, seeking to balance relationships with multiple powers. For India, this evolving landscape presents both opportunities and challenges. While the diffusion of power creates space for greater strategic autonomy, it also requires careful navigation of competing interests.

The Emergence of a Multipolar Maritime Order

The Indian Ocean today is characterised by an emerging multipolar order. Unlike the bipolar structure of the Cold War or the unipolar moment that followed, the current environment features multiple influential actors with overlapping interests. China’s expanding maritime presence is a defining feature of this order. Its investments in port infrastructure, growing naval capabilities, and the establishment of a permanent base in Djibouti point to long-term strategic ambitions.[xxii]

The United States continues to maintain a strong presence, but its dominance is increasingly contested. At the same time, regional powers such as India, Japan, and Australia are playing more active roles, contributing to a more balanced and distributed power structure. Smaller littoral states have also gained strategic importance. Their strategic geographic locations and control over maritime zones allow them to leverage competition among major powers for economic and security benefits. This has led to a more complex, multi-centred security architecture with overlapping institutions and shifting alignments.

At the same time, non-traditional security challenges – including piracy, maritime terrorism, illegal fishing, cyber threats, and climate change – have added further complexity. Addressing these challenges requires cooperative approaches that transcend traditional power politics. The 2025 Chagos Archipelago agreement, which involves the transfer of sovereignty to Mauritius while retaining Western military access, highlights the intersection of legal, historical, and strategic considerations in the region.[xxiii]

India’s Imperative to Lead

India’s centrality to the Indian Ocean places it in a unique position to shape the region’s future. Its geographic location, together with its growing economic and military capabilities, provides a strong foundation for leadership. India has consistently adopted an inclusive approach, focusing on cooperation, capacity-building, and regional stability. Its role in humanitarian assistance and disaster relief (HADR) operations – especially during the 2004 tsunami – has reinforced its reputation as a “net security provider.”[xxiv]

Institutional initiatives such as the Indian Ocean Naval Symposium (IONS) and the IFC-IOR reflect India’s commitment to cooperative security frameworks. Engagement through IORA and partnerships such as the Quad further reinforce India’s regional role. However, leadership requires more than capability – it demands strategic vision, sustained investment, and consistent policy. India must balance its continental and maritime priorities while deepening partnerships and strengthening institutions.

Strategic Imperatives for India

To effectively shape the emerging order, India must pursue a comprehensive maritime strategy across key areas:

  1. Capability Development

India must continue to modernise its navy, with a focus on carrier battle groups, submarines, and advanced surveillance systems. The plan to expand its navy to over 200 warships and submarines by 2035 signals a clear intent to strengthen its presence at sea. The Indian Navy’s Maritime Security Strategy, released in April 2026, focuses on multi-domain integration (land, sea, air, cyber, space) and on preparing for grey-zone warfare. Key infrastructure projects, such as the Chabahar Port and the Andaman & Nicobar Islands expansion, are being accelerated to bolster strategic presence.

  1. Island Development

India must prioritise the integrated development of the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, with the Andaman and Nicobar Command (ANC) serving as a vital forward operating base to enhance surveillance and maintain control over critical maritime chokepoints, particularly the approaches to the Malacca Strait. Positioned at the crossroads of the Indo-Pacific, the ANI–ANC complex has the potential to anchor India’s maritime strategy and enable a decisive shift away from its historically continental orientation.

Developing these islands into the strategic and economic fulcrum of India’s Act East policy is not merely desirable but imperative to sustain regional influence. This requires an integrated approach that harmonises military capability with economic development, ecological sustainability, and cooperative regional engagement. By aligning security needs with development and sustainability, the Andaman and Nicobar Islands can become a key pillar of India’s Indo-Pacific vision and maritime leadership.

Currently, India is accelerating the development of its key island territories – Andaman & Nicobar on the eastern seaboard and Lakshadweep in the west – while deepening cooperation with partner nations such as Seychelles and Mauritius. This includes an emphasis on dual-use infrastructure, encompassing port development and enhanced naval surveillance capabilities.

  1. Regional Partnerships

India must continue to strengthen both bilateral and multilateral partnerships to enhance collective security and improve interoperability across the Indo-Pacific. By reinforcing frameworks such as the Quad and engagements with ASEAN, alongside strategic partnerships with countries such as the United Kingdom, Japan, and Australia, India can play a pivotal role in advancing a free, open, and rules-based regional order. These partnerships should focus on maritime security, defence technology cooperation, and joint operations to enable a coordinated response to evolving regional challenges and to reinforce stability across the Indo-Pacific.

  1. Maritime Governance

India must take a leading role in shaping maritime norms and in supporting a rules-based order in the Indo-Pacific. It should actively promote freedom of navigation and ensure adherence to international law, particularly the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS). This requires strengthening maritime domain awareness, advancing cooperative security frameworks, and building consensus among regional partners. Through these efforts, India can effectively counter coercive practices and help maintain stability and openness across the Indo-Pacific maritime domain.

  1. Economic Integration

India must continue to leverage the blue economy by aligning its maritime strategy with national economic policy to enhance regional influence and sustain long-term growth. With the blue economy contributing approximately 4% to GDP and supporting nearly 95% of India’s trade by volume, its strategic significance is undeniable. This integration should prioritise initiatives such as the Deep Ocean Mission, accelerate port-led industrialisation under Sagarmala, and promote sustainable fisheries through the Pradhan Mantri Matsya Sampada Yojana (PMMSY). At the same time, ensuring a secure maritime environment will be essential to fully realise this potential.

  1. Technological Investment

India must continue to invest in Maritime Domain Awareness (MDA), cybersecurity, and the protection of undersea infrastructure, all of which are vital to the digital economy and broader geopolitical interests. With nearly 95% of global data transmitted via subsea cables, safeguarding this infrastructure has become a strategic priority. Strengthening platforms such as the IFC-IOR will enhance real-time situational awareness and coordination. These efforts are essential to counter emerging threats, including subsea sabotage, grey-zone operations, and surveillance, while securing the foundations of a growing blue economy.

Conclusion

The transformation of the Indian Ocean from a historical maritime commons into a contested geopolitical space reflects broader 21st-century shifts. As global power increasingly focuses on the Indo-Pacific, the Indian Ocean has emerged as the strategic core of global geopolitics. For India, this transformation marks a defining moment. India’s geographic centrality, historical legacy, and expanding capabilities position it as a natural leader. However, leadership will depend on the ability to translate potential into sustained strategic action. In this evolving landscape, India must not merely adapt—it must lead.

Author Brief Bio: Air Marshal P.K. Roy (Retd) is a distinguished officer of the Indian Air Force and served as the Commander-in-Chief of the Andaman and Nicobar Command, India’s only tri-service integrated command. Commissioned in 1975, he held several critical appointments including Director General (Operations) at Air Headquarters. He is known for his strategic foresight in joint operations, air defense, and military coordination. A graduate of the National Defence Academy and a recipient of the PVSM, AVSM, and VSM, Roy played a key role in enhancing India’s maritime and aerial capabilities. Post-retirement, he remains active in strategic and security discourse in India.

 

References:

[i] Gayathry Gopal, The New Age of Maritime Multilateralism in the Indian Ocean,   https://thediplomat.com/2026/01/the-new-age-of-maritime-multilateralism-in-the-indian-ocean/

[ii] K.N. Chaudhuri, “The Indian Ocean: From Antiquity to the Age of Discovery,” Journal of World History, Vol. 3, No. 2 (1992), pp. 123–140.

