BRICS at a Crossroads

BRICS is at a crucial juncture. There is flux in geopolitics, an imbalance in geoeconomics, challenges to the rule-based multilateral system, and the rise of plurilateralism. While major powers sharpen the contest for global hegemony, emerging economies seek autonomy and space for their economic and diplomatic decisions. As a grouping of emerging powers, BRICS has gained in attractiveness within the community of EMDCs but has also drawn negative attention from certain Western powers. India’s leadership of the movement will seek to advance the core objectives of BRICS for coherence and address misperceptions. India will outline a positive agenda for BRICS that promotes growth and development, advances reforms in global governance, and responds effectively to the opportunities and challenges of our times.

Introduction

India assumed the BRICS chair in 2026 amid challenging circumstances. On the one hand, there are high expectations of a constructive BRICS approach to development, which provides space for the aspirations of emerging powers and its growing popularity among developing countries. At the same time, there are challenges of expansion, integrating new members into the BRICS vision and ethos, and the need to address an emerging negative narrative that BRICS is anti-West. India has the capacity to steer BRICS through the storm and guide the movement towards its goals.

As a 21st-century grouping of emerging economies across continents, BRICS has demonstrated Gen Z-like dynamism, ambition and success. In less than two decades, the BRICS nations have surpassed the GDP of the G7, added new members and partners, and outlined an agenda for development and global governance. BRICS has promoted government-to-government cooperation and also fostered civil society interaction and people-to-people exchanges across diverse areas of engagement.

The importance of BRICS in the globalised world stems from its size and geographic spread, control of and access to global resources, presence in global manufacturing and logistics networks, and progress in technology and innovation. BRICS countries represent almost half the global population, a third of global GDP, over half of global manufacturing, a quarter of merchandise trade, a dominant presence in energy resources, and an overwhelming share of critical materials. It is estimated that over half of global GDP growth comes from BRICS countries. Today, BRICS needs the world, and the world needs BRICS.

A Star is Born

In a 2001 report, Jim O’Neill, Chief Economist at Goldman Sachs, noted that emerging markets and developing countries (EMDCs) such as Brazil, Russia, India, and China (BRIC) were poised for rapid growth. He proposed including BRIC representatives in policy-making forums, particularly the G7. Although the G7 retained its exclusive status, it initiated the G7 Outreach with select EMDC partners. The existing G20 financial track, which included EMDC members, gained greater salience and was upgraded to Summit level in 2008, with a broader agenda that included development and geopolitical issues. The G20 served as a bridge between developed and emerging economies in an era marked by the weakening of multilateralism and the rise of plurilaterals.

Meanwhile, the leaders of Russia, India and China met in 2006 on the margins of the G8 summit in St Petersburg, and the BRIC movement was formally launched by the Foreign Ministers the same year on the margins of UNGA in New York. The first summit was hosted by Russia in 2009, and South Africa was admitted the following year and attended the BRICS summit in 2011. The BRICS group benefited from earlier collaboration in the RIC (Russia-India-China, established in 1998) and the IBSA dialogue (India-Brazil-South Africa, established in 2003). BRICS members shared a good understanding, common objectives and experience of cooperative mechanisms. BRICS built an architecture for development cooperation, seeking to supplement ongoing development efforts but not to replace the umbilical link with the developed world. It also made clear that BRICS was not aimed against any country or group. Since its early days, BRICS has relied on consensus for both agenda-setting and decision-making, a practice that has grown stronger over time. As countries with close bilateral relations, they kept bilateral issues off the BRICS agenda.

Growth of the BRICS vision and ethos

Since its inception, the BRICS focus has been to promote the shared desire for growth and development. As major emerging powers, they have also supported other developing countries in their regions, discussed urgent global issues such as climate change, debt, health, terrorism, etc., and evolved strategies to advance a multipolar world through practical measures. The first BRICS Summit, held in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, reached consensus on seeking reforms in global governance, particularly in financial institutions. The addition of South Africa sharpened resolve to address issues of development cooperation, debt, connectivity and representation in global governance. The addition of new members brings new challenges and opportunities. The BRICS growth trajectory has seen steady expansion in the scope of cooperation, the depth of engagement and influence in regional and global affairs.

In defining its agenda and vision, BRICS attached primacy to economic cooperation. Thus, financing development projects, macroeconomic stability, and a collective push for reforms in global governance, particularly at the World Bank and IMF, assumed priority. Meanwhile, discussions also commenced on the feasibility of setting up its own financial structures. The decision to establish a development bank was taken in 2013, and the New Development Bank was set up in 2014, with headquarters in Shanghai. All BRICS founding members contributed equally to NDB’s capital. The success of NDB projects undertaken outside BRICS countries became the stimulus to add new members to NDB in 2021, based on objective criteria and adherence to BRICS norms. Also in 2014, BRICS set up the Contingent Reserve Arrangement of $100 billion to provide liquidity to members facing balance-of-payment difficulties. In 2014, BRICS also agreed to promote trade in local currencies to expand intra-BRICS trade and investment while lowering transaction costs and increasing the efficiency of financial flows.