[iii] C. Raja Mohan, “India and the Indian Ocean: Renewing the Maritime Imperative,” ISAS Working Paper, 2012;  Robert D. Kaplan, “Center Stage for the 21st Century: Power Plays in the Indian Ocean,” Foreign Affairs, Vol. 88, No. 2 (2009), pp. 16–32.

[iv] Geoffrey Till, “Sea Power in a Globalised World,” Naval War College Review, Vol. 61, No. 2 (2008), pp. 7–22;   Abhijit Singh, “Sea Power and India’s Strategic Choices in the Indo-Pacific,” Strategic Analysis, Vol. 44, No. 4 (2020), pp. 320–334.

[v] Sugata Bose, “A Hundred Horizons and the Indian Ocean in the Age of Global Empire,” American Historical Review, Vol. 111, No. 2 (2006), pp. 469–470.

[vi] M.N. Pearson, “Littoral Society: The Concept and the Problems,” Journal of World History, Vol. 17, No. 4 (2006), pp. 353–373.

[vii]Sanjay Subrahmanyam, “Connected Histories: Notes towards a Reconfiguration of Early Modern Eurasia,” Modern Asian Studies, Vol. 31, No. 3 (1997), pp. 735–762.

[viii] David Brewster, “The Indian Ocean: A New Geopolitical Frontier,” Journal of the Indian Ocean Region, Vol. 8, No. 1 (2012), pp. 1–18;  Vijay Sakhuja, “Indian Ocean Geopolitics: Trends and Challenges,” ICWA Journal, 2015.

[ix] Vijay Sakhuja, “Energy Security and Sea Lines of Communication in the Indian Ocean Region,” ICWA Journal, Vol. 12, No. 1 (2015), pp. 45–60.

[x] Gurpreet S. Khurana, “China’s ‘String of Pearls’ and Its Security Implications,” Strategic Analysis, Vol. 32, No. 1 (2008), pp. 1–39.

[xi] Abhijit Singh, “Undersea Cables and Maritime Security in the Indian Ocean,” ORF Issue Brief, 2021.

[xii] K.A. Nilakanta Sastri, “The Naval Achievements of the Cholas,” Indian Historical Review, Vol. 4, No. 2 (1978), pp. 145–160.

[xiii] P.K. Ghosh, “India’s Maritime Doctrine: Evolution and Challenges,” IDSA Issue Brief, 2016.

[xiv] Shyam Saran, “The Indo-Pacific: India’s Perspective,” Carnegie India Working Paper, 2018

[xv] Jagannath Panda, “China’s BRI and Its Strategic Implications for India,” Strategic Analysis, Vol. 43, No. 2 (2019), pp. 125–140

[xvi] Gurpreet S. Khurana, “Strategic Role of India’s Island Territories in the Indo-Pacific,” National Maritime Foundation Paper, 2019.

[xvii] Vice Admiral (Retd) Pradeep Chauhan, “Island Territories and Maritime Security: The Indian Perspective,” National Maritime Foundation, 2021.

[xviii] Abhijit Singh, “Maritime Domain Awareness in the Indian Ocean Region: Role of IFC-IOR,” ORF Special Report, 2021.

[xix] R. Rajagopalan, “The Strategic Significance of Diego Garcia and Indian Ocean Security,” Observer Research Foundation Issue Brief, 2021.

[xx] Abhijit Singh, “Blue Economy and India’s Maritime Strategy,” Observer Research Foundation, 2020.

[xxi] Harsh V. Pant, “America First and the Indo-Pacific Strategy,” ORF Occasional Paper, 2019

[xxii] Abhijit Singh, “China’s Maritime Strategy in the Indian Ocean Region,” Observer Research Foundation, 2022

[xxiii] R. Rajagopalan, “Chagos, Sovereignty and Strategic Balance in the Indian Ocean,” ORF Issue Brief, 2025

[xxiv] Vice Admiral (Retd) Pradeep Chauhan, “India’s Role as a Net Security Provider,” National Maritime Foundation, 2020.

 

Navigating the Indian Ocean: Security, Strategy, and Cooperative Governance

Oceans cover nearly three-quarters of the Earth’s surface and remain central to global economic and social life. A significant proportion (75 per cent) of the world’s population lives in coastal areas (within 200nm), and the vast majority of global trade by volume and value travels by sea. Maritime space serves multiple roles: as a resource base, a transport medium, a domain of sovereignty, and an information conduit. These functions, however, are increasingly strained by challenges on land and at sea. As these pressures intensify, the need for cooperative maritime governance becomes more urgent.

Governance at sea safeguards maritime frontiers, ports, and offshore areas; establishes an EEZ to protect marine ecosystems, lives, and property; protects sea lines of communication; and prevents smuggling, poaching, piracy, gun-running, and trafficking. A ‘Crisis of the Oceans’ was caused by pollution, jurisdictional disputes, over-exploitation, and widespread ignorance.[i] Two-thirds of the world’s population lives within 100 kilometres of the coast, and the situation is expected to worsen with population growth and coastal urbanisation.[ii]

Maritime Security in the Indian Ocean

The Indian Ocean basin, the third-largest ocean basin in the world, covers more than 75 million square kilometres and has a total coastline of 70,000 km. It is home to about 39 countries, which together account for 35 per cent of the world’s population and 40 per cent of the world’s coastline. Almost eighty per cent of the world’s sea trade and two-thirds of the world’s oil trade pass through the Indian Ocean. The Indian Ocean is at the centre of global trade, with crucial chokepoints such as the Straits of Malacca and Hormuz. The sea routes connect West Asia, Africa, and East Asia with Europe and the Americas. About 40 per cent of the world’s offshore oil production comes from the Indian Ocean basin.[iii] At the same time, the region is increasingly vulnerable to a complex spectrum of traditional and non-traditional security threats, ranging from piracy, armed robbery, and maritime terrorism to other forms of illicit maritime activity. Ensuring maritime security in the Indian Ocean, therefore, is not only vital for safeguarding International Shipping Lanes and Sea Lines of Communication but also for maintaining regional stability and sustaining the broader architecture of global economic interdependence.

At the same time, maritime security in the Indian Ocean is increasingly shaped by great power competition, adding a strategic and military dimension to what was traditionally viewed as a space of commerce and connectivity. The growing presence of major powers has intensified geopolitical rivalries, particularly over control of critical sea lanes, chokepoints, and maritime infrastructure. The expanding footprint of China – through port development, logistics networks, and dual-use facilities (also known as Strategic Strong Points) across the Indian Ocean littoral – has raised concerns about strategic encirclement and long-term military access.

India’s maritime approach is increasingly articulated through its policy statement, encapsulated in the acronym MAHASAGAR (Mutual and Holistic Advancement for Security and Growth Across Regions), which builds on the earlier SAGAR policy. MAHASAGAR reflects an integrated approach to maritime security that combines economic development, regional connectivity, environmental sustainability, and cooperative security. It positions India as a provider of security while emphasising inclusivity and partnership rather than confrontation.

This evolving strategic environment has led to the gradual militarisation of the Indian Ocean, evident in increased naval deployments, joint exercises, and the establishment or expansion of overseas bases and access agreements. While these developments may contribute to deterrence and stability, they also heighten the risk of strategic mistrust, competition for influence, and the securitisation of maritime spaces vital to global commerce. Consequently, maritime security in the Indian Ocean must now be understood not only in terms of non-traditional threats but also within the broader context of shifting power dynamics and geopolitical contestation. The following are a few challenges that can be seen as maritime threats in the region.

Environmental Challenges and Climate Change

Environmental issues are a primary concern for most countries in the Indian Ocean region. In the long run, environmental degradation will have serious implications not only for marine ecology but also for the livelihoods of fishing communities. Apart from overfishing, factors such as coral reef degradation due to climate change, ship emissions, and land-based pollution significantly affect fish stocks. Mangroves – essential for coastal protection and biodiversity – are being destroyed by reduced freshwater inflows and human encroachment. Rising sea levels and climate variability will further exacerbate vulnerabilities, potentially displacing around 250 million people globally by 2050.

Humanity will face numerous problems (rising sea levels, migration of people living in low-lying areas, environmental hazards, cyclones, droughts, impacts on health, reduced crop yields, water scarcity, and so on) due to greenhouse gas emissions. Climate change poses multiple challenges for island states in the Indian Ocean. With changes in temperature, precipitation, and humidity, the main sectors, such as agriculture and rural development, will likely be severely affected. The impact can already be seen in heatwaves, cyclones, floods, and the salinisation of coastal waters, as well as in their effects on agriculture, fisheries, and health. A rise in sea levels would result in the gradual submergence of coastal states. As a result, large-scale migration from coastal zones is anticipated. This will create many environmental refugees, mainly from low-lying regions. Seawater intrusion into groundwater and temperature changes can reduce agricultural and fishing incomes in coastal states.

Maritime Domain Awareness and Governance Gaps

A critical challenge in addressing maritime threats in the Indian Ocean is the lack of comprehensive Maritime Domain Awareness (MDA) – the effective understanding of activities at sea that could affect security, safety, the economy, or the environment. The vastness of the ocean, coupled with limited technological and institutional capacities among many littoral States, creates significant blind spots in monitoring maritime activity.

The MDA integrates data from multiple sources, including coastal radar systems, satellite surveillance, automatic identification systems, and intelligence-sharing networks. However, disparities in technological capabilities across the region lead to uneven surveillance coverage, allowing illicit activities such as piracy, trafficking, and illegal fishing to persist.

Strengthening MDA requires not only technological investment but also enhanced regional cooperation. Information-sharing mechanisms, joint patrols, and coordinated surveillance initiatives are essential for bridging existing gaps. Regional frameworks and partnerships can facilitate capacity-building, enabling smaller states to monitor their exclusive economic zones more effectively. In this regard, collaborative approaches involving both regional and extra-regional actors can significantly enhance situational awareness and maritime governance.

In this regard, India has taken a proactive role by establishing the Information Fusion Centre – Indian Ocean Region (IFC-IOR). The IFC-IOR serves as a regional hub for maritime information sharing, integrating data from multiple sources, including coastal radar systems, satellites, and partner countries. It enables real-time monitoring of shipping movements and enhances situational awareness across the Indian Ocean.

By collaborating with partner nations and multinational agencies, IFC-IOR addresses critical gaps in surveillance and coordination. It is a practical implementation of India’s MAHSAGAR vision, promoting transparency, trust-building, and collective security. Strengthening these mechanisms is essential to effectively counter piracy, trafficking, and other illicit activities.

Critical Maritime Infrastructure and Vulnerabilities

The security of critical maritime infrastructure has become a central concern across the Indian Ocean. This includes ports, offshore energy installations, shipping lanes, and submarine communication cables. These assets underpin the global economy and are indispensable for trade, energy security, and digital connectivity.

Submarine cables, in particular, carry the vast majority of global internet and data traffic, making them highly strategic yet vulnerable assets. Disruptions – whether from natural hazards, accidents, or deliberate sabotage – can have far-reaching economic and security consequences. Similarly, major ports and energy infrastructure are increasingly targeted by both physical and cyber threats.

The growing digitisation of maritime logistics and port operations has introduced new vulnerabilities, particularly in the cyber domain. Cyberattacks on port infrastructure, navigation systems, or shipping networks can disrupt global supply chains and undermine economic stability. In a region as critical as the Indian Ocean, such disruptions could have cascading global effects.

Protecting critical maritime infrastructure therefore requires a multi-layered approach that combines physical security, cybersecurity measures, regulatory frameworks, and international cooperation. Ensuring resilience in these systems is essential to maintaining the stability and reliability of global maritime networks.

Non-state Actors

Due to the vastness of the oceans, unhindered access, the absence of national jurisdiction on the high seas, and the limited maritime capabilities of most nations in the Indian Ocean region, non-state actors are operating without detection by security agencies. Coastal states can address maritime threats by sharing their experiences, collaboratively analysing the current situation, and assessing future scenarios and prospects for human development.

Piracy and Transnational Crime

The persistence of piracy[iv], particularly in the Gulf of Aden and the Horn of Africa, remains a major concern. The Flag of Convenience (FOC) facility is offered by 30 small states, and nearly 50 per cent of global shipping is registered under such arrangements. This complicates regulation.[v] According to World Bank estimates, piracy costs the global economy approximately US$18 billion annually.[vi]

Maritime trade has been affected by the resurgence in piracy and naval theft since the beginning of the 1990s.[vii] It depends on the security of routes and passages. This explains the growing number of projects, i.e., the opening of new communication channels, which may alter the geopolitics of world maritime transport. Conventional merchant ships carry heroin and opium from the Golden Triangle (Myanmar, Laos, and Thailand) to Europe via major ports such as Karachi, Mumbai, Dubai, and Istanbul. Drugs also travel through the Golden Crescent (Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Iran) to the West and the Far East. Drugs worth US$500 billion a year are being transported, which is larger than the global oil trade.[viii]

Illegal fishing has long been a problem in the region and has been linked to the rise of piracy off Somalia’s coast. It has been estimated that unregulated Iranian fishing vessels catch up to 100,000 metric tonnes of fish from Somali waters each year.[ix] The Minister of Fisheries and Marine Resources of the Federal Government of Somalia, Abdilahi Bidhan Warsame, said, “It is very concerning to see that foreign fleets are not prepared to go through the legitimate channels to gain access to fish in Somalia. We call on all distant water fishing nations to ensure they control their flagged vessels and respect our management regime.

[x] Due to ineffective policy, “a generation that did not find education, that did not find employment, that did not find a way to learn the good traditions and customs of the Somali people. Hunger, poverty, and refugees all impacted the new generation that has grown since… In the absence of the responsibility of a government, many young people who should have been on the path to a good and bright future were neglected.[xi]

The overexploitation of fisheries by both international commercial and illegal foreign fishing has marginalised Somali fishers. The fishers need more infrastructure and technology to maximise their catch. Many of these fishers were previously farmers who had to switch to fishing to survive. Due to the depletion of local fish stocks and the presence of foreign trawlers, half of Somalia’s population has become poor.[xii] Somali pirates justify their activities by claiming that they protect Somalia’s natural resources and that payment should be considered legitimate taxation—necessary steps to address their problems, particularly the eradication of poverty in ungoverned areas. Pirates attack from the shore in motorboats, and most attacks are carried out under cover of darkness. It is also easy to attack at anchorage, when the crew is preparing for upcoming cargo operations. Maritime pirates are increasingly exploiting the world’s ungoverned spaces with growing success. The pirates of today could become terrorists of tomorrow.[xiii]

Maritime Terrorism

After the Cold War, maritime terrorism took on a transnational dimension, making it difficult for states to curb such activities. Hence, this evil must be fought collectively by all states. As threats from the sea increase, littoral states need to enhance their cooperation on maritime security. The rise of maritime terrorism disrupts peace and stability at sea. Ships and other vessels can themselves become ‘tools of terror’.