BRICS has developed an elaborate architecture of meetings at various levels across sectors to facilitate frequent engagement for practical cooperation. In addition to the annual Summit, BRICS hosts over 20 engagements at the ministerial level and numerous working groups at the functional level. Parliamentary dialogue, mayoral exchanges, meetings of business chambers and women’s business chambers, visits by women’s and youth delegations, policy dialogue for central bankers, think-tank and university networks, sports and cultural activities, and civil society and NGO involvement have enriched collaboration.

The BRICS vision expanded beyond economic engagement to include political and security consultations and people-to-people exchanges, widening representation and participation across communities. The consensus-driven approach to agenda-setting and decision-making made all BRICS members equal partners in a shared vision of development and reforms in global governance.

State of Play and Challenges

Driven by major emerging powers, the growth and contribution of BRICS to its members and to the global community have been spectacular. Economic cooperation through strategic action plans has been the principal reason for progress on development issues. Progress on political and security issues has been limited, but BRICS has accommodated differing perspectives and national interests on climate change, terrorism and regional issues. Exchanges between civil society and NGOs have flourished, bringing citizens together.

Expansion and Integration of New Members

Responding to EMDC enthusiasm to join BRICS, the Johannesburg Summit of 2023 adopted criteria for admitting new members, based on regional representation, economic size, growth potential and adherence to the BRICS ethos. Since then, 6 countries (Egypt, Ethiopia, Indonesia, Iran, Saudi Arabia and the UAE) have joined as new members. At the Kazan Summit in 2024, guidelines were formulated for entry to a second-tier of partner countries, and 10 countries (Belarus, Bolivia, Cuba, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Nigeria, Thailand, Uganda, Uzbekistan and Vietnam) were invited. The door has been kept open for dynamic economies from the Global South with good relations with BRICS members and the West. It must be recognised that expansion has not been smooth, as certain countries declined invitations, others were excluded and power politics came into play.

Unlike the founding members, which are major emerging economies in their regions, BRICS expansion added smaller economies that are important regional players. BRICS now includes 7 members of the G20, leading ASEAN powers, SCO members and partners from Africa and the Americas. It represents the largest oil-producing nations, has a dominant presence in global manufacturing, trade, critical materials and food production, and has a growing footprint in technology and finance. Post-expansion, its global share of GDP has increased by 3%, the share of exports has risen by 5%, internal trade has grown by 5%, the per capita GDP growth rate has risen, the share of gross fixed capital formation in GDP is at similar levels, and the current account balance remains in surplus. BRICS has more economic heft and is more dynamic, but it is also a more diverse group today.

BRICS founding members continue to play a leading role as regional powers gain recognition. Looking ahead, the diversity among new members, in their economic weight, regional influence, strategic orientation and ideological leanings, can help maintain balance. At the same time, the BRICS will require greater effort from all members to forge consensus, particularly on geopolitical issues.

Review of Agenda and Stocktaking

As a chair-led group, members often share their best practices with partners and, in the process, establish new mechanisms of cooperation. Over time, BRICS engagement has expanded from trade and investment, agriculture and industry, technology and innovation, new industry and the digital economy, to global issues such as climate change, debt, the blue economy and space, as well as regional issues, conflict situations, counter-terrorism, cyber security, humanitarian assistance and disaster relief, and others.

A recent stocktaking exercise identified more than 150 mechanisms of cooperation between the parties. The review found that some projects had grown while others had been dormant. This review of BRICS projects also provided a database to share with new members to support wider outreach. Pragmatic steps are needed to maintain focus on the BRICS vision of efficiency and sustainability in jointly undertaken projects.

Development Focus and Financial Instruments

The BRICS agenda since its inception has focused on economic development through intra-BRICS cooperation, leveraging globalisation and supporting MDBs. BRICS projects have delivered economic growth and tangible benefits.

BRICS infrastructure projects have benefited from NDB financing as well as funding from MDBs and other institutions. NDB has extended over $39 billion across 120 projects in BRICS and non-BRICS countries. NDB focuses on development projects, clean energy, water and sanitation, transport, technology flows, sustainability and future-oriented sectors. NDB has modest capital and funding capacity, but is popular for its flexible loans denominated in local currency, the absence of IMF-style conditionalities and access for non-BRICS members. With several new members with significant economic strength, NDB can grow in stature and capacity. NDB can leverage funding options for the private sector through the establishment of an NDB structure based in GIFT City, popularise the use of Central Bank Digital Currency and develop new electronic settlement platforms.

Despite a slow start in 2014, the BRICS call for trade in local currency and new financial settlement mechanisms has gained momentum in recent years. Russia estimates that 90% of its intra-BRICS trade is in local currency. China and India have also made advances, including in energy trade. Certain countries have used it as a response to sanctions imposed on them; for others, it has provided flexibility in trade, opportunities in restricted markets and efficiency in financial transactions. Admittedly, trade, financing and reserves in local currencies will increase over time, but suggestions for a BRICS currency or digital index are premature.