The growing commercial activity at sea makes it the preferred route for terrorist elements such as Al Qaeda, Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT), and other groups that have carried out a series of incidents by using the sea route to attack targets. The Mumbai (India) attack has only reiterated the urgency for the navy to fight against terrorist activities. LeT sought to conduct its activities at sea and established its ‘sea wing.’ It is believed that the Indian Ocean region has a large number of merchant vessels belonging to various terrorist organisations such as Al Qaeda. One cannot ignore the possibility of a nexus between pirates and terrorists in the maritime domain.

Conclusion

Maritime security in the Indian Ocean is increasingly shaped by the intersection of traditional and non-traditional threats and by intensifying great-power competition. Environmental challenges, technological vulnerabilities, and governance gaps further complicate the security landscape. Addressing these challenges requires a comprehensive, cooperative approach involving regional and extra-regional actors. Enhancing maritime domain awareness, securing critical infrastructure, and managing geopolitical competition are essential to a stable maritime order. The future of the Indian Ocean will depend on states’ ability to balance competition with cooperation, ensuring that this vital maritime space continues to serve as a conduit for global prosperity rather than a zone of conflict.

Author Brief Bio: Professor Adluri Subramanyam Raju is a Professor at the Centre for South Asian Studies. He is also the Coordinator of Centre for Maritime Studies at Pondicherry University, Puducherry.

 

References:

[i] Geoffrey Till, Sea Power: A Guide for the Twenty-First Century, London: Routledge, 2009, p. 303.

[ii] Ibid.

[iii] See https://incois.gov.in/documents/iogoos/pdfs/IOGOOS_Strategy.pdf, accessed 14 November 2024.

[iv] The International Maritime Bureau (IMB) defines piracy and armed robbery as “an act of boarding or attempting to board any ship with the apparent intent to commit theft or any other crime and with the apparent attempt or capability to use force in the furtherance of that act.” See Rupert Herbert-Burns, Sam Bateman, and Peter Lehr (eds), Lloyd’s MIU Handbook of Maritime Security, New York: CRC Press, 2009, p. 75.

[v] P.K. Ghosh, “Maritime Security Challenges in South Asia and the Indian Ocean: Response Strategies”, American-Pacific Sealanes Security Institute Conference on Maritime Security in Asia, Center for Strategic and International Studies, 18-20 January 2006, Honolulu, Hawaii, cited in Alok Bansal, “Maritime Threat Perceptions: Non-State Actors in the Indian Ocean region”, Maritime Affairs, vol. 6, no.1, Summer 2010, p. 16.

[vi] Salman Khurshid, Julie Bishop and Marty Natalegawa, “Putting out to Sea a new Vision”, The Hindu, 2 November 2013, p. 9.

[vii] Till, n.1, p. 296.

[viii] Louis Kraas, “US Anti-Narcotics Strategy at War with Reality”, Strategic Comments, London: IISS, 5 March 2000, cited in Till, n.1, p. 296.

[ix] See https://stopillegalfishing.com/news-articles/iranian-fishing-vessels-continueto-ignore-regulations-in-somalia-and-yemen/#:~:text=This%20challenge%20is%20not%20new, Federal%20Government%20of%20Somalia%2C%20HE,

accessed 20 March 2024.

[x] Ibid.

[xi] “Somalia at a Crossroads and the Duty of the International Community”, address given by HE Sheikh Sharif Sheikh Ahmed, President of the Transitional Federal Government of Somalia to the Royal Institute of International Affairs, Chatham House, London, 8 March 2010.

[xii] Rubrick Beigon, “Somali Piracy and the International Response”, Foreign Policy in Focus, Commentary dated 29 January 2009, www.fpif.org/fpitxt/5827, cited in Alok Bansal, “Maritime Threat Perceptions: Non-State Actors in the Indian Ocean region”, Maritime Affairs, vol. 6, no.1, Summer 2010, p. 16.

[xiii] Michael Mc Nicholas, Maritime Security: An Introduction, Amsterdam: Elsevier Inc., 2008, p. 167.

 

Navigating the New Maritime Order: Strategic Imperatives for Collective Governance in the Indian Ocean

Maritime security, the blue economy, and maritime law have recently attracted significant attention due to the weakening of the once-upheld international system and the intensification of geopolitical rivalries among great and major powers. The growing divisions and rising multipolarity have indicated the decline of Western powers, most notably as the global power shift has veered towards Asia. For instance, the rise of China, the advent of India’s rise, and the simultaneous prosperity of the Global South, which represents up to 85 per cent of the global population, coupled with advances in science and technology, namely Artificial Intelligence (AI) and digitalisation, and unprecedented changes in global climate patterns observed across the continents. These developments have perpetuated a structural shift in human interactions and state-to-state interdependence. Moreover, the digital economy, cybersecurity, and the global arms race, augmented by science and technology, are shaping international relations and national security, and thus, the domains of maritime security and ocean governance must evolve and adapt to these changing environments.

The Indian Ocean should not be treated as a separate case, diagnosed merely as a vast international body of marine ecosystems with immense economic potential or as a sustainable public good for all, without serious consideration of its consequences. In fact, it offers far-reaching benefits to humanity, serving as a pulse that helps secure life energy by both injecting and retrieving abundant resources from the ocean. Simply put, life on Earth has been enriched by the Indian Ocean’s sustainability, richness, and ecological health, compared with the rest of the oceans and the world’s inland resources.

Democratisation of the Indian Ocean may enhance seamless convergence and integration. However, it does not guarantee that this will work in favour of shared economic prosperity. It thus requires bold courage from political leaders in the Indo-Pacific region to address economic inequality and settle differences in institutional and legal structures to bridge development gaps among countries in the Indian Ocean. India can deepen its strategic posture in free trade and freedom of navigation, supported by the international rule of law. The 1982 UNCLOS provides the most important legal foundation for member states to address differences over maritime boundaries, but it is by no means the single most important international instrument for addressing all issues in the oceanic or maritime spheres. This is owing to the multiple layers of complexity in disputes over claim areas and the geopolitical complications of security matters, sovereign rights over marine resources, freedom of navigation, and ownership status.

For India-ASEAN relations, the two parties are natural partners, linked by the vast Indian and Pacific Oceans. In this regard, the trinity of East Asia, namely China, Japan and Korea (CJK), is also a natural partners to ASEAN, and they have close and deep economic, security, and socio-cultural relations with the 11-member Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). The challenges for India, CJK and others, such as Australia and New Zealand, in the Asia-Pacific region are to strike the geopolitical, geo-economic and geo-security balances with each ASEAN member state and with ASEAN as a regional bloc, while weathering external pressure from the West, with the US and the European Union as dynamic “dialogue partners”.

As ASEAN remains weak, or is weakened by its vast geography and marked diversity in political culture and legal structures, the India-ASEAN dichotomy highlights fundamental challenges ahead. Take Cambodia as an example. Cambodia is the member state that has ratified the convention. After more than four decades since acceding to the UNCLOS in 1983, Cambodia ratified the convention to join the international community of 172 parties in upholding the international rule of law, with the United Nations Charter at its core and the ASEAN Charter that underpins ASEAN Centrality and its community vision 2045. Some ASEAN member states are partnering with India in BIMSTEC, which aims to position itself as an important forum for enhancing regional connectivity, promoting economic integration, and maintaining geopolitical balance. Currently, BIMSTEC includes two ASEAN member states, namely Myanmar and Thailand.[i] This arrangement appears to disregard other ASEAN maritime member states in its aforementioned overarching goals.

In this context, it serves the best interests of maritime nations to ensure coherence to streamline and harmonise strategic interests in the maritime domain, without creating unnecessary confrontation, while preserving the national interests of the respective member states in the Indo-Pacific Ocean. Therefore, consolidating the Free and Open Indo-Pacific Initiative (FOIP), the ASEAN Outlook on the Indo-Pacific (AOIP), the Indo-Pacific Oceans Initiative (IPOI) of India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi, China’s 21st-century maritime silk road supported by China’s recently launched four global initiatives, and the UN-led pact of the future 2024.

Co-stewardship of the Indian Ocean matters for several reasons. In what follows, this article will present the rationale for collective governance of the Indian Ocean in the 21st century and beyond.

First, the diversity of maritime states in the Indian Ocean calls for our close examination of their capacities, interests, and leadership in navigating common challenges on the one hand and harnessing collective strengths on the other. The Carnegie Endowment Organisation listed the Indian Ocean as bordered by over 25 littoral and island nations across Africa, Asia, and Australia, and noted that it serves as a critical global trade route. Major countries include India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Australia, South Africa, Kenya, and Oman. Key island nations include Madagascar, the Maldives, Mauritius, Seychelles, Comoros, and Sri Lanka.[ii] By all means, the international governance of maritime security cannot rest solely with the great powers. Moreover, they are not designed for sole leadership at the expense of the rest of the oceanic and maritime states.

Second, technological divides persist among countries in the Indian Ocean. In the technology sector, India has seen exponential growth and innovation, which can be leveraged to support security initiatives in the region. As the Indian economy is picking up, projected to become the world’s third-largest economy by 2028-2030, overtaking Germany, it holds the key to injecting new impetus for economic development, peace and international cooperation. Within the next decade, India will reach a high level of confidence that its economy will be opened up and that domestic consumption will expand. This economic maturing will be offset by the cost of security protection, particularly in the maritime domains. India’s regional leadership in development contributions and security guarantees will serve as a springboard to promote Indian soft power and cushion the external shocks India will need to address.

Third, the trilateral partnership between ASEAN, India and Japan (AIJ) in maritime security governance of the Indo-Pacific region, in its pragmatic relations with other regional actors in the wider Asia-Pacific community of countries, including South Asia, East Asia, the Middle East and Europe, will necessitate a security anchor for regional production and supply chains for critical minerals and resources, energy security, and economic security. Through the shared principles and pragmatic engagement of the trilateral partnership, it entails both the responsibility and the capacity to sustain and revitalise the rules-based order in the evolving Indo-Pacific.[iii]

In conclusion, securitising maritime governance is risky. Conversely, synergising the major, middle and small powers in the Global South, particularly maritime states, on the basis of the international rule of law, leadership, and the international responsibility to contribute to regional peace, security and development is key to achieving pragmatic outcomes. Collective governance of maritime security and the marine economy, and the internationalisation of best practices, should be enhanced. In a nutshell, overcoming geopolitical distrust and hegemonic motives among maritime member states, and creating a model of productive partnership among key players, i.e., by means of inclusiveness and coherence on the basis of the international rule of law, is an essential step to exemplify and reinvigorate the global multilateralism that results from trust, respect, justice, equality and mutual interest.

Author Brief Bio: Dr. Chheng Kimlong holds a PhD in Economics from the Australian National University, a Master in Economics from Kobe University, and a Master in Business Administration from Preston University. Dr. Chheng is Director of Centre for Governance Innovation and Democracy (CGID) of the Asian Vision Institute (AVI) and is Senior Researcher at the Centre for Policy Studies (CPS), Cambodia.

 

References:

[i] Vajiram Content Team. “BIMSTEC Countries 2026, Area of Cooperation, Significance, Challenges”. https://vajiramandravi.com/current-affairs/bimstec-countries/

[ii] Darshana M. Baruah, Nitya Labh, and Jessica Greely. “Mapping the Indian Ocean Region”. (Working Paper, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, June 2023).
https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2023/06/mapping-the-indian-ocean-region

[iii] Shristi Pukhrem. “Reassessing rules-based order: India, Japan, and ASEAN in changing Indo-Pacific”. Wion Web Desk (March 2026)

https://www.wionews.com/opinions/reassessing-rules-based-order-india-japan-and-asean-in-changing-indo-pacific-1774278362080

 

India and the Bay of Bengal: A Catalyst for Regional Integration and Prosperity

The Bay of Bengal is a natural waterway linking India to Southeast Asia. It is a rich, biodiverse region, shaped by the monsoons that determine food and water security, livelihoods and navigation. India shares land and/or maritime boundaries with all the countries around the Bay of Bengal. India is the foremost link for regional connectivity, prosperity and security. India’s participation, cooperation and facilitation are essential to the smooth flow of goods, services and people across this wider geography.

Countries in the region share a civilisational connection, bound by history, language, culture, costumes, textiles, dance, music, religion, agricultural practices, cuisine, dietary habits, and myriad other commonalities and cultural traditions. The ancient Hindu and Buddhist temples in Indonesia, Cambodia, Laos, Vietnam and Thailand are living examples of deep-rooted historical, religious and commercial links. Accounts of monsoon-linked trade routes between India and Southeast Asia are legendary. This includes the ‘Bali Jatra’ of Odisha, yet another example of affinity among the people of India and Southeast Asia from ancient times. This civilisational connectivity has played an important role in India’s renewed engagement with the dynamic economies of Southeast Asia, including invigorated bilateral strategic partnerships and engagements through ASEAN mechanisms, namely the regular ASEAN-India bilateral summits, the East Asia Summit, the ASEAN Regional Forum, and the Mekong-Ganga Cooperation.

The Northeastern states of India form a unique land bridge between India and Southeast Asia, spanning cultural, ethnic, linguistic and historical ties. These states have emerged as major connectivity hubs, with networks of roads, railways, waterways, grids, and pipelines. Once completed, the India-Myanmar-Thailand Trilateral Highway will connect India’s North East to the Pacific Ocean. India has focused its efforts on regional integration, keeping this geo-strategic factor in mind.

The fallout from the ongoing conflict in West Asia reveals the flip side of an interconnected and interdependent world. The Bay of Bengal, although ensconced within its own geographical space in the northeast of the Indian Ocean, is not immune to developments elsewhere. The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and the destruction of energy infrastructure have adversely affected global trade and energy supplies. If the conflict escalates further or persists longer, it will seriously affect the growth prospects of littoral states around the Bay of Bengal, undermining their energy and food security, inward remittances, and the livelihoods of millions.

Smaller neighbours have approached India for support to address the current energy crisis. With the longest coastline on the Bay of Bengal and as the first responder in times of crisis, India will step in to help, as it did during the COVID pandemic and other past calamities and natural disasters.

Even as we take stock of our response to the new threats and challenges emerging from developments in West Asia, this is an opportune moment for countries around the Bay of Bengal to recall the rationale for strengthening cooperation, given India’s links with Southeast Asia. Enhancing regional cooperation, notably through the Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multisectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation (BIMSTEC), is imperative. As articulated by Dr S. Jaishankar, the External Affairs Minister of India, during the Ministerial meeting before the 6th BIMSTEC Summit in Bangkok on April 3, 2025: “What we make of our prospects is very much dependent on ourselves. As developing nations who face a multitude of challenges, that is better done in concert with each other than individually”.