BRICS can highlight policy coordination for trade and development and the reform of multilateralism. However, reform of the WTO and the integration of BRICS with regional arrangements have been difficult. Efforts to establish a BRICS group within the WTO for trade facilitation and to resolve intra-BRICS disputes that are stuck at the WTO and COP financing mechanisms can advance the trade agenda. The use of AI tools can help BRICS countries modernise and integrate trade policy.

Alternative settlement mechanisms based on digital means for cheaper and faster transactions have popularised BRICS local currencies and helped them go international. These include SPFS in Russia, CIPS in China, UPI in India, and PIX in Brazil, all of which have central bank backing and facilitate instant cross-border payments. The recently announced BRICS Pay has potential as an interoperable and decentralised system to link national networks. It can spur reform in global governance towards a multipolar financial system.

Meanwhile, BRICS countries have also seen a spurt in swap arrangements, growth in CBDCs, adjustments to reserve currency holdings, and advances in development assistance in local currency. BRICS initiatives currently under discussion that could affect trade and development include modalities for e-commerce and digital trade, a common logistics platform to integrate intra-BRICS supply chains, and collaboration on investment-technology-innovation.

Global Governance and Global South

Although BRICS has consistently sought reforms in global governance to address the challenges and aspirations of developing countries, consensus within BRICS on promoting an agenda at the UN has fallen short. Reform of global governance will be meaningful only in the multilateral context; the UN, the UN Security Council, the World Bank, the IMF, and other multilateral institutions must have appropriate representation from emerging economies. In the meantime, consensus in plurilateral institutions or groupings can address certain challenges and build leverage in multilateral fora. Within BRICS, consensus on development issues will be easier to obtain, even though differences may remain on geopolitical and strategic developments.

Countering Narratives

BRICS has to contend with two negative narratives suggesting it is anti-West and promotes de-dollarisation. The persistence of the 2008-2009 economic slowdown in the West, the outbreak of conflict between Russia and Ukraine, growing tensions over China’s provocative actions in its periphery and its policies of economic coercion have accentuated the divide between the West and Russia-China, though not directly with BRICS. When bilateral contestation engendered narratives on each side, Western powers suggested that BRICS was led by Russia and China and was anti-West, while Russia and China took adversarial positions vis-à-vis the West. Although the BRICS grouping was not directed against others, the narrative against BRICS gathered momentum. BRICS faces the challenge of addressing this misplaced narrative through strategic communication. BRICS would also benefit from building bridges with G7 members, playing an active role in the G20 and working more closely with MDBs.

Another narrative, which has reached toxic levels, claims that BRICS aims to de-dollarise to weaken the West. From the USA’s perspective, this stems from BRICS efforts to increase trade in local currencies, develop cross-border settlement mechanisms, promote the use of CBDCs, and change the composition of its reserves, all of which reduce the share of the US dollar in global transactions. From the BRICS perspective, these changes are necessary to promote intra-BRICS trade and improve the efficiency of transactions, and are not directed against the role of the US dollar. Given the sensitivity of the subject, it needs closer dialogue between BRICS and G7 (especially the USA) and MDBs.

Relevance of BRICS

A major driver of global growth, the BRICS overtook the G7 in 2022 in terms of GDP. By 2026, it is expected to have higher trade flows than the G7. Expansion of membership and partnerships has extended its outreach and representation. The NDB added six new members (Algeria, Bangladesh, Colombia, Egypt, Uruguay and the UAE) and is considering the inclusion of the new BRICS members. Adding teeth to this expansion, BRICS has increased assistance to the Global South, facilitating development and promoting efficiency in cross-border transactions. On geopolitical developments, BRICS provides a platform for discussion and engagement; its consensus-based approach favours localised options rather than externally imposed solutions.

BRICS has emerged as a significant grouping of developing countries and emerging powers. It provides a platform for the expression of aspirations and enables new forms of cooperative partnerships for mutual benefit. Its agility contributes to innovative ideas, and its success has led to expansion in membership. Although one country in BRICS accounts for a significant share of BRICS GDP, no member dominates, in line with the BRICS ethos and consensus-based approach. The grouping’s vitality is widely distributed, and expansion has further diversified the base for cooperation and opened new possibilities.

India’s leadership of BRICS in 2026

India’s role is as an emerging power of consequence, with influence in regional and global affairs; as the fourth-largest economy and the fastest-growing major economy; and as a partner seeking reform in global governance. India’s stewardship of BRICS in the current phase of challenging circumstances will be important. India will steer BRICS towards its geoeconomic and geopolitical objectives and add momentum to the building of consensus and innovation to meet new challenges and opportunities.

India has helped shape the BRICS vision and ethos, with politics and security, economic development, and cultural exchanges as the fundamental pillars of BRICS cooperation. The Indian way has also entrenched the role of consensus in agenda-setting and decision-making, while a focus on concrete projects has contributed to functional cooperation across sectors.

Under India’s leadership in 2012, 2016 and 2021, BRICS made significant progress in promoting cooperation in key sectors such as agriculture and industry, trade and investment, technology and innovation, green energy and climate change, HADR response, and people-to-people exchanges. Further, India facilitated the development of the institutional framework for cooperation through the piloting of the Economic Partnership Strategy, the integration of MSMEs into supply chains, data sharing to promote trade and investment, the establishment of institutions such as the Vaccine R&D Centre, responses to health challenges such as HIV and COVID-19, the development of think tank and university networks, business partnerships, and youth and women’s exchanges. Particularly noteworthy was India’s promotion of open-source digital public goods, the use of UPI, digital health and fintech for digital inclusivity and efficiency. The dialogue on cyber security and digital governance was strengthened. India also pushed for reform of global governance, particularly in the UN and IMF, to give greater representation and voice to developing countries and EMDCs.

India unveiled the priorities for its BRICS leadership following consultations at the recent Sherpa meeting. India advanced the idea of “humanity first” and “people centric” approach on the theme of “Building for resilience, innovation, cooperation and sustainability”. Taking note off the practical steps that have advanced BRICS cooperation in thematic areas, Indian supported continuity of approach, while advancing action plans and practical milestones to advance the BRICS ethos and vision. New initiatives in health, agriculture, labour and employment, climate change, energy, innovation, ICT, security and terrorism, economic and financial domains, etc. are expected to strengthen the BRICS movement.  India led fruitful discussions on institutional development to integrate new members while providing opportunities for engagement of partners. India emphasised the importance of youth and women connect and cultural engagement and supported the activities of established BRICS institutions such as Academic Forum, Think Tank Council, Civil Forum, Business Council and Women Business Alliance. The Indian approach is based on the spirit of cooperation to address shared challenges in a balanced and inclusive manner. It underscores the importance of strengthening capacities, promoting innovation, and ensuring sustainable development for the benefit of all. India’s BRICS chairship will drive Ministerial and working level engagement towards substantive outcomes, make new advances in BRICS cooperation, discuss geopolitical and geoeconomic issues of importance, bridge differences and involve the citizens.

India will formally unveil the details of its BRICS priorities following consultations with partners. An initial indication suggests a “humanity first” and “people-centred” approach. The theme will focus on “Building for resilience, innovation, cooperation and sustainability”. The approach is grounded in the spirit of cooperation to address shared challenges in a balanced and inclusive manner. It underscores the importance of strengthening capacities, promoting innovation, and ensuring sustainable development for the benefit of all.

India has emphasised that resilience will involve building structural and institutional strength capable of weathering global shocks, with particular reference to resilience in agriculture, health, disaster risk reduction, energy and supply chains, through cooperative frameworks for collective preparedness and response. Innovation, as a central driver of economic development, will focus on new and emerging technologies to address social and economic challenges and enhance cooperation among start-ups and MSMEs to build a more equitable world. At the same time, the importance of sustainability will advance climate action, promote clean energy and support sustainable development pathways that are fair and sensitive to national circumstances.

Given the recent expansion of BRICS membership, the grouping will need to consolidate while promoting its integration through the BRICS way of consensus and a practical approach to problem-solving. Sharing the fruits of its successes since inception will give new members a perspective on BRICS’s focus and how they can contribute to the movement. In general, decisions on the economic agenda have been easier to achieve than on political and security issues. BRICS will continue an action-oriented approach while ensuring that bilateral differences do not come in the way of group objectives.

BRICS will pursue an agenda for economic growth and inclusive development. The use of technology and innovation as vectors for development has been successful in India through the application of digital physical infrastructure and the India Stack. Sharing these with BRICS members and partners can reduce digital asymmetry and promote inclusivity. Another major agenda would be the promotion of sustainability through cooperation in green energy, the circular economy, environmentally friendly lifestyles, and the use of traditional knowledge and technologies. Our capabilities in addressing HADR situations, CDRI, and pandemics and tropical diseases are widely recognised and can be shared in a world of increased incidence of natural disasters and calamities. Finally, we shall harness the strength and energy of citizens to build a people’s BRICS, which can be a milestone in the progress of the movement.

India’s stature as a civilisational power and an emerging power that balances interests and values for inclusivity will enable us to advance commonalities while bridging differences, thereby forging consensus. Building a better understanding of how to handle contentious issues and conflict situations, and promoting plurality and diversity, will not only enable BRICS members to balance geopolitics and geoeconomics but also help address such situations in their own regions.

In terms of working methods, there have been suggestions that BRICS, having grown quite large, should review its agenda to focus on core development and governance issues and to promote members’ capacity to address regional issues. There has also been discussion about the feasibility of establishing a Secretariat, for which India would be an ideal candidate. For the present, it may be appropriate to consider a Troika format, with the previous and incoming chairs joining a group for agenda-setting and outreach. BRICS will benefit from integrating members into the BRICS ethos, a focus on core development and governance objectives, and mechanisms for interaction with developed countries and institutions.