Since its establishment, BIMSTEC has become the obvious choice for regional cooperation among the seven member states – Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Myanmar, Nepal, Sri Lanka and Thailand. The inclusion of two landlocked Himalayan countries alongside five littoral states underscores the ecosystem’s composite nature.

BIMSTEC promotes regional cooperation across seven broad pillars: Agriculture and Food Security; Connectivity; Environment and Climate Change; People-to-People Contact; Science, Technology and Innovation; Security; and Trade, Investment and Development. Cooperation spans eight sub-sectors: Blue Economy, Mountain Economy, Energy, Disaster Management, Fisheries and Livestock, Poverty Alleviation, and Health and Human Resource Development.

The 6th BIMSTEC Summit Declaration, the Bangkok Vision 2030, and the Eminent Persons Group Report have provided the organisation with a clear direction and a roadmap for collective prosperity. The conclusion of the BIMSTEC Maritime Transport Agreement ensures a free, open, secure, and safe Indian Ocean. This is particularly relevant in the wake of the conflict in West Asia, where freedom of navigation is under grave strain, underscoring the importance of open sea lanes and respect for international law.

Despite comprising 22% of the world’s population (1.7 billion people) and a combined GDP of nearly US$4 trillion, the Bay of Bengal region’s intra-regional trade remains woefully inadequate. New and innovative ways to engage the private sector, encourage micro-trade, regional value chains and trade in local products are needed to give a major fillip to regional trade. Trade facilitation to promote regional value chains in agriculture and related sectors can also give a major boost to regional trade, pending the finalisation of an FTA.

The adoption of the BIMSTEC Masterplan for Transport Connectivity is another important step towards building land, marine, energy, digital and people-to-people connectivity. Rapid and expeditious implementation of this Plan will help integrate waterways, rail, road and digital connectivity.

The Bay of Bengal region is highly vulnerable to cyclones, rising sea levels and other natural disasters. This is an existential reality. Collective cooperation to address climate change, disaster management, the preservation of both Himalayan and marine ecology, and their sustainable development is crucial and necessitates urgent collective action.

Addressing climate change and disaster management enhances security as much as it supports prosperity and connectivity. These are interconnected. Establishing a consultative mechanism among the NSAs and Home Ministers is an important step towards addressing the Bay of Bengal’s common security challenges, including combating cybercrime, addressing cybersecurity threats, terrorism, drug trafficking, and human trafficking, as well as other traditional and non-traditional security threats.

For India, regional cooperation within the BIMSTEC framework represents a combination of its Neighbourhood First, Act East and MAHASAGAR policies. As the largest country in the region and one of the fastest-growing larger economies, India recognises its greater responsibility and is prepared to play that role. India has taken several initiatives since the inception of BIMSTEC. The most recent include: the establishment of the Energy Centre in Bengaluru to explore an energy grid connection across the region; an offer to share its experience with Digital Public Infrastructure to enhance good governance, transparency, and financial inclusion in the delivery of public goods; a proposed connectivity between India’s Unified Payments Interface and the payment systems of BIMSTEC member states, to bring substantial benefits across trade, industry, and tourism, enhancing economic activity at all levels; a proposed establishment of a BIMSTEC Chamber of Commerce for greater collaboration among the business communities and annual BIMSTEC Business Summits to foster greater economic engagement; possible trade in local currencies within the BIMSTEC region; the establishment of a Sustainable Maritime Transport Centre to focus on capacity building, research, and innovation, foster greater coordination in maritime policy, and enhance cooperation in maritime security across the region; the establishment of a BIMSTEC Centre of Excellence for Disaster Management in India to facilitate cooperation in disaster preparedness, relief, rehabilitation, and joint exercises among the BIMSTEC Disaster Management Authorities; an offer of training and capacity building in cancer care across BIMSTEC countries and the establishment of a Centre of Excellence to promote research and dissemination of traditional medicines; the establishment of another Centre of Excellence, focused on the exchange of knowledge and best practices, research collaboration, and capacity building in the agriculture sector; and an offer to share Indian expertise and experience in the area of space, including the establishment of a ground station for manpower training, development, and the launch of nano-satellites, and the use of remote sensing data for the BIMSTEC countries.

In addition to these initiatives, India has undertaken several training and capacity-building programmes to equip youth and develop human resources. Sports and cultural connectivity are other areas of cooperation offered by India to promote people-to-people contacts, including the BIMSTEC Games, a Music Festival, a Youth Leaders’ Summit, a Hackathon, and the Young Professional Visitors Programme, all of which encourage innovation and collaboration.

From India’s perspective, cooperation in the Bay of Bengal, whether bilateral, sub-regional, or through established ASEAN and BIMSTEC mechanisms, embodies the spirit of “Sabka Saath, Sabka Vikas, Sabka Prayas”. This was emphasised by Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modi at the 6th BIMSTEC Summit in Bangkok on April 4, 2025, when he said: “BIMSTEC serves as a vital bridge between South and Southeast Asia and is emerging as a powerful platform for advancing regional connectivity, cooperation, and shared prosperity…. For us, BIMSTEC is not merely a regional organisation. It is a model for inclusive development and collective security. It stands as a testament to our shared commitments and the strength of our unity.”

Author Brief Bio: Ambassador Preeti Saran is currently a Member of the UN’s Committee on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights (CESCR). She was Secretary (East) at the Ministry of External Affairs, Government of India. She joined the MEA in 1982, and has most recently served as Ambassador of India to the Socialist Republic of Vietnam. She has also undertaken diplomatic postings to Toronto, Geneva, Cairo, Dhaka and Moscow. In New Delhi, she has served as Joint Secretary (SAARC/North), Deputy Secretary/ Director (Establishment) / East Asia, and Under-secretary (ICCR/AMS).

 

Collective Stewardship for Indian Ocean Governance

Oceans beyond the immediate maritime zones have been a key global common, and since the beginning of human history, the human race has progressed by harnessing them and their resources. After the Second World War, rapid technological advances have further enhanced the importance of oceans by making them significant sources of hydrocarbons and critical minerals. Numerous laws were enacted to manage this critical medium and its resources. The Nineteenth and Twentieth Centuries were initially dominated by events in the Atlantic Ocean and subsequently by those in the Pacific. All the while, the Indian Ocean remained in the background.

Today, the Indian Ocean is no longer merely a “neglected ocean” or a secondary theatre of global geopolitics. It has become the epicentre of global energy and trade corridors, through which one-third of the world’s bulk cargo and two-thirds of its oil shipments pass. Yet this vital expanse—stretching from the African coast to the Indonesian archipelago and Australia—faces a “tragedy of the commons” on a monumental scale. Overfishing, maritime piracy, plastic pollution, contested maritime zones and the escalating climate crisis threaten the structural integrity of littoral states. To secure the region’s future, the paradigm must shift from competitive exploitation to collective stewardship.

The Geopolitical and Ecological Imperative

Unlike the Pacific and the Atlantic, the Indian Ocean is unique. Geographically, it is bounded to the north by the vast Eurasian Landmass and consequently has no opening to the North Pole, which restricts access and creates significant choke points of immense geopolitical significance. Geoeconomically, it is predominantly an ocean of the “developing world”. Unlike the North Atlantic, the IOR is characterised by vast disparities in economic capability and maritime infrastructure. Consequently, most countries are constrained to focus on short-term gains rather than the collective good. This creates a fragmented security architecture in which non-traditional threats—such as Illegal, Unreported, and Unregulated (IUU) fishing and transnational maritime crimes—thrive in the gaps between national jurisdictions.