Recommendations
  • Working methods. Rationalise the agenda, streamline mechanisms, and conduct stocktaking for efficiency and impact.
  • New members. Consolidate modalities for admitting new members and partners and integrating BRICS vision and ethos.
  • Technology focus. Establish an AI Centre, an Innovation Bridge Strategy, a BRICS Skill Development Centre, a DPI platform for BRICS members and the Global South, and a Cybersecurity Action Plan.
  • Financial issues. Strengthen trade in local currencies, develop central bank-regulated payment gateways, promote CBDCs and blockchain-based transactions, and establish an NDB structure in GIFT City for the private sector.
  • Institutional issues. Establish partnership relations with the G7 and the World Bank, and develop BRICS Outreach
Conclusion

There is no doubt that at a time when multilateralism is in crisis, the old rule-based system is in disarray, and there is growing suspicion of the hegemonic tendencies of major powers. Many look to India’s leadership of BRICS to restore balance and credibility. At this crucial juncture, India can play its role in strengthening the BRICS movement’s contribution to EMDCs and in bridging differences between developed and emerging economies for the common good.

Author Brief Bio: Sanjay Bhattacharyya, a former Indian diplomat, was BRICS Sherpa during India’s chairship in 2021. He is currently Professor of Diplomatic Practice at Jindal Global University.

 

India’s BRICS Presidency: Reimagining Global Governance

Following India’s successful G20 presidency from December 2022 to November 2023, India’s BRICS presidency for 2026 heralds new opportunities, coming at a time of great global flux. India has declared its focus for BRICS as “Building for Resilience, Innovation, Cooperation, and Sustainability”—a clever juxtaposition of the BRICS acronym, theming its presidency on “Humanity First” and Global South Leadership. During its presidency, India intends to focus on the twin pillars of global governance: political and security, and economic and financial. While a year is too short to make fundamental shifts in the world order, the present global upheaval, in which the institutions of global governance are coming under increasing strain, is a good time to shape policies that will have a long-term impact on the emerging world order.

The West has dominated global institutions since the end of World War II, primarily because the Western bloc created the systems of global governance, both political and economic, and the rest of the world followed. However, as economic gravitas shifts from the Atlantic to the Indo-Pacific and the Global South rises, the earlier monetary structures in which the Dollar held sway and the West controlled the narrative are no longer seen as universally applicable or acceptable. While change is inevitable, it is logical to expect that the West, which has benefited from the old order, will resist it. That is a challenge that New Delhi will have to address.

While New Delhi does not view the BRICS as an anti-Western bloc or a substitute for the existing global order, it recognises the need to rebalance global governance structures to reflect contemporary realities. To some in the West, however, the BRICS is seen as an anti-Western bloc. India will have to be mindful of this dichotomy and allay Western fears in this regard, while at the same time pushing the BRICS towards issue-based cooperation. While making efforts to avoid an antagonistic relationship with Western powers, it will also have to work to secure a more equitable role for the Global South in governance and financial structures.

India will likely focus on exerting its influence to reform global institutions such as the United Nations, the World Bank, and the International Monetary Fund, while avoiding the creation of blocs like NATO, which could lead to another Cold War. Towards that end, de-dollarisation is unlikely to be on the agenda. Instead, the focus will be on strengthening the New Development Bank (NDB), expanding local-currency trade mechanisms, and improving access to climate and infrastructure finance. This does not mean decoupling from the dollar system, but rather ensuring that unilateral freezing of funds through systems such as SWIFT cannot be used to curtail the sovereign decisions of countries in the Global South. In addition, there will likely be a push to shape global norms through digital public infrastructure.

On governance issues, the United Nations no longer holds sway as a body capable of ensuring the peaceful settlement of disputes or whose decisions will be universally accepted. While it is too early to sound the death knell for the world body, there is a strong case for internal reforms that are more inclusive and reflect current geostrategic and geo-economic realities. Why India, with the world’s largest population and currently the fourth-largest economy by GDP, is not a member of the Security Council is an issue that needs to be addressed. Paradoxically, some NATO members strongly favour expanding the Security Council to include India as a permanent member. That push, however, is opposed by China, a member of BRICS!

India’s BRICS presidency will be a challenge and will also present multiple opportunities. The determinant of success will, in all probability, depend on how far India advances the BRICS agenda towards cooperation rather than confrontation.

Author Brief Bio: Maj. Gen. Dhruv C. Katoch is Editor, India Foundation Journal and Director, India Foundation.

 

11th Katha Session “Pirate Gods of the Caribbean”

The 11th Katha Session was held at the India Foundation office on 26 February 2026 on the theme “Pirate Gods of the Caribbean.” The session was chaired by Mr. Côme Carpentier, Distinguished Fellow, India Foundation and witnessed the participation of 32 attendees.

The session was delivered by Ms. Ewa Sapieżyńska, a Polish–Norwegian writer, journalist, and scholar of Latin American studies. She holds a PhD in Social Sciences from Universidad de Chile and has written extensively on Latin America for publications in Norway and Poland.

In her presentation, Ms. Sapieżyńska focused on the religious and cultural traditions of Cuba and Venezuela. She explained how African deities became associated with Catholic saints through the process of religious syncretism, leading to the development of traditions such as Santería. She also discussed how the pantheon of saints has continued to evolve over time, incorporating political and historical figures alongside traditional religious icons.

The session provided participants with insights into the historical and cultural connections between Africa, Latin America, and Christianity in the Caribbean region. The presentation was followed by an interactive discussion, during which attendees engaged with the speaker on various aspects of religion, culture, and identity in Cuba and Venezuela.

 

IF-IHC Panel Discussion on New Regimes in Bangladesh and Myanmar: India’s Eastern Front at the Crossroads

India Foundation, in collaboration with India Habitat Centre, organised a panel discussion on “New Regimes in Bangladesh and Myanmar: India’s Eastern Front at the Crossroads?” at Gulmohar Hall, India Habitat Centre, New Delhi, on 18 February 2026. The session was moderated by Rami Niranjan Desai, Distinguished Fellow, India Foundation and featured Shri Rajinder Khanna, Former Additional National Security Advisor of India; Professor Sreeradha Datta, Professor, Jindal School of International Affairs, O.P. Jindal Global University; Shree Gautam Mukhopadhyaya, former Ambassador of India to Syria, Afghanistan & Myanmar.

The discussion started by examining Myanmar’s internal political situation, noting that recent elections held under military control lacked legitimacy due to the exclusion of opposition parties and the coercive environment in which the elections took place. It was also mentioned that these elections were unlikely to change the reality on the ground significantly, and the resistance against the military regime remains widespread and deeply rooted in society, including by the pro-democracy groups and ethnic armed organisations that continue to challenge the regime, even with limited coordination and resources, thereby reflecting a greater demand for democratic governance and federal restructuring.

A major concern raised during the conversation was the role of external actors, especially China. It was pointed out that China has intervened strategically to protect its economic and geopolitical interests, influencing developments on the ground and complicating the conflict dynamics.  It was suggested that India should rethink its approach, engage more actively with a broader range of stakeholders in Myanmar instead of just focusing on the regime.

The discussion then turned to Bangladesh’s recent elections. It was argued that although the electoral process was relatively orderly and used modern technology, it was not inclusive due to the absence of major opposition parties; there were concerns about the legitimacy and long-term stability of the political system due to the exclusion of key opposition groups, but the voter turnout, especially among young people, was significant, showing ongoing political engagement. It was also noted that social media is becoming an influential factor in shaping political narratives, often leading to misinformation and polarisation. Despite this, Bangladesh continues to focus on economic growth and regional cooperation, expanding its diplomatic ties beyond traditional partners.

The panel also explored the implications of these events for India, emphasising that political changes in neighbouring countries can offer chances for extremist groups or foreign powers to increase their influence, making it crucial to maintain strong intelligence cooperation, effective border management, and ongoing diplomatic engagement. Although Bangladesh is trying to balance its relations with various global actors, India remains an important partner in trade, connectivity, and security.

At the end of the discussion, the panelists concluded that the ongoing political changes in Bangladesh and Myanmar present both challenges and opportunities for India. As these countries go through complex transitions, a balanced and forward-looking strategy based on cooperation, engagement, and strategic awareness will be key to ensuring regional stability and strengthening India’s eastern frontier.

 

RSS@100: Centenary Reflections by Dr David Frawley

On 16 February 2026, India Foundation, organised a special lecture titled ‘RSS@100: Centenary Reflections’. The lecture was delivered by Padma Bhushan Dr David Frawley (Pandit Vamadeva Shastri), Vedacharya and Author of over fourty books on Yoga, Ayurveda and Vedanta. In the lecture, Dr Frawley reflected on his personal intellectual and spiritual journey and described as to how he developed a deep connection with India and Hindu philosophical traditions. He explained that his interest was shaped largely through yogic and spiritual influences, particularly the teachings of Ramana Maharshi, Sri Aurobindo and Ganpati Muni, along with his engagement with Vedic studies, Sanskrit learning, and translation work. He emphasised that his approach was rooted more in experiential and civilizational understanding rather than purely academic frameworks. He further described his association with Ayurvedic practitioners, particularly B. L. Vasta, whose guidance inspired his interest in Ayurvedic medicine, traditional healing, and lifestyle practices. Through this intellectual and cultural circle, he became acquainted with the philosophical ideas of Vinayak Damodar Savarkar and Madhav Sadashiv Golwalkar, which he noted had a profound influence on his reflections regarding cultural identity and civilizational thought.

Dr David Frawley described the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS) as a service-oriented organisation working not only at the social level, but also at a deeper civilizational and philosophical level. He emphasised that, in his view, the organisation’s work extends beyond outward service activities to fostering inner development, cultural awareness, and a deeper understanding of life and humanity. Reflecting on his interactions, including his association with Shri K. S. Sudarshan, the fifth Sarsanghchalak of the RSS. He further noted that his engagement with members of the RSS broadened his perception of Hindu dharma as emphasising universal respect, human unity, and a holistic idea of service that integrates both social welfare and inner spiritual growth. He described the RSS as a living societal framework rooted in a Bharatiya civilizational model, emphasising cultural continuity, collective responsibility, and a vision of humanity grounded in indigenous philosophical values.

He observed that, in his view, Western civilisation as a clearly defined cultural formation gained prominence largely after the Renaissance, which he contrasted with India’s far older civilizational continuity. Referring to the intellectual quest of Jawaharlal Nehru to understand India, Dr David Frawley suggested that institutions such as RSS may also be viewed as spaces engaging with questions of cultural identity, heritage, and civilizational values. He also highlighted the contributions of Indian thinkers like Sita Ram Goel and Ram Swarup, noting their role in bringing forward perspectives that, according to him, were often less discussed in mainstream discourse. In this context, he referred to the idea of an “intellectual Kshatriya,” suggesting that Indian scholars should critically interpret, articulate, and engage with their own civilizational history and thought rather than relying primarily on external interpretive frameworks.