The Indian Ocean also faces a significant ecological threat, as it is warming faster than the global average. Global warming and the consequent rise in sea levels erode coastlines and vast mangrove forests. It also threatens the very existence of some island nations, such as the Maldives. Many of them lack resources, and even those with resources often bear the consequences of others’ actions. As a result, there is a pressing need for a unified response to tackle these problems. The degradation of coral reefs and the acidification of waters do not confine themselves to Exclusive Economic Zones (EEZs). Therefore, governance must transition from a state-centric “security” model to a holistic “stewardship” model.

Today, collective stewardship is not merely a diplomatic preference; it is an existential necessity.

Pillars of Collective Stewardship

For a strategy of collective stewardship to be effective, it must be built on three functional pillars:

1.     Integrated Maritime Domain Awareness (MDA)

Stewardship begins with observation. Currently, many littoral states lack the technological capacity to monitor their own waters. Collective stewardship requires a “plug-and-play” data-sharing environment.

  • Action: Strengthening hubs like India’s Information Fusion Centre-Indian Ocean Region (IFC-IOR) to act as a transparent clearing house for real-time data on vessel movements.
  • Goal: To eliminate “blind spots” that allow for illegal poaching and environmental dumping.
2.     The Blue Economy and Sustainable Resource Management

The Indian Ocean holds roughly 15mu% of the world’s total fish catch. However, fish stocks are migratory. If one nation over-extracts, the entire ecosystem suffers.

  • Collective Approach: Establishing regional quotas and shared “no-take” marine protected areas (MPAs), as well as “no-fishing” periods, so that fish stocks can recover and biodiversity is preserved.
  • Incentive: Moving towards “Blue Carbon” credits, in which nations are financially rewarded for preserving mangroves and seagrasses that sequester carbon.
3.     Disaster Risk Reduction and Climate Adaptation

The IOR is one of the world’s most disaster-prone regions. It is affected by cyclones in the Bay of Bengal and by rising sea levels, which exact a heavy toll on human lives and resources.

  • Stewardship in Action: It is almost impossible to deal with mega-disasters individually. The human and material resources required within a short time frame are usually not available to a single country. Hence, there is a need to create a regional “Climate Response Force” with shared early-warning systems. This would move the needle from reactive humanitarian aid to proactive collective resilience.

Challenges to the Stewardship Model

The primary obstacle to collective governance is the “Great Power Rivalry.” The growing militarisation of the Indian Ocean by extra-regional powers often forces littoral states to make binary choices, while undermining regional solidarity. When naval competition takes centre stage, environmental conservation and soft-security cooperation are often pushed to the background.

In addition, the region suffers from a significant “Capability-Capacity Gap”. While a large state may still have the assets to patrol its vast maritime zones, including the high seas, smaller states often struggle to enforce maritime law within their own waters. Collective stewardship requires a “security as a service” model, in which larger maritime forces provide training and support to smaller coast guards without infringing on sovereignty. This requires common operating procedures, compatible communications and frequent interactions amongst them.

Frameworks for Cooperation: IORA and Beyond

The Indian Ocean Rim Association (IORA) is the natural vehicle for this stewardship. However, IORA must move beyond ministerial declarations to concrete actions. Some of these initiatives are listed below.

Focus Area Proposed Initiative
Legal Steps need to be taken to harmonize maritime laws to ensure that the “flags of convenience” cannot be used to bypass environmental regulations.
Technical Share research vessels and expertise to map the Indian Ocean floor and monitor acidification levels.
Diplomatic Adopting a “Code of Conduct” for the Indian Ocean that prioritizes ecological stability over military posturing.

 

Challenges: Great Power Rivalry and the Capacity Gap

The primary obstacle to this model is the “Great Power Rivalry.” The increasing militarisation of the Indian Ocean by extra-regional powers and the resulting contestation often force littoral states to make binary choices. Invariably, when power projection takes centre stage, environmental conservation is pushed to the background.

Furthermore, there is a significant Capability-Capacity Gap. While large nations like Australia, India, or Indonesia might have the assets to patrol vast areas, smaller states with extensive maritime zones often struggle to even conduct law enforcement in their territorial waters. Collective stewardship requires pooling resources, with larger navies providing training and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) to smaller coast guards, enabling them to focus on “soft security” issues such as disaster relief and the preservation of marine ecology rather than projecting just “hard power”.

The Path Forward: A “G-IOR” Framework

To institutionalise collective stewardship, the Indian Ocean Rim Association (IORA) must be empowered. It is proposed to establish a “G-IOR” (Group of Indian Ocean Residents)—a dedicated working group focused exclusively on the linkages between climate change and maritime security.

Conclusion: Managing the Commons

The Indian Ocean is the lifeblood of the 21st century. The era of viewing the ocean as an infinite resource to be guarded by individual navies is over. Collective stewardship offers a middle path: one that respects national sovereignty while acknowledging complete ecological and economic interdependence.

By prioritising the health of the ocean over competition for its surface, the littoral states of the Indian Ocean can create a blueprint for maritime governance that is inclusive, sustainable, and resilient. The choice is clear: either we manage the commons together, or we witness their collapse individually. The Indian Ocean does not belong to the states that border it; the states belong to it. Stewardship is the only way to honour that relationship.

Author Brief Bio:

Alok Bansal: Capt. Alok Bansal is the Executive Vice President of India Foundation & the Secretary General of Asian Eurasian Human Rights Forum (AEHRF). A seasoned strategic affairs analyst, he has previously served as the Executive Director of the National Maritime Foundation (NMF) and has held research positions at leading Indian think tanks including the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA) and the Centre for Land Warfare Studies (CLAWS). He has authored/ edited 10 books. His work focuses on maritime security, South Asian geopolitics, and internal dynamics of Pakistan. A former naval officer, he served in the Indian Navy for 32 years and commanded two warships. A PhD in international Affairs, he has been a visiting Professor at Jamia Millia Islamia.

Shristi Pukhrem: Dr. Shristi Pukhrem is Director, Act East Centre & Visiting Fellow at India Foundation. She is also currently the Dean of the School of Global Leadership. She holds a Doctorate from the School of International Studies (SIS), Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi. Formerly employed as a Researcher at the Institute for Defence Studies and Analysis (IDSA), New Delhi, Dr. Pukhrem’s research areas cover India-ASEAN relations, India’s bilateral relations with South-East Asian countries, and the Act East Policy with a broader focus on the Indo-Pacific region.

 

Catalysing Regional Action: IORA’s Role in Maritime Sustainability and Security

The Indian Ocean is a dynamic hub shaping global trade, security, and environmental stability. Its strategic location makes it a vital corridor for shipping, resource extraction, and geopolitical engagement. The region is rich in natural resources, including oil and gas, mineral deposits, and fisheries, which support millions of livelihoods. These opportunities are significant, but they demand careful, sustainable management. At the same time, the region faces multiple transboundary pressures: climate change, sea-level rise, maritime crime, vulnerability to disasters, marine pollution, overfishing, and geopolitical tensions. These challenges cannot be addressed by any single country alone; they require coordinated, inclusive, and sustained regional action.