He further remarked that intellectuality, in his view, often becomes the accumulation of information rather than a true awakening of consciousness. Dr Frawley stressed that while intellectual knowledge deals largely with names, forms, and material understanding, genuine self-knowledge relates to inner awareness and consciousness. During the session, he also referred to his recent book ‘AI and Cosmic Intelligence’, where he explored the relationship between artificial intelligence, human consciousness, and deeper spiritual intelligence, emphasising that self-realisation and inner awareness remain crucial even in an age dominated by technological and material knowledge.

 

High-Level Policy Dialogue: Electrifying Sectors, Greening Electricity

On January 29, 2026, India Foundation, in collaboration with Dalberg Advisors, hosted a “High-Level Policy Dialogue on Electrifying Sectors, Greening Electricity,” at the Leela Palace, New Delhi. Attended by over 30 representatives of industry, think tanks, and philanthropic foundations, the Policy Dialogue, underscored the need and pathways to the electrification of crucial sectors of the economy, and the combination of the goals of electrification with decarbonisation and India’s net-zero target. It featured the participation of Shri Pralhad Joshi, the Honourable Minister of New & Renewable Energy; and Consumer Affairs, Food & Public Distribution, Government of India, as the Chief Guest. Shri Ghanshyam Prasad, Chairperson, Central Electricity Authority, Government of India, joined the convening as the Guest of Honour.

The discussions commenced with outlining the goals envisaged by the Draft National Electricity Policy, 2026, viz. industrial competitiveness, affordability, and sustainability, while achieving expanded transmission networks, reliability, and increasing the reliance on renewable energy to 500 GW. The discussions underscored the distinction between states relying on hydrocarbons to fulfill their energy requirements, and states that have transitioned to electricity. While India retained the characteristics of a petro-state, it was suggested that the direction of policy to make it an electro-state is unmistakable, as revealed by its ambitious electrification agenda, encompassing terrestrial logistics, electric mobility, and the solarisation of agriculture production and processing.

Despite clear direction in policy towards electrification and decarbonisation, challenges abound. The policy thrust towards renewables has not translated into quicker decarbonisation and capacity generation of renewables, in stark contrast to the Chinese experience. Not only has the consumption of hydrocarbons increased; but shifting to renewable energy sources has not been accompanied by efficiencies and affordability. The micro-,small-, and medium-scale enterprises continue to rely on traditional sources of energy, and renewables have not tapped India’s rural economy. Although the exposure to climate assets has ballooned, transitions have increased the debt of the utility. Long approval windows and poor inter-state coordination have hampered electricity transmission and modernisation projects. The gap between the transmission and generation of electricity owes to the paucity of demand.

However, the discussants noted with optimism that India has been continuously outperforming on its energy transition targets. Optimising its vast solar potential, over 132 GW of installed capacity is being followed by 80 GW, which is currently in the pipeline. By 2030, India foresees an investment of USD 350 billion in the electrification of its sectors and energy transition. 5,00,000 sq/km oft transmission lines have already been set up, though the state transmission and reliability of discoms need to be improved. India has taken significant steps towards grid stabilisation and integration, allowing load-sharing. Investments worth INR 90,000 crores in green corridors will help achieve the concerns of a sustainable transition. The proliferation of data centres and electric mobility will push the demand for power near an 8-9% CAGR, which will inevitably impel robust and dynamic plans for achieving adequacy.

The event ended on a note of cautious optimism, emphasising that, at the current stage of development, stability of grids and achieving a balance between electrical and hydrocarbon-led energy is paramount. Dynamism in approach and implementation needs to be coupled with a more comprehensive participation of states in grid stabilisation and its sustainable transition. Building access, affordability, and adaptability, alongside boosting capabilities in grid storage and hydro-power potential will ensure a just, timely, and economically and environmentally sustainable transition.

 

10th Katha Session “Ghosts of Thailand”

10th Katha Session of India Foundation was held on 29 January 2026 on the theme “Ghosts of Thailand.”

The session was chaired by Mr. Côme Carpentier, Distinguished Fellow, India Foundation. The speaker for the session was Mr. Putt Punyagupta, a Thai Nehru-Fulbright Scholar currently spending a year in India.

During the session, Mr. Punyagupta introduced participants to Thailand’s rich traditions of folklore, ghost stories, and supernatural beliefs. He discussed the cultural significance of ghosts in Thai society and explained how these narratives continue to influence local customs, religious practices, and popular culture. The presentation also explored the relationship between traditional beliefs and Buddhism in shaping Thai cultural life.

Mr. Punyagupta also shared insights from his academic and cultural experiences, bringing a unique perspective to the discussion.

 

Virtual Roundtable Discussion on “Sovereign AI and the US-India Strategic Partnership”

On January 29, 2026, India Foundation and the Hudson Institute co-hosted a closed-door virtual roundtable discussion on “Sovereign AI and the US-India Strategic Partnership.”

The distinguished speakers were Shri Jayant Sinha, Former Minister of State for Civil Aviation and Finance, Government of India; Mr. Pablo Chavez, Adjunct Senior Fellow with CNAS’s Technology and National Security Program and former Vice President of Google Cloud’s global public policy; and Shri Sujeet Kumar, Member of Parliament (Rajya Sabha). The discussion was held under the Chatham House Rule and was attended by 25 participants.

 

IF-IHC Book Discussion on ‘After Me, Chaos: Astrology in the Mughal Empire’

India Foundation, in collaboration with India Habitat Centre, organised a book discussion on the book After Me, Chaos: Astrology in the Mughal Empire by Shri M. J. Akbar, Author & Former Union Minister, Government of India, at the India Habitat Centre, New Delhi, on 21st January 2026. The session was moderated by Captain Alok Bansal, Executive Vice President, India Foundation. The panel featured Shri Sudhanshu Trivedi, Member of Parliament (Rajya Sabha); Ms. Shazia Ilmi, National Spokesperson, Bharatiya Janata Party; and Mr. Come Carpentier, Distinguished Fellow, India Foundation. The discussion examined the intersections of science, governance, and civilisational knowledge in Mughal India, with a focus on reassessing historical narratives surrounding astrology and statecraft.

The panel deliberated on the commonly held perception that astrology and Mughal governance were incompatible and highlighted how astrological knowledge was institutionally embedded within imperial administration. Drawing on primary sources such as the Ain-i-Akbari, Baburnama, Humayunama, Akbarnama, and Tuzuk-i-Jahangiri, speakers noted that astrology informed key decisions, including coronations, military campaigns, succession planning, and court rituals. Extensive astrological references in Mughal chronicles were cited as evidence of its formal role in governance.

A key focus of the discussion was the transmission of Indian astronomical knowledge—particularly Aryabhata-based methods—into Mughal administrative practice. The panelists highlighted the establishment of formal positions such as Jyotishraj and the inclusion of Sanskrit-trained scholars, underscoring a synthesis of Indic, Persian, and Islamic intellectual traditions rather than rigid religious compartmentalisation.

The discussion also addressed how colonial and ideological historiography selectively marginalised astrology in Mughal narratives despite its prominence in original sources. Beyond administrative use, astrology was discussed as a philosophical framework that encouraged humility, detachment, and an understanding of natural order within governance. The session concluded with a consensus that After Me, Chaos restores nuance and complexity to India’s historical understanding and reinforces the idea of knowledge as a shared civilisational inheritance shaped by continuity, assimilation, and intellectual exchange.

 

KUMBH – Global Summit 2025 – ON DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTAINABILITY

KUMBH – Global Summit 2025 – ON DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTAINABILITY

IF-IHC PANEL DISCUSSION ON INDIA’S SUCCESS IN CURBING LEFT – WING EXTREMISM

India Foundation, in collaboration with India Habitat Centre, organised a panel discussion on ‘India’s Success in Curbing Left-Wing Extremism’ at the India Habitat Centre, New Delhi on 6th January 2026. The panel featured Shri Rajiv Gauba, Former Cabinet Secretary, Government of India and Member, NITI Aayog; Shri Pankaj Kumar Singh, Former Deputy National Security Advisor of India; and Shri Shekhar Gupta, Editor-in-Chief, The Print. The discussion was moderated by Shri Alok Bansal, Executive Vice President, India Foundation.

The panel deliberated on India’s multi-pronged approach to tackling Left-Wing Extremism, highlighting improvements in security operations, governance outreach, development interventions, and the importance of winning public trust in affected regions. The discussion offered valuable insights into the evolution of the LWE threat and the strategies that have significantly weakened it in recent years.

The panelists traced the origins of Left-Wing Extremism to the late 1960s and highlighted how governance gaps, socio-economic deprivation, and ideological mobilisation allowed Maoist groups to expand across large parts of central and eastern India. Drawing on first-hand administrative and operational experience, they recalled the gravity of the situation during the early 2000s, when large areas were effectively outside state control, marked by frequent attacks on security forces, civilian casualties, and systematic destruction of infrastructure.

A key focus of the discussion was the decisive shift after 2014-15, when the government adopted a comprehensive national policy and action plan. The panelists emphasised the effectiveness of a “whole-of-government” approach that combined robust security measures with focused development interventions. Expansion of road and telecom connectivity, establishment of forward security camps, welfare delivery through flagship schemes, implementation of forest rights, and strengthening of state police capacities were identified as crucial elements in reversing Maoist influence.

The panelists also underscored the importance of improved intelligence gathering, inter-state coordination, deployment of specialised forces, and sustained action against the financial and urban support networks of extremist groups. These efforts, they noted, have led to a sharp decline in violence, casualties, and the number of affected districts. The discussion concluded with a consensus that while the security gains are substantial, lasting peace will depend on sustained governance reforms, protection of tribal rights, accountability of institutions, and continued vigilance to prevent the resurgence of extremist ideologies.

 

Explide
Drag