In this context, the theme of collective stewardship aligns closely with the mandate of the Indian Ocean Rim Association (IORA). IORA provides a unique platform to translate shared responsibility into concrete action. With 23 member states, 12 dialogue partners, and a network of regional and international partners, IORA facilitates dialogue, strengthens cooperation, and delivers practical outcomes. Over the past 30 years, IORA member states have worked together to promote a peaceful, stable, and prosperous Indian Ocean region. The IORA Action Plan 2022-2027 sets out a roadmap for collaboration, capacity building, and measurable results, to be implemented through the work plans of our functional bodies and the active engagement of our member states across priority areas and cross-cutting issues. In this context, collective stewardship is not only a guiding principle; it is an imperative for the sustainable, secure, and prosperous management of the Indian Ocean.

Maritime safety and security is the foundation of stability and prosperity and the cornerstone of governance in the Indian Ocean region. The Indian Ocean hosts some of the busiest shipping lanes in the world, facilitating the movement of goods between Asia, Africa, Europe, and Australia. These routes are lifelines of global commerce, carrying vital resources such as oil and minerals, as well as manufactured goods. Ensuring their safety and security is a priority, as disruptions from piracy, instability, or natural disasters have consequences both regionally and globally. IORA promotes what may be termed maritime multilateralism to strengthen cooperation among member states. IORA member states have taken a wide range of initiatives that embody collective stewardship. These include, for example, search and rescue exercises, joint patrols, tabletop simulations to enhance operational readiness, capacity-building programmes on marine domain awareness and law enforcement, and real-time maritime information-sharing workshops at the Information Fusion Centre – Indian Ocean Region to facilitate the exchange of intelligence on transnational maritime threats. These are practical manifestations of IORA member states’ resolve to provide collective leadership to ensure maritime safety and security.

Member states are also signatories to a search and rescue memorandum of understanding, which sets out guidelines for coordination and cooperation in Search and Rescue (SAR) operations in the Indian Ocean region, including workshops on maritime and aeronautical SAR operations and legal studies on implementing UNCLOS among IORA member states. Together with regional initiatives such as the Indo-Pacific Dialogues, Bay of Bengal Dialogue, and the Galle Dialogue, these efforts have strengthened cooperation, harmonised standards, and built resilience across the region. Together, these efforts demonstrate how coordinated action, shared responsibility, and regional collaboration can safeguard the Indian Ocean, ensuring it remains secure, sustainable, and prosperous for all member states.

The stewardship also requires protecting coastal communities from natural hazards. Transboundary hazards such as cyclones, tsunamis, and rising sea levels affect multiple countries simultaneously, highlighting the need for coordinated regional policies on early warning systems, data sharing, and joint preparedness. Disasters can damage fisheries, ports, mangroves, and infrastructure, affecting marine ecosystems and livelihoods. Small island developing countries are at alarmingly high risk. Through IORA, member states have conducted joint HADR exercises, capacity-building workshops, and space-based disaster monitoring, and have collaborated on resilient infrastructure frameworks, such as the Coalition for Disaster Resilient Infrastructure, and on early warning systems with IOC-UNESCO’s Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning and Mitigation System. By sharing information, technology, and best practices, and by building collective resilience, member states demonstrate how coordinated action and collective stewardship safeguard lives, livelihoods, and marine ecosystems across the Indian Ocean region.

Sustainable fisheries are a critical component of the Indian Ocean governance framework, as the region’s marine resources support millions of livelihoods, ensure food security, and contribute to regional economies. The shared nature of fisheries, migratory fish stocks, and transboundary impacts means that no single country can ensure sustainability alone. This makes collective stewardship essential; coordinated policies, information sharing, and joint monitoring are required to maintain healthy marine ecosystems and ensure equitable use of resources.

The challenges in the fisheries sector range from IUU fishing and climate change impacts to gaps in monitoring and enforcement, as well as a lack of legal frameworks and biosecurity measures. IORA has taken a number of steps to promote sustainable fisheries and combat IUU fishing through coordinated legal frameworks, capacity-building, technology, and partnerships. Examples of these efforts include the adoption of the IORA guidelines on combating IUU fishing, support for port state measures, and training and workshops on fisheries surveillance, aquaculture, biosecurity, and innovative management approaches. Collaboration with partners such as the Food and Agriculture Organisation, regional exchanges, and pilot programmes for young environmental leaders also strengthens regional cooperation and shared responsibility for sustainable fisheries across the Indian Ocean region.

The Indian Ocean is a biodiversity hotspot, home to coral reefs, mangroves, and seagrass beds that support marine life, protect coastlines, and aid carbon sequestration. These ecosystems underpin fisheries, livelihoods, and coastal resilience, and must be safeguarded for present and future generations. The seabed holds potential mineral wealth, including manganese nodules and cobalt-rich crusts. Sustainable use of these resources is central to the blue economy and ocean governance. Only sustainable use, careful management, and environmental protection can ensure that economic growth does not compromise ecological health. But the blue economy is not simply an environmental agenda; it is a development imperative that underpins livelihoods, food security, and long-term economic resilience. Promoting a cooperative, rules-based maritime environment consistent with international frameworks such as UNCLOS remains a shared interest among all IORA member states. IORA’s cooperation with the International Seabed Authority further reinforces a rules-based approach to ocean governance, promoting the responsible and equitable management of seabed resources through collective stewardship.

Climate change is a defining challenge, and the Indian Ocean is increasingly vulnerable to its impacts. Rising sea temperatures are causing coral bleaching, disrupting marine ecosystems, and contributing to sea-level rise, which poses a serious risk to low-lying island nations and coastal communities, including displacement, damage to infrastructure, and increased vulnerability to storms and flooding. Ocean acidification is harming marine life, particularly shellfish and corals, while pollution from industrial waste, agricultural runoff, and plastic debris further threatens the ocean’s health. IORA has responded to these interconnected threats through the climate change strategic agenda, integrating resilience and adaptation across all its priority areas.

Collaboration with the United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction on comprehensive risk management, including the integration of climate change adaptation into disaster risk management, is underway. Collective stewardship and regional cooperation are essential to safeguard marine ecosystems, coastal communities, and the long-term economic and social well-being of Indian Ocean nations. Without urgent action, ocean warming, acidification, and rising sea levels will have potentially devastating consequences for nature and our peoples. Renewable energy is another critical component of a resilient Indian Ocean region. Through cooperation with the International Renewable Energy Agency and the International Solar Alliance, IORA supports member states in advancing clean energy, strengthening capacity, and enhancing energy security, while contributing to climate mitigation efforts.

Strengthening human and institutional capacity is essential to effective ocean governance. Stewardship must translate into practical cooperation, with knowledge, data, and experience shared inclusively. Partnerships with regional and international organisations are critical to scaling impact. IORA has responded by fostering strategic partnerships with regional and international organisations to enhance capacity building, technical cooperation, and knowledge exchange. Through joint programmes, training initiatives, and collaborative platforms, IORA enables member states to leverage shared expertise and resources, ensuring more effective and coordinated responses to regional challenges.

The governance of the Indian Ocean cannot be achieved by any single country. It requires a shared commitment, cooperation, and collective responsibility. International cooperation is crucial to addressing the complex challenges facing the Indian Ocean. The Indian Ocean can demonstrate that economic growth and ocean sustainability can go hand in hand if we act together and decisively. IORA remains committed to advancing a comprehensive and inclusive approach to ocean governance and to collective stewardship for peace, prosperity, and sustainability.

Author Brief Bio: Mr. Sanjiv Ranjan is the Secretary-General of the Indian Ocean Rim Association (IORA)

 

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